Effectiveness of speed cameras in preventing road traffic collisions and related casualties: systematic review
BMJ 2005; 330 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.38324.646574.AE (Published 10 February 2005) Cite this as: BMJ 2005;330:331All rapid responses
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I will check the websites Paul Smith mentions, but the respondents seem most unwilling to acknowledge the crucial and obvious point that fast traffic and people do not mix together so well. The main thrust of UK transport policy for at least the past two decades has been both to separate people from traffic, e.g. to separate the two by pedestrianisation schemes, and, as far as possible, to slow traffic down in urban and residential areas. What is intrinsically so abhorrent about these commonsense policies?
The speed camera is just one more measure designed to slow traffic down. Other measures include speed humps, pelican crossings, road narrowing, one-way streets, blocking off side streets at one end and diverting traffic out of residential areas. These again are all methods of controlling traffic, especially the car, rather than letting our lives be ruined by it in the urban space. Again, what is wrong with that?
The respondents seem resolutely, if not perversely, oblivious to these obvious and commonsense points. They are all designed to separate speeding traffic from people or to divert vehicles onto roads where it is safer to travel at high speed. That has been the clear, and thusfar uncontentious, objective of transport policy for twenty years to my knowledge. As far as I can see these are very sensible policies formulated not to annoy us but conceived in the light of urban traffic hazard, accidents and the need to reduce risk of harm mostly to pedestrians. All these seem self-evident and prudent responses to the need to balance the needs of traffic and people.
Are the respondents going to acknowledge the validity of these points? Or are they going to persist in saying things like: "everyone speeds, and I thank god that they do." For a so-called 'road safety campaigner,' is that not one of the most ridiculous, fatuous and incredibly irresponsible things to say? That is a pretty pathetic argument to try and convince people that fast traffic is safer than slow traffic and that speed cameras *increase* road deaths. How can you argue sensibly with such people?
It is simply ludicrous to believe that speed is an OK pursuit and causes no damage. Try telling that to children, old people, the disabled and other vulnerable pedestrians trying to go about their legal business on busy streets with fast traffic. Yes, of course speed is OK and safer too on motorways, autobahns, autoroutes, freeways and dual carriageways, designed for heavy traffic at high speed, but not anywhere else. I rest my case.
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
Peter,
You might find it helpful to read the references offered. Or for greater depth explore the Safe Speed web site which is now well over 350,000 words.
Road safety is an extremely complex matter and attempting to reduce it to vehicle speeds in relation to a speed limit turns out to be an absurd and dangerous over-simplification.
We don't need faster traffic or slower traffic. Speed cameras haven't even delivered slower traffic. What they have delivered is a truly frightening array of side effects [1][2] including less attention to the road ahead, serious damage to the Police / public relationship and a distortion of safety priorities.
We need to improve the performance of the system by making it more error tolerant and by improving the performance of the average driver. Improving the performance of the average driver is most easily accomplished by identifying and attacking the worst 10%. And no - speed cameras are not even effective in identifying any group of drivers. Everyone speeds, and I thank god that they do. [3]
[1] http://www.safespeed.org.uk/dangers.html
[2] http://www.safespeed.org.uk/speedo.html
[3] http://www.safespeed.org.uk/why.html
Paul Smith, Safe Speed, http://www.safespeed.org.uk
Competing interests: Founder of the Safe Speed road safety campaign
Competing interests: No competing interests
In answer to Peter Morrell's comment I point out as a rather glaring example the German Autobahn(en), mostly courtesy of Adolf Hitler who also "invented" and promoted the Volkswagen, there are significantly fewer accidents and fatalities on those adrenalin freeing superhighways.
It stands to reason that a free flow of traffic will be less likely to cause close contact, congestion and thus accidents than your neighbourhood roundabouts etc.
Any insurance company will tell you that great numbers of accidents occur in slow speed areas, many if not most accidents happen close to one's home.
Whether speed cameras can cause accidents, which may seem a bit far fetched at first glance, suffice it to say that distractions like naked girls, elephants, a pink hippopotamus or a partly concealed speed camera van at the roadside will prompt most drivers (including innocent ones) to briefly gawk.Which means, of course, that the attention needed on the road is being sidetracked. A further glance in the rearview mirror, wondering whether it did flash and you have a probable cause.
Speed cameras are revenue raiser first and foremost. I am not naive enough to believe that governments, police or many other population groups give a stuff about saving lives.
They allow smoking, don't they.
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
Peter Morrell poses the question: " why [ ] roads with fast traffic are safer than roads with slow traffic, and exactly how speed cameras *increase* road deaths."
Statistically, motorways and non-urban dual carriageways are the safest of our roads - deaths per mile/thousands of vehicles are far fewer than in urban roads and 30mph limits. This is most likely because there are fewer pedestrians on fast roads - many fewer. It's also due to the opposing flows of traffic being separated by a central reservation and armco barriers - the potential for head-on collisions is drastically reduced. The "fast" roads also have "safe" design speeds in excess of 100MPH, making travelling on them at speeds up to and including that a relatively low-risk proposition for a capable driver.
In urban scenarios, however, a posted 30MPH limit may be totally inappropriate for the conditions - yet we are exhorted to "stick to the limit". There are many, many sections of urban roadway where it would be extremely foolish to travel at 30MPH, and yet that's exactly the behaviour that all the "Safety" camera campaigns encourage.
It would be far more effective to educate drivers properly in the first place - that they should be acutely aware of road conditions, pedestrians, and, indeed, anyone/thing else that may be put at risk as a result of their presence.
The problem is, though, that as we automate traffic policing, the need for a driver to observe and react is diminished - the rule is now "30 is safe, 33 gets me a ticket" or "Go on green and don't chance it (even at 3am when everyone else is abed!)"
As more an more automated traffic controls are introduced, the need for a driver to think (and hone his driving skills) is reduced. Many roundabouts are now controlled by traffic lights - so the need to learn to merge into a stream is reduced - the knock-on effect being people who no longer match the speed of the traffic on a fast road sliproad, but expect the traffic already there to move over and allow them to enter at a speed differential of maybe 20mph slower.
Here's a (not altogether serious) thought - rather than keep introducing all of these "safety" measures, why not introduce a "risk" measure - and place a nine inch spike where the driver's airbag would normally be, such that if he impacts anything (human or static) frontally, it detonates and skerwers him straight through the heart.
What effect does Peter Morrell think *that* would have on driver awareness and risk assessment?
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
It would be very useful if P Smith could actually state to readers in non-obfuscating terms exactly why s/he thinks that roads with fast traffic are safer than roads with slow traffic, and exactly how speed cameras *increase* road deaths--which seems to be the essence of his previous post. That would be a tremendous service, and doubtless a great relief also, to worried and puzzled BMJ readers.
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
James makes the mistake of confusing transport ideology objectives with road safety objectives.
Speed cameras are neither intended nor suitable as instruments of change in transport ideology, and I'm quite sure that if the public believed that their purpose was to promote 'modal shift' they would be considered utterly unacceptable.
Speed cameras must be justified on road safety grounds alone - the question that must be answered is: "do they make the roads safer overall?" Having personally spent over 8,000 hours studying the subject, I am absolutely certain that they do not.
It is by no means obvious that transport safety could be much improved by encouraging different transport modes. For example, buses are around ten times more dangerous to pedestrians than cars [1]. Total rail transport risks are comparable to car risks (but you have to add back in railway trespassers that are usually excluded from the figures). If we went back to horses (!) the death toll would be many times higher and transport would be many times less efficient. It is extremely difficult to imagine a policy intervention that would be acceptable to the public and the requirements of commerce that would even significantly reduce the growth of motor traffic. John Prescott said in 1997: "I will have failed if in 5 years time there are not fewer journeys made by car." Yet motor traffic continued to grow at its long term rate of +8.75bvkm per annum. [2]
It's also notable that every advanced economy in the world has developed a similar 'car dependence' based on free market choice. Clearly our duty to road safety is to use cars as safely as we can, and to do that we have to scrap speed cameras. See: 'The Case Against Speed Cameras' [3]
Best regards, Paul Smith, Safe Speed
http://www.safespeed.org.uk
[1] http://www.safespeed.org.uk/pedrisk.html
[2] http://www.safespeed.org.uk/smeed.html
[3] http://www.safespeed.org.uk/againstcameras.doc
Competing interests: Founder of the Safe Speed road safety campaign
Competing interests: No competing interests
From the cover through editor’s choice to the article itself and then on to the book review (Traffic Safety) I was both surprised and fascinated to read about speed cameras being considered as a medical issue. I will, therefore, in this response attempt to put the matter properly in that perspective using appropriate medical analogies.
That this piece of work to assess whether speed cameras reduce road traffic collisions and related casualties should find only 14 observational studies that met the inclusion criteria comes as no surprise and, indeed, the level of evidence is admitted and known to be relatively poor with none of good quality yet based upon this the outcome can be a loss of livelihood for the individual which could have greater, more far- reaching and, also, medical consequences. Controversial and divisive, many consider that the real purpose is to raise revenue through fines, almost another stealth tax, rather than reduce collisions and improve road safety. The range of reduction in adverse outcomes reported is, indeed, so great as to call the whole policy into question and underestimates or overestimates of effectiveness cannot be said to show that ‘existing research consistently shows that speed cameras are an effective intervention’.
The book reviewed explains the complexities involved in recommending any road safety measures and that mistakes can be made by researchers using simple methods to try to understand complex and confounding variables, as identified in most of the studies found. The potential for ‘co- interventions’ to have a confounding effect is essentially ignored yet road safety interventions are often multifaceted.
Speeding fines increased from 690000 in 1995 to a projected 4.5 million in 2006 yet the effect of this is uncertain. Fatal accidents have been falling steadily from 1966 (7985) to 3409 in 2000 in any event (unrelated to speed cameras) with little subsequent change beyond a small rise from 2001.
A major concern is the basing of the penalty upon just a single observation (as described by the acting editor) which takes no account of other factors nor any element of (additional) risk. Also, what is targeted is recognised to be responsible for just 7% (or perhaps up to a maximum 15%) of the causes of the road traffic accidents. Too easy to measure, despite speeding being a minority cause, drivers are persecuted by a policy which is unfair in application. Drivers who travel unreasonably slowly create additional risk for other road users and can be prosecuted but this is rare, mobile phone use too seems hardly to have abated. Both these actitvities pose significant danger yet, as police action is required to deal with them, little, if anything is done.
Accidents and deaths in association with police chases are, perhaps, the best examples of speed as the cause. It has been mathematically calculated that the average motorist starting out can expect three bans in a driving lifetime, three opportunities for loss of livelihood and potential medical consequences. The evidence that we, as doctors, are exhorted to access prior to any treatment decision to assist an evidence based approach is at levels higher than that reported here in respect of action(s) to reduce road traffic collisions, injuries and deaths.
No doctor would base any treatment plan on a single observation of any easily measured physiological variable. A single reading of blood pressure, for example, may be abnormally high but a potentially dangerous and lifelong treatment would not be initiated based upon it alone.
I teach in theatre that anaesthetic management must not be based upon one reading of an easily measured variable. Rather, that reading should be considered in conjunction with those of other variables recorded simultaneously and in the context of the whole patient before taking any potentially dangerous corrective action.
A normal blood pressure may be present in the young major trauma victim just ahead of decompensation but we don’t just walk away, rather the whole patient is surveyed to determine the appropriate, usually multifaceted, action.
Obesity is recognized as a major problem contributing to avoidable
morbidity and is a significant risk factor for most interventions. BMI
recorded at above 30 on four occasions and………….?
Consider drug use, cannabis possession of, say, more than X grams might be
accorded a fixed penalty which would not vary by the amount and other
drugs such as heroin or cocaine in the possession of the individual would
be ignored because they were too difficult to measure. If the individual
was in possession of other, more dangerous, drugs but had cannabis in an
amount
Fairness and equity were founding principles of the NHS which are currently absent from the subject intervention and should be returned (1). Engagement in burglary, for example, may escape penalty as surrounding and mitigating circumstances are considered. For those who are unfairly persecuted and prosecuted it must be a bit like being transported for stealing a sheep.
1. Lake A, Fair Points. The Sunday Times/Driving. February 8 2004: p.20.
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
I agree with just about everything James Woodcock says about speeding traffic and accidents and the desirability of some method of reducing traffic speeds most especially in urban areas.
I think also that previous respondents have missed the main point that roads with fast traffic are likely to be much more dangerous than roads with slow traffic. Speed cameras are quite simply a device to slow traffic down to reasonable speeds. Therefore, it logically follows that they are designed to make the roads safer. This is surely more commonsense than 'science.'
The only big disadvantage I have noticed with speed cameras is that they tend to reduce clustering of vehicles in short pulses, and this means the cars tend to come along in great, long evenly spaced streams. That is a problem if you want to cross a road as a pedestrian--you are likely to have to wait far longer for a gap to appear. Also, if you wish to turn into the traffic from a side street, then again it takes much longer. Of course, the advantage is that the stream of traffic is moving at a slower average speed than before the cameras were in place.
On balance, I would therefore say that speed cameras have more advantages than disadvantages and, as James Woodcock says, they make roads safer by reducing traffic speeds.
I also agree that they are abused as a lucrative source of easy income by local government and they are becoming enforced by police officers sat in mobile camera vans usually placed only yards from the actual speed limit signs, which is bad for police-public relations.
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
I agree with much of James's content but he forgets, some some speed cameras may be the cause of increased fatalities and injuries in certain regions and ought to be removed where that is the case.
Until UK studies support the use of speed cameras - clearly at present the jury is very much out on this (witness the study the authors bring) - the UK ought to initiate proper studies, nationwide, to acertain which cameras are offensive and which are beneficial.
Regards
John H.
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests
re: kill your car not a child
The most frequent response to my posting is that cameras are only justified if they reduce injuries and deaths. While I am a keen supporter of researching the health impacts of policy interventions, I think it is important to ask why speed cameras are required to prove themselves in a way that other law enforcement measures are not. The ‘war on drugs’ is expensive with negligible evidence of harm reduction. CCTV cameras constantly watch pedestrians, again with little evidence of any social benefit. One could argue that speed cameras at least signal that the law is now also taking a ‘zero tolerance’ approach to dangerous driving. And the evidence weak as it is, does at least point in the direction in reduction in harm. A further issue is that the cameras might produce slower speeds and hence more road use by pedestrians and cyclists. This could lead to more injuries but lower injury rates. This shows the problems with focusing on reducing injuries/deaths without challenging car dependency. An increase in pedestrian injuries could paradoxically be part of an improvement in population health if it occurred due to a substantial increase in walking. But traditionally, responses to the danger posed by cars is to remove other road users –forgetting all the other health benefits of a modal shift including air pollution, equity, human rights, resource use, noise, and climate change.
But of course Paul Smith refuses to see driving fast as an issue at all. While he pretends to be a road safety campaigner he is in fact an ideologue for drivers knowing best and fast driving. Searching his website there are not many recommendations to improve safety apart from removing speed cameras. One issue he does raise is about driver attention. Concerning road safety in the UK he says “Actually it's pretty good - we might have inattentive drivers, but don't forget we already have the safest roads in the world - so they can't be that inattentive most of the time.” So he does not really think there is a problem. He does mention a few sources of distraction, “Distractions might come from passengers, telephone calls, roadside billboards (to name a few).” However, no where does he consider that mobile phone use rather than speed cameras might be the reason road deaths are now falling less quickly than they were. Clearly the law on phones is widely ignored and police enforcement and penalties pathetic, so why not challenge this? His theory also centres around a few bad drivers. Good news for most drivers, particularly when surveys show the vast majority think they are better than average. He fails to recongise how small increases in risk by the average driver (by say going a few miles an hour faster) result in a lot more crashes and more serious crashes overall. He also calls for more driver education not remembering the best evidence from a Cochrane systematic review shows, “This systematic review provides no evidence that post-licence driver education is effective in preventing road traffic injuries or crashes.”[1] In his most recent posting he call for the roads to be more ‘error tolerant’, this is a cover for promoting safety by driving pedestrians and cyclists of the roads.
On the question of revenue, financial penalties aimed at stopping harmful behaviour always produce the risk that authorities have an interest in maintaining the behaviour. It would also apply to taxes on smoking. A more equitable solution would be to more readily ban drivers, which would less disproportionally affect poorer drivers. If you think life would be impossible without your car, think how difficult is life in a car dependent society for the many people without cars now, such as children and many elderly people? And of course drivers always have the choice of not speeding.
Paul Smith claims that buses are ten times more dangerous to pedestrians than cars. But his figures are per vehicle mile, not per passenger mile. Buses carry far more people than cars (usually more than ten times more) so this point is seriously misleading. It should also be noted that cars promote sprawled patterns of living that increase distances travelled, like L.A. Any comparison in terms of km travelled will miss the greater distance necessitated by car dependency. Buses also operate in areas of higher population density than cars making pedestrian injuries more likely. Parked cars also represents a significant increase in risk of being hit by any kind of vehicle, including of course buses.
I would be interested to see where he is getting his improbable sounding figures on rail safety from. I do hope he remembers to put rail deaths due to cars on the line as caused by cars not rail!
However, his most entertaining assertion is that “It's also notable that every advanced economy in the world has developed a similar 'car dependence' based on free market choice.” This is fundamentally flawed because of two assumptions. Firstly, that free market choice provides what most people want, and secondly that we have actually seen a free market. Free market choice means that cars are able to impose danger on more vulnerable road users thereby intimidating them into using a car or stop using the road altogether. An individual car is also faster than a bus but the greater number of vehicles necessary for car as opposed to bus travel means all vehicles are slowed down. Therefore, every individual is rational to switch to a car but everyone ends up worse off than before. As mentioned already car travel also promotes sprawled land use that makes public transport less efficient and walking less suitable. Secondly, the free market was very much assisted by corporate interests and friends in government. Did the free market pay for the roads? In the USA a combination of General Motors and Firestone tyres bought up and destroyed the finest tram systems in the world and replaced them with inferior buses. This was officially recognised in the Snell report. Similar processes occurred in many countries. What we have seen is not a free market but corporate capitalism producing inefficient and dangerous transport that benefits no-one except the corporate interests. These include car firms, oil, construction, advertising, banking, metal, rubber, and firms that benefit from cheap long distance goods travel by road- such as supermarkets. So no wonder that New Labour has not reduced car use as it is has failed to challenge corporate interests here as elsewhere.
[1] http://www.update-software.com/Abstracts/ab003734.htm
Competing interests: None declared
Competing interests: No competing interests