Effect of altitude on physiological performance: a statistical analysis using results of international football games
BMJ 2007; 335 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.39393.451516.AD (Published 20 December 2007) Cite this as: BMJ 2007;335:1278All rapid responses
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"¨Football and physiological performance at high altitude, the ¨PLAN
B"
article ID: 335/7633/1278
Dr. Patrick E McSharry
BMJ - ENGLAND
Dr. Mc Sharry,
Subjet: a copy of my paper in English
My name is Dr. Jorge Flores. I am a physician from Bolivia involved
in football.
We have published an article* regarding the effect of altitude on
physiological performance.
I am happy to share with you that we have found absolute similarities
between data and results from your study ¨Effect of altitude on
physiological performance: a statistical international analysis using
results of football games¨ which was published on Dec 20, 2007 in the
Medical and Statistical Results section of British Medical Journal: BMJ
2007; 335: 1278-1281, and the Bolivian ¨Plan B– Análisis Médico y
estadístico Multivariante" , published by JP Suarez and myself on Oct 12,
2007.
In October 12, 2007 we presented an study of 3564 matches of the
Bolivian Professional League (LFPB), national professional championship
from 1978 to 2002, between teams of High Altitude (HA) and teams from Low
Altitude (LA). The teams of HA, when playing at HA won 80%, tied 16 % and
lost only 4%. The same teams of HA when playing at LA lost 64%, tied 21%
and lost 15% of the games. The conclusion is that HA teams when playing at
home (home + altitude) have a very significant statistical advantage and
better performance, and when playing at LA, the HA team have only the
normal visitor disadvantage seen all over the world.
The laboratory findings ** shows that HA players when playing as
local in HA, have 20% more Aerobic Capacity, 20 % more Anaerobic Capacity
and 12 % and deviation to the left of Lactate scale, with 10% better VO2
compsumtion, 20% less Heart Rate and, 20% more RBC, Hb and Htc and as
consequence 25% better physiological performance than LA teams.
Both, your study and ours, demonstrate that physiological performance
of teams from cities of LA is lower when they play at HA due to Hypoxia.
Therefore, both studies validate the effect that HA has to teams from low
LA cities.
To improve the performance of LA teams we propose to increase the
number of substitutions of player during the game ( this is the thesis and
proposal of our "Plan B".)
I will be thankful if you can read our work which can be found below.
Looking forward to hear back from you.
Dr. Jorge Flores, M.D.***
<jflores04@hotmail.com>
http://www.galenored.com/jflores
PLAN "B" – Análisis Médico y estadístico Multivariante" para partidos de
fútbol a más y menos de 2500m de Altitud, , by Jorge FLORES, Juan Pablo
SUAREZ and al., Medical College Meeting, Oct 12, 2007.
**Performance of Altitude Acclimatized and Non-Acclimatized
Professional Football (Soccer) Players at 3,600 M, TOM D. BRUTSAERT1,
HILDE SPIELVOGEL2, RUDY SORIA2, MAURICIO ARAOZ2, ESPERANZA CACERES2,
GILIANE BUZENET3, MERCEDES VILLENA2, MARIO PAZ ZAMORA4, and ENRIQUE
VARGAS2
1Cornell University, Ithaca, New York; 2Instituto Boliviano de
Biología de Altura, La Paz, Bolivia; 3Université Claude Bernard, Lyon I,
France;
4Federación Boliviana de Futbol, La Paz, Bolivia.
*** President of Tahuichi Football Academy
Past President, Federación Boliviana de Footba<P> Medical Adviser,
Football, Blooming Club
Santa Cruz, Bolivia
Competing interests:
None
----- Original Message -----
From: Jorge R. FLORES Aguilera
To: Jorge Flores ; Jorge FLORES Aguilera ; jflores04@hotmail.com
Sent: Friday, February 29, 2008 12:35 PM
Subject: FW: Altitude and football, answer of Patrick@mcsharry.net
Date: Fri, 29 Feb 2008 15:38:21 +0000
From: patrick@mcsharry.net
To: jflores04@hotmail.com
Subject: Altitude and football
Dear Dr Flores,
I was delighted to receive your email about your study which supports
the results of my BMJ paper.
Do you happen to have a copy of your paper in English?
Regards,
Patrick
Competing interests:
None
Competing interests: No competing interests
Dear Editor
In BMJ 2007; 335: 1278-1281, it was published an interesting article
regarding the effect of altitude on physiological performance using scores
of international football games (1). In his conclusions the author
indicates that altitude provides a significant advantage for high altitude
teams when playing international football games at both low and high
altitudes. The author also refers that the International Football
Association (FIFA) Sport Medicine Commission recommends that football
matches above 3000 m should be played only after an acclimatization period
of 10 days because of the acute effect of altitude on performance (1).
This is not strictly true. In fact, in 1998 I published a book on
football and acclimatization to high altitude based on our participation
in the process of acclimatization of the Peruvian National Football team
for the eliminatory round competition of the World Football Cup (France,
1998). In one chapter (2), we analyzed results and scores of international
football games played by the Bolivian National Football team between 1950
and 1993 against other Latin American or European teams. According to this
study, 0% of the lowland teams won a game if they play the same day of
their arrival. However, lowland teams won 40%, 60% and 50% of the games
after 1, 2 or 3 days of acclimatization, respectively. In a logistic
regression analysis including as independent variables days of
acclimatization, kind of game (competition vs. friendly) and previous
experience at high altitudes in the same year, the only variable
associated to the probability of winning a football game was days of
acclimatization. The percentage of home wins was 82% when visitors play
the same day of their arrival to high altitude whereas this percentage was
reduced to 40-50% if visitors were acclimatized from 1-3 days. This is
less than the 53.7% of home wins described by McSharry (1) for two teams
from the same altitude. This suggests that it is not necessary to wait 10
days to be able to win a game at high altitude and that the probability of
the Bolivian National team of winning a football game was lower than the
average for South American football teams. I have also assessed the number
of goals scored and conceded. At 3600 m, the Bolivian National team has a
ratio of 3.83 goals scored/goals conceded. This value was reduced to 1.02,
1, and 1.2 after 1, 2 or 3 days of acclimatization of the opponent team.
In 1996 a plan for acclimatization to high altitude was performed to
the Peruvian National Football team. Thirty five percent of the players of
the Peruvian National team developed acute mountain sickness (AMS) within
6 hours after arrival to Cuzco (3400 m). The study demonstrated that
occurrence of AMS did not predict a low performance in physical activity
at high altitude (3).
Data suggest that at least with one day of acclimatization the
probability of winning at altitude was similar to any other away games,
and that AMS was not related to performance during the game if players
have been acclimatized at least by one day. In our experience, the
conclusion that altitude provides a significant advantage for high
altitude teams when playing football games from low altitudes (1) is not
consistent at all. For instance, people from high altitudes who descend
to sea level have a blood volume and red cell mass that are excessive for
their new environment and a process of neocytolysis is observed (4). This
results in a rapid decrease in hemoglobin concentration. At sea level,
reticulocyte production continues unchanged in the first few days not
decreasing until day 8 in response to ongoing erythropoietin suppression.
Decrease in red cell mass as reticulocyte production remains normal
provides conclusive evidence of a hemolytic process. In turn this may
affect athletic performance. In Peru, since 1961 the National Football Cup
includes teams from sea level and those from 2000 to 4340 m. It is a well
known fact that the chances of a high altitude team at low altitude are in
general much lower.
Mc Sharry´s article should include days of acclimatization in his
statistical analysis to demonstrate that at high altitude is much worse to
play the same day of arrival but it is not necessary to wait 10 days to
play a football game.
Gustavo F. Gonzales. D.Sc; M.D
Specialist in Endocrinology
Instituto de Investigaciones de la Altura (High Altitude Research
Institute) and Faculty of Sciences and Philosophy. Universidad Peruana
Cayetano Heredia, 430 Av. Honorio Delgado, Lima 31, Peru.
ggr@upch.edu.pe
References
1. McSharry PE. Effect of altitude on physiological performance: a
statistical analysis using results of international football games. BMJ
2007; 335: 1278-1281.
2. Gonzales GF, Villena A. Football and altitude: The eliminatories of the
world cups [in Spanish]. In Football and acclimatization to altitude.
Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia: Lima. 1998:99-112.
3. Gonzales GF, Villena A, Aparicio R. Acute Mountain Sickness: Is
there a lag period before symptoms?. American Journal of Human Biology.
1998;10: 669-677.
4. Rice L, Ruiz W, Driscoll T, Whitley CE, Tapia R, Hachey DL,
Gonzales GF, Alfrey CP. Neocytolysis on descent from altitude: A newly
recognized mechanism for the control of red cell mass. Annals of Internal
Medicine. 2001; 134: 652-656.
Competing interests:
None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
I thoroughly enjoyed reading this article which will no doubt
encourage researchers to build upon this existing research by exploring
some of the questions identified in this paper. I do however feel that
somewhere along the line a tactical analysis of play and physiological
analysis of movement during actual competition is required to build on our
existing knowledge of the effects of altitude on athletic performance. It
has previously been suggested that altitude would affect player work-rates
during competition as their aerobic capacity is reduced.1 An analysis of
work-rate information during match-play such as the distance run and high-
intensity activity of players not normally used to playing at altitude
would provide objective information on any possible reduction in
performance. It could also be used in planning work-rest strategies for
playing at altitude, with a view towards timing short periods in the game
for recovery to take place. Similarly, it would be useful to examine the
performance of teams such as Bolivia when they play at sea-level compared
to at altitude to examine whether they have a physical advantage over
other teams. Finally, a future study could also be pertinent for exploring
the results at altitude of teams from other continents not used to playing
in such conditions.
References
1. Carling, C, Williams, A & Reilly, T. (2005) The Handbook of Soccer
Match Analysis. London: Routledge, 2005
Competing interests:
None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
Excellent study and greatly appreciated. The next step for this USA
fan is for FIFA to lower the altitude limit to 2000m (Azteca Stadium in
Mexico City is at approx 2250m).
Competing interests:
USA fan
Competing interests: No competing interests
Editor - We were delighted to read this well conducted and rather
refreshing study bringing together core physiology and popular sports.
Although longstanding acclimatization of the players’ resident at
high altitudes does offer them a significant physiological advantage for
the reasons highlighted in the study but we would also like to point out
the role of genetic makeup in once performance at high altitude. This has
been a focus of large number of recent studies1,2,3,4 and there is
evidence now to suggest that genetic polymorphism for genes encoding ACE
I/D, AT II (Type 1) receptor and eNOS amongst others plays a significant
role in determining once performance as well as susceptibility to High
Altitude Pulmonary Oedema (HAPE resistant versus HAPE susceptible).
It has been postulated that successful marathon runners and mountain
climbers who otherwise reside at low altitude but still perform
significantly well under unaccustomed situations may be related to these
factors. We agree that the option of reaching the destination early and
maximising acclimatization is not feasible but once the role of these
genetic factors is established by way of larger studies, it may be
possible to screen players for their high altitude performance or
endurance.
Also, since we are talking about a population confined to a single
geographical area with altitude being the major difference, it is
difficult to rule out the influence of migration of such population within
the region and their variable high or low altitude ancestry. In this
context it is also important to note that with commercialisation of the
sports more and more sportsmen from South America are coming to play
football in Europe and in fact spending major part of the year here.
Whether this leads to deconditioning or not, to what extent over how long
is not clearly understood.
References
1. Montgomery HE, Marshall R, Hemingway H, et al. Human gene for
physical performance. Nature 1998; 393:221–222
2. Yunden Droma, Masayuki Hanaoka, Masao Ota, et al. Positive
Association of the Endothelial Nitric Oxide Synthase Gene Polymorphisms
With High-Altitude Pulmonary Edema. Circulation. 2002;106:826
3. Katsuyama, Masao Ota, Toshio Kobayashi, Junichi Hotta, et al.
Polymorphisms of Renin-Angiotensin System Genes in Japanese Subjects with
High-Altitude Pulmonary Edema. Chest 2004;126;825-830
4. Rupert, Jim L., and Michael S. Koehle. Evidence for a genetic
basis for altitude-related illness. High Alt. Med. Biol. 7:150–167, 2006.
Competing interests:
None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
Effect of altitude on football performance
Sir,
As editors of a recently published supplement on football and
altitude1, which contains review papers based on presentations given by
experts in the field at a consensus meeting, we feel obliged to bring to
your attention a re-analysis of data published in the British Medical
Journal2. In this paper McSharry analyzed the results of the qualification
games for the world championships over the last 104 years in South America
and demonstrated in figure 2 that high altitude teams had an advantage
from playing at low altitude. This conclusion was questioned as being
inconsistent with the understanding of altitude physiology and physics
presented at the consensus meeting1, which promoted McSharry to re-analyze
the data with a non-linear model. The result of this re-analysis, which is
shown in figure 1 of the paper of Gore et al.3 published in the
supplement, indicates that when two teams are from the same altitude, the
probability of the home team winning was 0.50, but this increased to 0.57
if a team from an altitude of 3600 m played at home against a team from
sea level. However, the probability of a home win even rose to 0.73 for a
team from sea level at home against a team from 3600 m.
These discrepant outcomes of modelling the same data set demonstrate
that the outcome of such analysis depends very much on the model that is
used and possibly also on additional assumptions or corrections that are
made.
Peter Bärtsch, Dept. of Internal Medicine, Div. of Sports Medicine,
Medical University Clinic, Heidelberg, Germany
peter.bartsch@med.uni-heidelberg.de
Jiri Dvorak, Dept. of Neurology/Neurophysiology, Schulthess-Clinic,
Zurich, Switzerland
Bengt Saltin, Copenhagen Muscle Research Centre (CMRC), University
Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
Competing interests: None declared
1. Bärtsch P, Dvorak J, Saltin B. Special Issue: Football and
Altitude. Scand J Med Sci Sports 2008; 18(Suppl.1):1-99.
2. McSharry PE. Effect of altitude on physiological performance: a
statistical analysis using results of international football games. BMJ
2007; 335:1278-81.
3. Gore CJ, McSharry PE, Hewitt AJ, Saunders PU. Preparation for
football competition at moderate to high altitude. Scand J Med Sci Sports
2008; 18(Suppl 1):85-95.
Competing interests:
None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests