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Research Methods & Reporting

The spectrum effect in tests for risk prediction, screening, and diagnosis

BMJ 2016; 353 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.i3139 (Published 22 June 2016) Cite this as: BMJ 2016;353:i3139

Rapid Response:

Re: The spectrum effect in tests for risk prediction, screening, and diagnosis

The article has addressed a very important concept of screening tests' validity & its contextual use in populations. Positive and negative likelihood ratio are explained and displayed well in relation to prevalence of disease. It would have been more comprehensive, had the authors explained both pre-test and post-test probabilities of screening test by using a likelihood ratio Nomogram. Furthermore, "Yield" of the screening test was also to be discussed to encompass all features of screening test.

The article rightly identified that Primary care practice can be made more useful to advocate informed choices by focusing on likelihood ratio of these screening tests rather than predictive positive or negative values in different populations.

Competing interests: No competing interests

22 June 2016
Farah Asad Mansuri
Public health consultant & Epidemiologist
Taibah University, Al Medinah KSA
Taibah University, Al Medinah KSA