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Two thirds of NHS trusts forecast a deficit this year, up from a quarter last year

BMJ 2015; 351 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.h3670 (Published 06 July 2015) Cite this as: BMJ 2015;351:h3670
  1. Ingrid Torjesen
  1. 1London

Two thirds of NHS trusts in England, including nine in 10 acute care trusts, are forecasting a deficit at the end of the 2015-16 financial year, a survey of finance directors by the think tank the King’s Fund shows.

The survey of 254 finance directors at NHS trusts was carried out between 5 June and 22 June 2015. One hundred responded, of whom 66% forecast an end of year deficit, up from 25% at the same time last year. Among acute care trusts 89% forecast a deficit, up from 21% last year.

And 62% of the finance directors said that even these pessimistic forecasts depended on the provision of additional financial support, running down their reserves, or both.

Richard Murray, director of policy at the King’s Fund, said, “Last year’s deficit among NHS providers was unprecedented, but this year is shaping up to be much worse. …

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