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Mortality Spike at New Year but not Christmas in North East England

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Abstract

Mortality in the USA has been shown to spike on Christmas and New Year’s Day. No comparable analyses are available for European data despite recognised seasonal mortality variations. Deaths for 1986–2000 were analysed by date for Newcastle and North Tyneside (NNT) to examine the Christmas period and the weeks surrounding Easter. A spike in mortality attributable to increases in cardiac and respiratory deaths was seen on New Year’s Day but not on Christmas Day. No disturbance of trend was seen at Easter. The causes of the ‘holiday phenomenon’ are not understood, but absence of a Christmas spike in NNT may indicate that it is preventable.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Population and Health Sciences, University of Newcastle upon Tyne,Tyne & Wear Strategic Health Authority, Riverside House, The Waterfront, Goldcrest Way, Newburn Riverside, Newcastle upon Tyne NE15 8NY, England

    Eugene M. G. Milne

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  1. Eugene M. G. Milne
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Correspondence to Eugene M. G. Milne.

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Milne, E.M.G. Mortality Spike at New Year but not Christmas in North East England. Eur J Epidemiol 20, 849–854 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-005-2147-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-005-2147-8

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