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Covid-19: Extra 1.7 million people in England are asked to shield

BMJ 2021; 372 doi: (Published 17 February 2021) Cite this as: BMJ 2021;372:n467

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Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from covid-19

  1. Jacqui Wise
  1. London

An extra 1.7 million people in England will be added to the list of those identified as clinically extremely vulnerable to covid-19, as a result of new modelling first published in The BMJ.1

The use of the QCovid risk prediction model means that an extra 820 000 adults aged 19 to 69 will now be prioritised for vaccination. The remainder are over 70 and will have already been invited for vaccination.

Until now the NHS usually identified the people most at risk on the basis of a single underlying disease such as specific cancers or diabetes. The new assessment tool considers multiple risk factors including age, ethnicity, body mass index, and specific health conditions and treatments to calculate a person’s risk of catching covid-19 and …

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