Trends in mental health inequalities in England during a period of recession, austerity and welfare reform 2004 to 2013
Section snippets
Background
In England the onset of the recession in 2008 and subsequent rises in unemployment were associated with an upturn in suicides (Barr, B. et al., 2012) and an increase in other adverse mental health outcomes (Hawton et al., 2015, Spence et al., 2014). Whilst a deterioration in mental health during recessions has been reported in many studies, these trends have tended to reverse once unemployment levels have fallen (Biddle et al., 2008). This has not, however, been the case in England in recent
Data sources and measures
We analysed trends in the prevalence of mental health problems using the Quarterly Labour Force survey (QLFS). The QLFS is made up of a rolling panel with each household interviewed for 5 consecutive quarters, the first wave of the QLFS is face-to-face while waves 2–5 are by telephone (ONS, 2011). We included all respondents aged between 18 and 59 from England who were in each of the quarterly surveys between the first quarter of 2004 and the first quarter of 2013. We did not include data from
Trends in mental health problems
Fig. 2 shows the overall quarterly trend in the prevalence of mental health problems between 2004 and 2013 along with the fitted results from the segmented regression model.
The segmented regression analysis indicated that there was a significant break in the trend between the last quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009. From this point to the first quarter of 2013 the increase in mental health problems was significantly greater than the trend between the first quarter of 2004 and the
Discussion
We found that there was a significant increase in the trend in reported mental health problems since 2008 and that inequalities between people with high versus low levels of education widened since this time. Increases have been greatest amongst people out of work. Overall trends in unemployment and declines in wages explained 36% of this increase. However as declines in wages only had a small effect and unemployment did not increase markedly after 2009 these economic trends did not explain why
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