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Type 1 diabetes: Global prevalence is set to double by 2040, study estimates

BMJ 2022; 378 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.o2289 (Published 22 September 2022) Cite this as: BMJ 2022;378:o2289
  1. Elisabeth Mahase
  1. The BMJ

An estimated 8.4 million people around the world had type 1 diabetes in 2021, and this number may rise to 17.4 million by 2040, a modelling study has predicted.1

The study, by researchers from Australia, Canada, Luxembourg, and the US, also estimated that around 3.1 million people would have been alive in 2021 if they hadn’t died prematurely as a result of poor care for type 1 diabetes and that a further 700 000 would still be alive if they hadn’t died because their illness wasn’t diagnosed.

The findings, published in Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology, have been fed into a new open source database for the T1D Index Project. The index, launched by the non-profit Juvenile …

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