|Variable name||Coefficient*||Standard error|
|Age and sex†||—||—|
|157 ICD-10 groups (diagnoses variables)‡||—||—|
|Persons in social rented housing||0.35||0.08|
|All disability allowance claimants||422.42||72.33|
|People aged 16–74 years with no qualifications (age standardised)||23.97||4.66|
|Mature city professionals||−28.25||8.139|
|Proportion of students in population||−1571.83||141.19|
|If person had a privately funded inpatient episode of care provided by NHS (2004–6)||−555.74||23.09|
|Asthma prevalence (2006)||3.17||0.83|
|Quality of stroke care (primary and secondary care) by weighted population (2005)||−0.74||0.17|
|Accessibility to magnetic resonance imaging||7781.37||1625.73|
|Catchment population of hospital trust that supplied practice with largest number of inpatient admissions (2006-7)||−0.0000354||0.00001|
*Coefficients are unstandardised, so they are dependent on the units of measurement; hence the large values for some variables, which do not necessarily reflect their strength in predicting future costs. All coefficients are significant at P<0.01.
†The results for a total of 38 separate age and sex groups are shown in web extra table A on bmj.com.
‡The results for a total of 157 separate ICD-10 groups are shown in web extra table B on bmj.com.