Dear Editor,
Jacqui Wise reports that 80% of young adults in the UK have Covid-19 antibodies derived either from natural infection or from vaccination. (BMJ 2021:374:n2162, September 2) One hopes that the same is true of older adults and that the UK now enjoys a high level of herd immunity. She also reports that the Delta variant doubles the risk of hospitalization compared with the Alpha variant. (BMJ 2021:374:n2152, September 1) The production of broad and durable herd immunity to prevent illness from the highly transmissible and possibly more virulent Delta variant is an important issue…..
In a timely email Noel Thomas just sent me a preprint article highlighting the importance of immunity from natural infection. (https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.08.24.21262415) Gazit and colleagues in Israel compared 16,215 never-infected individuals who had two doses of the Pfizer vaccine with 16,215 unvaccinated individuals known to have had a Covid-19 infection. There were 191 symptomatic breakthrough infections with the Delta variant in the vaccinated-uninfected group and only 8 such infections in the infected-unvaccinated group. The adjusted risk of symptomatic breakthrough infections for the vaccinated group was 27.02 (P<0.001), which translates into 96.3% relative effectiveness of natural infection compared with vaccination. The authors’ summary from the data is that “natural infection confers longer lasting and stronger protection against infection, symptomatic disease, and hospitalization caused by the Delta variant, compared to two-dose Pfizer vaccine-induced immunity.”…..In addition, Binkin and colleagues in San Diego, California have observed a recent dramatic increase in Covid-19 infections in a highly-vaccinated health system workforce. (DOI:10.1056/NEJMc2112981, NEJM online September 1)
It is not too late to step back from the push for universal vaccination and allow the continued development of broad and lasting herd immunity from natural Covid-19 infections among the large majority of the population who are healthy and not elderly. (https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n2029/rr)
ALLAN S. CUNNINGHAM 3 September 2021
Competing interests: No competing interests
Retaining the doctors we train
Dear Editor
Last month, O’Dowd (1), highlighted the proposed expansion in medical school places to meet the demand for the increased numbers of students fulfilling their offer requirements.
Whilst more doctors are clearly needed, simply pouring more newly qualified medical students into the medical workforce bucket does not address the holes and leaks that have resulted in thousands of highly skilled and knowledgeable individuals leaving to work abroad, retire early or leave medicine entirely.
The GMC estimates around 4% (which equated to approximately 4,950 doctors) permanently leave the NHS every year. The European average is 3.2%. Furthermore, many others will seek new opportunities abroad (2).
It is too early to know exactly how the pandemic will affect the number of doctors leaving the NHS. However initial estimates by a 2021 BMA survey suggest that, 21% of doctors were more likely to work in another country, 18% were more likely to leave the profession entirely and 26% were more likely to take a career break as a result of the pandemic (3). But why?
Put simply, we nurture a system which treats doctors badly.
Doctors feel overworked in an underfunded system. This is unsurprising, given that working beyond rostered hours seems to be the norm in the NHS (2). COVID-19 has placed unprecedented strain upon the NHS and its workforce and so it is perhaps predictably, self-reported levels of burnout, anxiety and stress exceed 50% (3).
Throughout the pandemic NHS staff have been portrayed as heroic and selfless. This is of course undoubtedly the case and the efforts of all staff have saved countless lives. However, in portraying staff this way, there can be no meaningful call for additional help. PPE shortages are a key example. In one of the most developed countries in the world, it is astounding that the NHS resorted to donations of equipment from the public. Moreover, 80% of doctors felt unsafe at one or more points during the pandemic, due to a lack of PPE (4). Painting doctors working on the frontline as superhumans working round the clock to save lives, leaves little room for political responsibility for the circumstances which forced them into such a position. To act in a way that is supererogatory requires it to be a choice. Working additional hours without the correct support or equipment because there was no alternative is certainly not a conscious choice. Hence it is no surprise that medics feel undervalued (particularly by politicians) (3).
We strive for a culture of safety and learning at work, but there is remains a lack of psychological safety. Whilst traditional organisations such as the GMC and CQC have continued to demonstrate a tough line on investigating doctors that come to their attention, as in the case of Dr Bawa-Garba and Mr Sellu. There is also a lack of community and trust between colleagues, many doctors fearing complaints and local investigations. In addition to this, the latest NHS staff survey indicating that 12% and 19% of healthcare professional have experienced bullying, harassment or abuse the last 12 months from their managers and colleagues respectively (5). Yet another example of toxicity being allowed entry into a system which was fundamentally created to open the doors to all. A system designed to offer free equitable healthcare for all must also afford the same rights and inclusions to all staff.
Finally, the mass exodus of doctors as they reach 55 years old, highlights the poor planning that is required to ensure that these highly experienced clinicians can continue to offer their knowledge and expertise (2). Measures such as flexible working, coming off on-call at a certain age and working in a mentoring capacity are the rarity rather than the norm.
Whilst we train more doctors than ever before, it seems worthwhile to explore why so many doctors choose to leave the NHS, to ensure that we can retain the doctors we put so much effort into training.
1. O’Dowd A. Funding boost aims to expand England’s medical school places. British Medical Journal Publishing Group; 2021.
2. General Medical Council. The state of medical education and practice in the UK: The workforce report. 2019.
3. BMA. BMA survey COVID-19 tracker survey February 2021.
4. General Medical Council. The state of medical education and practice in the UK. 2020.
5. NHS. NHS Staff Survey 2020 National results briefing. 2021.
Competing interests: No competing interests