David Oliver: What’s behind the rise in dementia admissions?BMJ 2019; 367 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l5716 (Published 02 October 2019) Cite this as: BMJ 2019;367:l5716
- David Oliver, consultant in geriatrics and acute general medicine
Follow David on Twitter: @mancunianmedic
I recently woke to news headlines claiming that NHS hospitals were admitting “1000 dementia patients a day”—a rapid increase since 2013.1
The data came from NHS Digital. But the expert commentary, quoted in the Daily Mail and broadcast widely, came from the Alzheimer’s Society.2 It blamed social care cuts and claimed that dementia admissions generally harmed patients or left them unable to return home.
I care deeply about improving acute and community care in dementia, so I was pleased to see the topic get airtime. I don’t want to dampen the impact by nitpicking. But I do have some caveats.
Firstly, it isn’t news that many people in hospital beds have dementia or delirium. A decade ago, the NHS Confederation and the Alzheimer’s Society reported that in around one in four beds was someone with dementia.3 Back in 2009 Sampson and colleagues showed that 42% of people over 70 admitted to hospital had dementia, and around half had no prior diagnosis.4 The Royal College of Psychiatrists has published four rounds of its national audit of care for dementia in general hospitals.5 Gaps remain, but we’ve seen steady improvements and wider adoption of good care systems and processes.
Secondly, since 2012 the NHS in England has had a national payment incentive to ensure that hospitals identify people with dementia and code the cases.6 This may partly account for a rise in admissions far higher than the increase in community cases might lead us to expect.
Thirdly, the news coverage barely mentioned that the initial emergency attendance or admission is often appropriate, whether or not the patient has dementia. If you have, say, a stroke, hip fracture, severe infection, or metabolic disturbance, acute hospital may often be the safest and best option. There’s good evidence for the benefit of ward based, comprehensive geriatric assessment and post-acute rehabilitation for frail older people, including those with hip fracture or stroke.789 A binary narrative of “hospital harmful, community safe” is simplistic and unhelpful.
Fourthly, gaps in health services away from acute hospitals are as important in this story as gaps in social care. Even for conditions labelled as primary or ambulatory care or for “potentially preventable” hospital admissions, we can’t assume that current primary and community healthcare models are sufficiently responsive or available.1011 This includes end-of-life care, specialist mental health services, and support for care home residents.121314
The “ageing well” component in the NHS long term plan requires faster crisis responses for older people at home, more rapid access to home based rehabilitation, more healthcare provision for care home residents, and more support for carers—all reliant on skilled, multi-professional teams.15 However, current capacity is nowhere near sufficient, as the NHS Benchmarking Network’s intermediate care audits have shown. The NHS pledge of £4.5bn (€5.08bn; $5.56bn) for community health services may be spread thinly with many competing demands, and we have an existing crisis in the community health and care workforce.16
My final point? The crisis in social care is undoubtedly worsening, for an ageing population with more people who have dementia and are reliant on care—most of it from family. Social care requires urgent solutions, but not all adults needing social care have dementia. And not all patients with dementia receive or are eligible for social care.
Although their intent is admirable and the publicity important, I do worry that current campaigning by the Daily Mail and the Alzheimer’s Society tends to make “social care” and “dementia” completely synonymous, with a narrative and editorial lines to suit. But they are overlapping entities. The health service is part of the problem—and part of the solution.
Competing interests: See www.bmj.com/about-bmj/freelance-contributors.
Provenance and peer review: Commissioned; not externally peer reviewed.