We continue to monitor our scenario planning trends and themes as our landscape evolves.
Technology Artificial intelligence, machine learning and automation
Geopolitical Globalisation and protectionism / nationalism
China continues to increase its influence in research, improving the quality as well as quantity of its research output. Total number of patented inventions has risen from 85,000 (2006) to 1.67 million (2015) – an increase of over 1,850% (Source 2017 Top 100 Chinese Innovators report, Clarivate Analytics).
Trump walked out of the Paris climate change agreement, abandoned the Iran nuclear deal, declared a trade war with the EU and Canada on national security grounds and now China too, and made a personal attack on Canadian PM Trudeau following the G7 summit in Quebec (Source The Guardian). At the Brussels NATO summit he has demanded that EU states increase their contributions to defence as a % of GDP.
Socio-economic Distrust of experts and personalisation of brand
Research types Translational, serendipitous, data-driven and interdisciplinary.
Research actors Disruptive and uncertain.
Funding landscape Cost of research, collaboration and open science.
UK Research and Innovation bring together nine research councils.
Research evaluation Economic impact and research stories.
Future of research communication Evolution and authenticity
Research institutes continue to launch open research platforms eg Irish Health Research Board, Association of Medical Research Charities and the European Commission.
Healthcare Sustainability, connectedness and privacy