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Few government forecasts of public expenditure have been realistic

BMJ 1997; 315 doi: (Published 12 July 1997) Cite this as: BMJ 1997;315:120
  1. Jennifer Dixon, Fellow in policy analysisa
  1. a King's Fund Policy Institute, London W1M 0AN

    Editor—Matthew G Dunnigan points out that the government's forecast for funding the NHS for 1998-2000 is close to 0.1% growth in real terms—much lower than the average annual 3% real growth awarded to the NHS over the past 20 years.1 Because colleagues and I used the figure of 3% in our projections for …

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