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Extension of cervical screening intervals with primary human papillomavirus testing: observational study of English screening pilot data

BMJ 2022; 377 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2021-068776 (Published 31 May 2022) Cite this as: BMJ 2022;377:e068776

Linked Editorial

HPV screening for cervical cancer is reaching maturity

  1. Matejka Rebolj, senior epidemiologist1,
  2. Kate Cuschieri, director2,
  3. Christopher S Mathews, senior data manager1,
  4. Francesca Pesola, senior statistician1,
  5. Karin Denton, lead cytopathologist3,
  6. Henry Kitchener, professor emeritus4
  7. on behalf of the HPV pilot steering group
    1. 1Cancer Prevention Group, School of Cancer and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King’s College London, London, UK
    2. 2Scottish HPV Reference Laboratory, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian Scotland, Edinburgh, UK
    3. 3Severn Pathology, Southmead Hospital, North Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK
    4. 4Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
    1. Correspondence to: M Rebolj matejka.rebolj{at}kcl.ac.uk
    • Accepted 5 April 2022

    Abstract

    Objectives To provide updated evidence about the risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or higher (CIN3+) and cervical cancer after a negative human papillomavirus (HPV) test in primary cervical screening, by age group and test assay.

    Design Observational study.

    Setting Real world data from the English HPV screening pilot’s first and second rounds (2013-16, follow-up to end of 2019).

    Participants 1 341 584 women.

    Interventions Cervical screening with HPV testing or liquid based cytological testing (cytology or smear tests). Women screened with cytology were referred to colposcopy after high grade cytological abnormalities or after borderline or low grade abnormalities combined with a positive HPV triage test. Women screened with HPV testing who were positive were referred at baseline if their cytology triage test showed at least borderline abnormalities or after a retest (early recall) at 12 and 24 months if they had persistent abnormalities.

    Main outcome measures Detection of CIN3+ and cervical cancer after a negative HPV test.

    Results For women younger than 50 years, second round detection of CIN3+ in this study was significantly lower after a negative HPV screen in the first round than after cytology testing (1.21/1000 v 4.52/1000 women screened, adjusted odds ratio 0.26, 95% confidence interval 0.23 to 0.30), as was the risk of interval cervical cancer (1.31/100 000 v 2.90/100 000 woman years, adjusted hazard ratio 0.44, 0.23 to 0.84). Risk of an incident CIN3+ detected at the second screening round in the pilot five years after a negative HPV test was even lower in women older than 50 years, than in three years in women younger than 50 years (0.57/1000 v 1.21/1000 women screened, adjusted odds ratio 0.46, 0.27 to 0.79). Women with negative HPV tests at early recall after a positive HPV screening test without cytological abnormalities had a higher detection rate of CIN3+ at the second routine recall than women who initially tested HPV negative (5.39/1000 v 1.21/1000 women screened, adjusted odds ratio 3.27, 95% confidence interval 2.21 to 4.84). Detection after a negative result on a clinically validated APTIMA mRNA HPV test was similar to that after clinically validated cobas and RealTime DNA tests (for CIN3+ at the second round 1.32/1000 v 1.14/1000 women screened, adjusted odds ratio 1.05, 0.73 to 1.50).

    Conclusions These data support an extension of the screening intervals, regardless of the test assay used: to five years after a negative HPV test in women aged 25-49 years, and even longer for women aged 50 years and older. The screening interval for HPV positive women who have negative HPV tests at early recall should be kept at three years.

    Footnotes

    • Contributors: CM and FP contributed equally. KD and HK contributed equally. The HPV pilot steering group designed the pilot study. MR undertook statistical analyses, wrote the original draft, and finalised the manuscript, was involved in the decision to submit, and is the guarantor. CM provided data management, reviewed the manuscript, and was involved in the decision to submit. FP helped with the statistical analyses, reviewed the manuscript, and was involved in the decision to submit. KC, KD, and HK reviewed the manuscript, and were involved in the decision to submit. The corresponding author attests that all listed authors meet authorship criteria and that no others meeting the criteria have been omitted.

    • Funding: Public Health England supported the epidemiological evaluation of the HPV pilot (reference ODR1718_428). Public Health England had a role in designing the pilot, in the collection of the data, and commented on the manuscript. MR (fully) and CM (partly) were supported by Cancer Research UK (reference: C8162/A27047). FP was supported by Cancer Research UK (reference C8162/A25356). Cancer Research UK had no role in considering the study design or in the collection, analysis, interpretation of data, writing of the report, or decision to submit the article for publication.

    • Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at ww.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: MR was provided Public Health England funding for the epidemiological evaluation of the pilot, and an unrelated study; is a member of the Public Health England Laboratory Technology Group, HPV Development Group, and HPV Self-sampling Operational Steering Group and Project Board; attended meetings with various HPV assay manufacturers; declares fee for lecture from Hologic, paid to employer. KC declares research funding or consumables to support research from Cepheid, Euroimmun, GeneFirst, SelfScreen, Hiantis Seegene, Roche, Abbott, and Hologic, paid to employer; is a professional clinical advisor to Public Health England; is a member of Public Health England Laboratory Technology Group and HPV Self-sampling Operational Steering Group. CM held an honorary appointment at Public Health England to process the data for the pilot. FP declares no competing interests. KD is an adviser to Public Health England (this position is funded by Public Health England as a secondment from her main employment); chairs the Public Health England Laboratory Clinical Professional Group, the HPV Development Group, and several groups related to the evaluation of self-sampling; was a consultant to the Scally Review of cervical screening in Ireland and the RCOG review of cervical cancer audit in Ireland, both completed in 2019; has provided expert medicolegal reports prepared for claimants and defendants including in cases of cervical cancer; received support with travel expenses to attend an international meeting in May 2019 from Hologic, a company manufacturing equipment and consumables for cytology and HPV testing. HK is former chair of the Public Health England Advisory Committee for Cervical Screening. We report no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work. The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not represent the view of Public Health England.

    • Patient consent: Women participating in the HPV primary screening pilot were invited to make an informed choice on participating in the cervical screening programme. A decision is made to accept or decline a screening test based on access to accurate and up-to-date information on the condition being screened for, the testing process and potential outcomes. Specific information was provided at the invitation stage allowing for personalised informed choice. Further opportunity was given to reflect on what the test and its results might mean when women attended for screening with the clinician taking the sample. Regulation 5, Health Service Regulations 2002, Confidentiality Advisory Group Reference 15/CAG/0207, was the legal basis to process the data.

    • The lead author (the manuscript’s guarantor) affirms that the manuscript is an honest, accurate, and transparent account of the study being reported; that no important aspects of the study have been omitted; and that any discrepancies from the study as originally planned (and, if relevant, registered) have been explained.

    • Dissemination to participants and related patient and public communities: The findings from the pilot study will continue to be disseminated at scientific conferences and other professional meetings. The dissemination to organisations and professional groups such as the English Cervical Screening Programme, UK National Screening Committee, British Society for Colposcopy and Clinical Pathology, and the British Association for Cytopathology have formed the basis for approval and implementation of changes in policy recommendations. The findings have been discussed with patient charities such as Jo’s Cervical Cancer Trust. As a leading cervical cancer charity supporting and advising women, Jo’s Cervical Cancer Trust have been active in supporting cervical screening programmes in Wales and Scotland in communication around interval extension. The findings will be, furthermore, publicised on social media belonging to the authors and/or their employers.

    • Provenance and peer review: Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

    Data availability statement

    The data belong to the former Public Health England and the authors cannot provide access to the relevant datasets to third parties. Requests for data and pre-application advice should instead be made to Office for Data Release (ODR@phe.gov.uk).

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