Smoking death toll shifts to third world

BMJ 1997; 315 doi: (Published 06 September 1997) Cite this as: BMJ 1997;315:563

The 10th world conference on tobacco or health was held in Beijing last month. Richard Tomlinson reports

The ever rising number of deaths from tobacco related disease will shift markedly from the developed to the developing world over the next three decades.

Grim statistics presented by Richard Peto, professor of medical statistics at Oxford University, estimated that annual tobacco related deaths worldwide had been 3 million a year in 1990, rising to 3.5 million this year, and would hit 10 million some time between 2025 and 2030.

Most marked was the huge jump expected in poorer countries. …

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