Chronic diseases among the over 40s in China are set to double over the next 20 years

BMJ 2011; 343 doi: (Published 27 July 2011) Cite this as: BMJ 2011;343:d4801
  1. John Zarocostas
  1. 1Geneva

The rate of the four leading causes of ill health in China—cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, and lung cancer—will “double or even triple over the next two decades” in people aged over 40 years if effective prevention and control strategies are not implemented, warns a report from the World Bank.

The report says changes in the dietary patterns, unhealthy behaviours, pollution associated with urbanisation, and China’s ageing population are contributing to the increase in risk factors of non-communicable diseases.

In addition, about 200 million people in China are overweight or obese, it says, with prevalence …

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