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Flaws predicting falls . . . and other stories

BMJ 2017; 358 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.j3258 (Published 13 July 2017) Cite this as: BMJ 2017;358:j3258

Falls prediction scores might not predict falls

In the busy emergency department of a major metropolitan adult tertiary hospital in Perth, Western Australia, patients aged over 65 who were considered fit to discharge home were assessed for their future risk of falls using the Falls Risk for Older Persons Community Setting Screening Tool and the Two-Item Screening Tool (Emerg Med J doi:10.1136/emermed-2016-206233). Just over a third of the patients had experienced a previous fall, but for them and for those who had not, these tools were little better than the toss of a coin in predicting falls within the next six months.

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