Identifying melanomas in primary care: can we do better?

BMJ 2012; 345 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.e4244 (Published 4 July 2012)
Cite this as: BMJ 2012;345:e4244

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Newton-Bishop and Lorigan have raised important questions about the role of technology in improving patient outcomes (1). Technology seduces patients and providers, yet again is lacking an evidence base. Responses to this article reveal the tensions between a rising skin cancer incidence, increasing patient awareness, and appropriate referral amidst austerity measures. The spotlight is squarely focused on primary care.

However, little data is published on secondary care diagnostic performance. Whilst the profile of referrals to secondary care would ideally reflect a higher specificity and sensitivity of pickup in primary care, dermatologists have largely not declared their diagnostic performance when processing these referrals. This could be easily done through a declaration of surgical histology results. Are dermatologists sifting referrals to distinguish the good from the bad and the plain ugly? Are they providing PCTs and future commissioning groups with a good value surgical service?

Part of the problem lies in poor existing measures of diagnostic performance. The most widely used indices, the benign:malignant ratio (the number of benign naevi divided by the total number of melanomas) and the number needed to treat (number of melanocytic lesions excised for each melanoma), are weak surrogate markers of specificity at best (2). Neither reflects detection of thin melanoma which, although harder to diagnose, carries a better prognosis if excised, and is a surrogate for diagnostic sensitivity.

The time is ripe for General Practice to put the pressure on secondary care departments to be more transparent about their diagnostic performance and surgical services. Part of this will necessitate validated and acceptable measures of performance that will demonstrate that dermatologists can distinguish melanoma from benign lesions, and excise early melanoma. Such data is beginning to emerge (3), however commissioning groups will need to press harder for answers.

References:

1. Newton-Bishop J, Lorigan P. Identifying melanomas in primary care: can we do
better? BMJ [Internet]. 2012 Jul 4 [cited 2012 Sep 9];345(jul04 1):e4244–e4244.

2. Chia ALK, Simonova G, Dutta B, Lim A, Shumack S. Melanoma diagnosis:
Australian dermatologists’ number needed to treat. The Australasian journal of
dermatology [Internet]. 2008 Feb [cited 2012 Sep 9];49(1):12–5.

3. Sidhu S, Bodger O, Williams N et al. The number of benign moles excised for
each malignant melanoma: the number needed to treat. Clin Exp Dermatol
2012 Jan;37(1):6-9

Competing interests: None declared

Imran Mahmud, Academic Clinical Trainee

Oxford University Hospitals, Hertford College, Catte St, Oxford OX1 3PG

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Excising moles that worry people seems simplest.

When specialists demand to provide a service, they often complain shortly afterward about the volume of work they acquire, and try to dump it and the risk back into general practice.

Either accept GPs actually managing the presenting condition and patient, or accept the referrals.

Competing interests: None declared

ADRIAN KEITH MIDGLEY, GP

Isca Medical Practice, Exeter, 6 Homefield Rd Exeter, EX1 2QS

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As identified by a number of authors and respondents here, the detection of melanoma with the naked eye in primary care is particularly challenging. This study adds to the already growing body of evidence that automated diagnostic instruments in detecting melanomas are poor. Cave identifies a number of possible primary care based methods of addressing improved diagnosis. These include safety netting, better scoring systems and the use of techniques such as photography or dermoscopy. Improved GP education is certainly a must.

At the North West London Cancer Network, we are currently piloting a project in Hounslow aiming to improve our early diagnosis rates, referral rates, and GP confidence. Currently 23% of melanomas in North West London are picked up via the 2WW route compared to the 41% national average. 10% are also picked up via the emergency route compared to the 3% national figure. Keeping to a primary care based approach, we are focusing on the use of photography. Uniquely we are not using this to aid the referral decision, but to aid GP education.

After referral, it is easy to forget the details of the mole and it can be a few weeks (during which time 300-400 patients can be seen) before the diagnosis letter comes back. It may not return to the referring GP. The concept is that a photograph is taken of a lesion prior to urgent referral and uploaded into the patient records. When the diagnosis comes back, the referring doctor compares this to the image and reflects on the clinical characteristics and referral decision. This is then shared with the clinical team. GPs are encouraged to carry out Significant Event Analyses (SEAs) to formally capitalise on reflective learning and use this for appraisal and revalidation. SEAs and learning rooted in patient care has been shown to have a deeper impact on the development of skills and knowledge and is more likely to change practice. This adult learning approach to giving visual feedback on a visual decision to refer, keeps GPs in control of their learning while respecting the input of specialists. The project is currently being run in Hounslow and outcomes are eagerly awaited.

For further information, please contact Sarita.Yaganti@nwlcn.nhs.uk

Competing interests: None declared

Afsana M Safa, General Practitioner

Dr Pawan Randev, Sarita Yaganti

North West London Cancer Network, 15 Marylebone Road. London NW1 5JD

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The UK melanoma mortality rate continues to rise (www.ncin.org.uk). Stage at treatment is the main determinant of outcome, related to public awareness, early diagnosis and prompt treatment. A tension exists between early referral of possible melanomas, and over referral of benign pigmented lesions. Our editorial was about a new technology tested as a means of improving diagnostic accuracy in primary care. (1) Based on the findings of the study, we intended to suggest that targeted education of primary health care teams and specialisation within teams might be key to maximising diagnostic accuracy and referral in primary care, rather than reliance on technologies which appear to be difficult to optimise. The respondents have suggested that we have been critical of primary health care physicians, which was not in any way our intention. We understand the difficulties of diagnosis (in primary or secondary care). “Missing” melanomas is not confined to primary care: melanomas may confound the most expert dermatologists.

The variation in survival between countries is considerable: Eurocare 4 reports 5-year survival for patients diagnosed 1995-99 from 63% (Poland) to 92% (Northern Ireland) with Wales at 74% and England at 85%. (www.eurocare.it). NCIN data show a range for those diagnosed 2001 to 2005 from 79% in one region of the UK to 92% in another. The Patient Experience Survey for 2010 suggests that the majority of melanoma patients are referred in a timely fashion. (2). That there is a significant range in survival even within the UK however suggests that there remains scope for improvement, a proportion of which might be within the realm of diagnosis within primary care. This variation most likely largely reflects stage at excision in a relatively small proportion of patients, probably related to late presentation or failure to detect and treat quickly (although the root causes of that variation will be much better understood as data collection in the UK improves).

Intuitively it feels right that increased physician training and specialisation result in better outcomes, particularly in a condition relying on visual recognition. The study from Walter et al (1) suggests that this is indeed the case, with a significant improvement in ‘appropriate’ referral without increasing the false negative rate in the trained GPs. Cave comments that GPs need better scoring systems, and need to be empowered to utilise clinical photos, clinical review and possibly dermoscopy. Education is a key part of this. Most UK medical students however receive little dermatology training. Outpatient dermatology rarely forms part of the training of GPs yet consultation about moles is common. The UK Melanoma Taskforce took the view that increasing education of GPs about skin cancer was desirable. (www.skcin.org). Cancer Research UK and the British Association of Dermatology launched an “on line” tool at doctorsnet.co.uk this summer, which was funded by the DOH to aid in decision making for referral under the 2 week wait rule.

That there is marked regional variation in melanoma outcomes suggests that early diagnosis is something that can be addressed. The screening of pigmented lesions is difficult and our view is that education of health care professionals is to be recommended as an integral component of addressing this.

1 Walter F, Morris H, Humphrys E. et al. Effect of adding a diagnostic aid to best practice to manage suspicious pigmented lesions in primary care: randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 2012 Jul 4;345:e4110. doi: 10.1136/bmj.e4110
2 Lyratzopoulos G, Neal R, Barbiere J, et al. Variation in number of general practitioner consultations before hospital referral for cancer: findings from the 2010 National Cancer Patient Experience Survey in England. Lancet Oncology 2012, 13; 353-365

Competing interests: PLorigan - no competing interests. JNewton-Bishop - previously took part in a study designed to assess another diagnostic aid.

Paul Lorigan, Medical Oncologist

Julia Newton-Bishop

The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Wilmslow Rd, Manchester M20 4BX

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The authors' thinking is muddled and their conclusions are lazy. They object to the current referral rates for suspected melanoma, in spite of 91% compliance with referral guidelines, but offer no guidance on what referral rates should be. No international comparators are given to indicate whether UK practice is at variance with global norms. Instead we are offered a ridiculous comparison with the rate of positive diagnoses in suspected leukaemia, which is diagnosed with an objective blood test for which there is no dermatological equivalent.

The authors appear to believe that too many possible skin cancers are referred and quote the UK statistics disparagingly, despite providing not a shred of objective evidence of under-performance. Extraordinarily, they then use the term "correct" to designate referrals which lead to a diagnosis of skin cancer. Are they really suggesting that it is "incorrect" to refer a possible cancer unless it is retrospectively confirmed as cancerous? The most charitable interpretation is that their grasp of logic has failed. A less charitable one is that they are promoting the very dangerous idea that GPs are somehow failing if they refer possible skin cancers that turn out to be benign.

Having denounced GPs for supposedly over-referring suspected cancers, the final paragraph then concludes that the higher average stage of melanoma at presentation in the UK (compared to Europe) is "probably" due to GPs' lack of dermatological training. By this stage, the reader can hardly be surprised that the authors offer no evidence at all for another slur on primary care. The possibility of patients presenting late to GPs is not considered, nor do the authors stop to wonder how GPs could be simultaneously referring too late while complying so closely with expert referral guidelines.

Competing interests: None declared

Joanna Bayley, GP

n/a, Gloucestershire

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My GP colleagues make good points in their rapid responses to perceived criticism. But to be fair to Newton-Bishop and Lorigan, they point out in following the 'expert' guidance these are the results. Diagnosing melanoma clinically is clearly a very difficult business. They point out that known clinical methods have high false-positive rates. Unsurprisingly, teaching them to GPs does not appear to improve things. Even MoleMate did not improve the "rate of appropriate referrals". But would it reduce the sum total of morbidity and mortality from malignant melanoma? Faced with a subset of moles pre-selected by GP referral, a Specialist in doubt will perform an excision biopsy. Studies show that such biopsies are frequently benign histologically. Newton-Bishop and Lorigan state: "The increased rate of referral in the MoleMate group is reminiscent of the observation that dermatologists show increased concern about borderline lesions when they first start to use dermoscopy to examine naevi. This increased referral rate might therefore have settled over time. Nonetheless, the technology was not of benefit. "

How can we do better? Perhaps our aim (GPs and Specialists) should be to ensure that all malignant melanoms are promptly diagnosed and excised, rather than pursue 'a rate of appropriate referral'. Given the imprecision of clinical tools, this would carry costs - an increase in the numbers of benign lesions referred, or an increase in the number of benign lesions biopsied. Both events seem to be happening.

Dr Ashworth makes the salient point that we GPs really need a good clinical way of confidently reassuring the worried patient that she does NOT have a malignant melanoma. Presently the only sure way to do this is excision-biopsy.

Seeking such reassurance his own wife was found on biopsy to have malignant melanoma. I well remember two such cases in my own practice, back in the days when a GP excising a mole was a commonplace.

Competing interests: None declared

L Sam LEWIS, GP Trainer

Pembrokeshire VTS, Surgery, Newport, Pembrokeshire SA42 0TJ

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The phrase "correctly referred" in the context of a potential cancer diagnosis and in the absence of sound qualitative data on the referral process reflects the danger of forming conclusions on the basis of quantitative studies without a qualitative evidence base.

As a GP, when presented with a pigmented lesion in General Practice I don't need systems to tell me what is likely to be a Melanoma, I need a system with a low false positive rate to reassure me that it is NOT a Melanoma. Until I can be provided with an evidence based method of reassuring patients whose outcome is no worse than referral to a specialist, I will stick with current practice on the basis of current evidence.

Competing interests: My wife's apparently benign mole was diagnosed as melanoma by a pathologist after being removed in General Practice.

Andrew J Ashworth, GP

Davidsons Mains Medical Centre, 5 Quality Street, EDINBURGH, EH4 5BP

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Whilst I won't labour the very pertinent points already made by my colleagues , I would also draw attention to the fact that according to the authors >90% of the referrals followed the referral guidelines (which were presumably drawn up according to national guidance with local, secondary care, interpretation).

If this has 'only' yielded a 'successful' detection rate of 11.8%, would the authors suggest that GPs ignore the guidelines, and only refer when they were 'more convinced'?

Competing interests: I am a GP

Avish Punater, GP

Berkshire East, Berkshire East PCT

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22 July 2012

I agree with Dr Cave in his response(1) that Prof Newton-Bishop and Paul Lorigan completely miss the point about Primary Care management of malignant melanoma. They also choose a ridiculous example of the correct diagnosis as a percentage of patients referred. They state that "The proportion of patients correctly referred with suspected melanoma was 11.8%, compared with 61.7% for suspected leukaemia." Leukaemia is diagnosed in primary care by the results of a full blood count taken from a patient with a history or symptoms that raise the suspicion of the disease. GPs very rarely refer people with a suspected diagnosis of leukaemia without doing a blood count. Indeed I would suspect that their unreferenced figure of 61.7% is inaccurate as it should surely be much closer to 100%. What diagnosis did the over one third of patients referred with possible leukaemia actually have?

The article was not peer reviewed, perhaps a peer review from a primary care physician with an interest would have been sensible.

As Dr Cave states, this is another example of secondary care blaming primary care for poor care from a position of ignorance. At a time of increasing criticism of the medical profession from the media, perhaps they should be more supportive, and seek advice from their GP colleagues before pointing fingers

1. http://www.bmj.com/content/345/bmj.e4244?tab=responses

Competing interests: I am a GP with an interest in Dermatology

Trefor J Roscoe, GP

Sothall and Beighton Medical Practice, Sothall Medical Centre, 24 Eckington Road, Sheffield, S20 5JX

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Prof Newton-Bishop and Paul Lorigan completely miss the point. It is a shame that two secondary care professionals were asked to reflect on how primary care can improve the identification of melanomas.
GPs management of melanoma has been completely disempowered by the 2ww system. Whilst suspicious lesions are seen quickly any other lesion can wait months to be seen by a dermatologist. We quickly learnt in our practice after missing one that there was only one way a GP can live with a presentation of concern about a melanoma and that is to refer it...hence the low proportion of patients correctly referred.

Secondary care uses secondary care features to determine scoring systems like MoleMate or Mackie. In my experience a worried patient will always have an itchy mole if asked and often will present with bleeding because a perfectly benign lesion has been knocked.
To improve the identification of melanomas in primary care GPs need better scoring systems, that work on a primary care population. They need to be empowered to used techniques such as reviewing the patient again, photography and perhaps dermoscopy, They do not require throw away remarks, based on no evidence, that they need more training, by dermatologists who have never worked in primary care.

Competing interests: I am a GP

James A Cave, GP

Downland Practice, Chieveley, Newbury

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