Increases in life expectancy likely to be smaller in future

BMJ 2001; 322 doi: (Published 03 March 2001) Cite this as: BMJ 2001;322:512
  1. Scott Gottlieb
  1. New York

    Though life expectancy rose dramatically during the 20th century—rising by 30 years—additional increases are likely to be smaller, according to a new study.

    If current trends in death rates continue, the average life expectancy will reach 85 years in 2033 in France, 2035 in Japan, and 2182 in the United States.

    The life expectancy at birth for females in the United States was 79 years in 1995, the most recent data available, and the life expectancy for males was two years lower (Science 2001;291: 1491-2.)

    According to S Jay Olshansky and colleagues, life expectancy in the United States …

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