Data inputs used in Markov model of the effect and cost effectiveness of dark chocolate consumption in a population with metabolic syndrome free of cardiovascular disease and diagnosed diabetes
| Data input | Base case value | Uncertainty analysis | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reduction in systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | 5 | 2 to 8 | Ried 20109 |
| Reduction in total cholesterol (mmol/L) | 0.21 | 0.05 to 0.36 | Jia 201011 |
| Annual cost data ($A) | |||
| Myocardial infarction: | |||
| Year 1 care | 23 588 | 21 229 to 25 947 | Salkeld 199719 |
| Ongoing care | 2321 | 2089 to 2553 | Salkeld 199719 |
| Stroke: | |||
| Year 1 care | 27 047 | 24 342 to 29 752 | Salkeld 199719 |
| Ongoing care | 6828 | 6145 to 7511 | Salkeld 199719 |
| Cardiovascular death | 14 756 | 13 280 to 16 231 | Walker 201020 |
$A1.00 (£0.62; €0.77; $0.99).