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Screening for prostate cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

BMJ 2010; 341 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.c4543 (Published 14 September 2010) Cite this as: BMJ 2010;341:c4543

Rapid Response:

Metaanalysis between claim and reality

Metaanalysis should summarize information by pooling data from
studies with congruent design. If this precondition is not fulfilled, the
conclusions drawn from a metaanalysis are rather doubtful and could be
misleading.1 The metaanalysis by Djulbegovic and colleagues including six
studies of heterogenous design is apparently such an example.1 Several
conclusions have been drawn from the contradictory results of the two
large ERSPC and PLOC screening trials published in 2009.2;3 Furthermore,
it is questionable if a study initially not including PSA and only
accounting for 0.39% of all patients4 should be included even if a long
follow up is available. A more serious problem is the inclusion of the
Quebec study,5 which has been criticize for several drawbacks.6 The design
of the Quebec study, the method of analysis, and the fact that only 23% of
those approached participated were main problems of this trial.6 On the
other hand, a large regional screening trial from Tyrol was not included
in this metaanalysis.7 When excluding the extreme small study4 and the
Quebec study5 there would be only 4 studies, where 3 studies are the ERSPC
or parts of the ERSPC study.

We appreciate the detailed analysis of the authors but we cannot
follow their conclusions. From our viewpoint it is more likely that the
well conducted ERSPC study with 20% mortality reduction8 and newer sub-
studies with 44% mortality reduction9 indicate the real value of PSA
screening than a summary based on old and partially insufficient data. It
is highly assumable that further updates of those ERSPC studies with
sufficient design will favor even more PSA screening.

Funding None

Competing interests:
Carsten Stephan has no conflicts of interest.
Kurt Miller has no conflicts of interest.
Klaus Jung has no conflicts of interest.

Copyright
The Corresponding Author has the right to grant on behalf of all authors
and does grant on behalf of all authors.

(1) Djulbegovic M, Beyth RJ, Neuberger MM, Stoffs TL, Vieweg J,
Djulbegovic B et al. Screening for prostate cancer: systematic review and
meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. BMJ 2010;341:c4543.

(2) Barry MJ. Screening for prostate cancer--the controversy that
refuses to die. N Engl J Med 2009;360:1351-4.

(3) Esserman L, Shieh Y, Thompson I. Rethinking screening for breast
cancer and prostate cancer. JAMA 2009;302:1685-92.

(4) Sandblom G, Varenhorst E, Lofman O, Rosell J, Carlsson P.
Clinical consequences of screening for prostate cancer: 15 years follow-up
of a randomised controlled trial in Sweden. Eur Urol 2004;46:717-23.

(5) Labrie F, Candas B, Dupont A, Cusan L, Gomez JL, Suburu RE et
al. Screening decreases prostate cancer death: first analysis of the 1988
Quebec prospective randomized controlled trial. Prostate 1999;38:83-91.

(6) Boer R, Schroder FH. Quebec randomized controlled trial on
prostate cancer screening shows no evidence for mortality reduction.
Prostate 1999;40:130-4.

(7) Bartsch G, Horninger W, Klocker H, Pelzer A, Bektic J,
Oberaigner W et al. Tyrol Prostate Cancer Demonstration Project: early
detection, treatment, outcome, incidence and mortality. BJU Int
2008;101:809-16.

(8) Schroder FH, Hugosson J, Roobol MJ, Tammela TL, Ciatto S, Nelen
V et al. Screening and prostate-cancer mortality in a randomized European
study. N Engl J Med 2009;360:1320-8.

(9) Hugosson J, Carlsson S, Aus G, Bergdahl S, Khatami A, Lodding P
et al. Mortality results from the Goteborg randomised population-based
prostate-cancer screening trial. Lancet Oncol 2010;11:725-32.

Competing interests: No competing interests

24 November 2010
Carsten Stephan
Urologist
Kurt Miller, Klaus Jung
Dept. of Urology, Charite - Universitaetsmedizin Berlin, and Berlin Institute for Urologic Research,