Covid-19 in Sweden and the UK: Risk, the Game of LifeBMJ 2020; 371 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m4068 (Published 20 October 2020) Cite this as: BMJ 2020;371:m4068
- Des Spence, GP
- Maryhill Health Centre, Glasgow G20 8BZ, UK
Excess death is the only hard number that we have for covid-19.1 In the UK, we are seeing a surge in new cases but not a similar surge in deaths (although there is often a lag of a few weeks).
The key matter, surely, is to establish a true case fatality rate. The reported fatality rate is currently falling, linked to the fact we can now …