Comparison of specialty referral rates in the United Kingdom and the United States: retrospective cohort analysis
BMJ 2002; 325 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.325.7360.370 (Published 17 August 2002) Cite this as: BMJ 2002;325:370
Data supplement
Table 2 Actual and expected specialty referral rates ...
Table 3 Specialty specific referral rates for patients with selected conditions ...
Table 1 Characteristics of study population.* Values are numbers (percentages) unless stated otherwise
Characteristic United States health plans United Kingdom general practice research database (n=757 680) Upper Mid-Atlantic plan (n=253 478) Midwestern plan A (n=20 549) Midwestern plan B (n=70 288) Northeastern plan (n=29 499) Lower Mid-Atlantic plan (n=10 869) Mean (SD) age (years) 29.1 (18.8) 29.6 (18.4) 32.7 (19.1) 32.2 (19.1) 29.8 (18.5) 31.3 (18.4) Age distribution: 0-17 years 92 238 (36.4) 7 551 (36.8) 22 380 (31.8) 9 221 (31.3) 3 702 (34.1) 221 312 (29.2) 18-44 years 96 189 (38.0) 7 549 (36.7) 23 250 (33.1) 10 517 (35.6) 4 360 (40.1) 316 812 (41.8) 45-64 years 65 051 (25.7) 5 449 (26.5) 24 658 (35.1) 9 761 (33.1) 2 807 (25.8) 219 556 (29.0) Female 134 688 (53.1) 10 611 (51.6) 37 060 (52.7) 16 059 (54.4) 6 161 (56.7) 398 920 (52.7) No of chronic conditions: 0 176 315 (69.6) 16 308 (79.4) 53 939 (76.7) 19 411 (65.8) 6 800 (62.6) 581 840 (76.8) 1 56 667 (24.4) 3 470 (16.9) 12 895 (18.4) 7 162 (24.3) 2 702 (24.9) 147 011 (19.4) 2+ 20 496 (6.1) 771 (3.8) 3 454 (4.9) 2 926 (9.9) 1 367 (12.5) 28 829 (3.8) Treated morbidity index group: 1 (lowest/healthiest) 39 992 (15.8) 3 281 (16.0) 13 325 (19.0) 4 803 (16.3) 1 546 (14.2) 136 630 (18.0) 2 35 588 (41.7) 8 918 (43.4) 27 072 (38.5) 10 389 (35.2) 3 724 (34.3) 276 260 (36.5) 3 105 633 (24.8) 4 920 (23.9) 16 740 (23.8) 7 301 (24.8) 2 705 (24.9) 188 533 (24.9) 4 33 754 (13.3) 2 364 (11.5) 9 280 (13.2) 4 736 (16.0) 1 893 (17.4) 92 878 (12.3) 5 5 968 (2.5) 646 (3.1) 2 182 (3.1) 1 223 (4.2) 511 (4.7) 33 971 (4.5) 6 (highest/sickest) 5 329 (1.9) 420 (2.0) 1 689 (2.4) 1 047 (3.6) 490 (4.5) 29 408 (3.9) Mean No of unique ICD-9 codes recorded by primary care physicians per person 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.0 *Restricted to people aged 0-64 years with 6-12 months of enrolment on plan (US) or registration with general practice (UK) and at least one consultation with their primary care physician during the study period. Pregnant women were excluded.
Table 2 Actual and expected specialty referral rates, United States and United Kingdom
Referral rates and rate ratios United States health plans United Kingdom general practice research database (n=757 680) Upper Mid-Atlantic plan (n=253 478) Midwestern plan (n=20 549) Midwestern plan (n=70 288) Northeastern plan (n=29 499) Lower Mid-Atlantic plan (n=10 869) Actual referral rate (% (No) patients referred per year) 30.0 (76 169) 35.7 (7 341) 34.9 (24 492) 32.6 (9 632) 36.8 (3 999) 13.9 (105 072) Expected referral rate* (% patients referred per year) 30.0 29.7 30.0 31.8 33.0 31.2 Ratio of actual to expected referral rate (95% CI) 1.00 1.20 (1.17 to 1.23) 1.16 (1.14 to 1.17) 1.02 (1.00 to 1.04) 1.11 (1.08 to 1.15) 0.44 (0.44 to 0.45) *Sicker populations have higher expected referral rates. Expected rates reflect what overall referral rate would be if the population had referral rates within adjusted clinical group categories equivalent to those of upper mid-Atlantic plan (reference population).
Table 3 Specialty specific referral rates for patients with selected conditions, United States and United Kingdom
Type of specialist Condition No of people with condition managed in primary care settings per 1000 population Referral rate (% with condition referred to indicated specialty) Difference in referral rates between US and UK (%) Combined US health plans (n=384 693) United Kingdom (n=757 680) Combined US health plans (n=384 693) United Kingdom (n=757 680) Dermatologist Dermatitis and eczema 44 87 10.6 2.8 7.8* Acne 12 26 14.8 5.3 9.5* Viral warts and molluscum contagiosum 23 26 10.4 4.9 5.5* Neurologist Seizure disorder 3 7 27.3 6.1 21.2* Otolaryngologist Otitis media 131 93 6.8 4.4 2.4* Deviated nasal septum 0.4 0.5 52.7 42.8 9.9 Deafness, hearing loss 3 14 28.8 22.4 6.4* Chronic pharyngitis and tonsillitis 2 1 24.5 29.6 -5.1 Ophthalmologist Strabismus, amblyopia 0.4 2 44.2 32.6 11.6* Disorders of the eyelid or lacrimal duct, excluding blepharitis, chalazion 2 9 22.4 9.6 12.8* Refractive errors 1 0.8 15.0 18.2 -3.2 Orthopaedic surgeon Low back pain 48 101 9.7 4.6 5.1* Cervical pain syndromes 12 35 9.2 3.4 5.8* Psychiatrist Depression, anxiety, neuroses 46 108 7.5 5.5 2.0* Attention deficit disorder 14 0.4 4.1 9.4 -5.3* Personality disorders 0.2 1 17.4 13.2 4.2 General surgeon Anorectal conditions 11 28 18.7 13.4 5.3* Cholelithiasis, cholecystitis 3 4 34.0 14.5 19.5* External abdominal hernias, hydroceles 4 9 52.4 27.0 25.4* *P<0.01.
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