Recent rapid responses

Rapid responses are electronic letters to the editor. They enable our users to debate issues raised in articles published on bmj.com. Although a selection of rapid responses will be included as edited readers' letters in the weekly print issue of the BMJ, their first appearance online means that they are published articles. If you need the url (web address) of an individual response, perhaps for citation purposes, simply click on the response headline and copy the url from the browser window.

Displaying 1-7 out of 7 published

27 June 2012

Dear editor,

In their article about communicating risk, the authors present the summary statistics relative risk reduction (RRR), absolute risk reduction (ARR) and numbers needed to treat (NNT).

For communicating risk reductions, relative risk reduction (RRR), compared with absolute risk reduction (ARR) and number needed to treat (NNT), may be perceived to be larger and is more likely to be persuasive (1). However, it is uncertain whether presenting RRR is likely to help people make decisions most consistent with their own values and, in fact, it could lead to misinterpretation (1).

Although the RRR may be similar across different risk groups, the ARRs are not. ARRs become smaller when event rates are low, whereas RRR remains constant. Thus, RRR can be misleading. The lower the event rate in the control group, the larger the difference between RRR and ARR.

The RRR fails to discriminate absolute treatment effects that are clinically significant from those that are trivial, and is frequently misleading for doctors and for patients.

The clinical review concludes that ARR is a more balanced and understandable representation of risk reduction for patients and clinicians than RRR of NNT. Is it time to abandon the RRR?

1.Akl EA, Oxman AD, Herrin J, Vist GE, Terrenato I, Sperati F, Costiniuk C, Blank D, Schünemann H. Using alternative statistical formats for presenting risks and risk reductions. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2011 Mar 16;(3):CD006776. Review.

Competing interests: None declared

Jan Matthys, GP

University of Ghent, De Pintelaan 185, 9000 Gent

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25 June 2012

I'm a little surprised that no mention of gender differences in interpretation of risk is made in this article.

My practice is to treat communication of risk very differently when communicating risk to male and female patients.

My experience is that men do not respond at all well to negative attribute framing while female patients are strongly motivated by this approach. Similarly, presenting risk reduction is not as helpful for male patients as female in my experience.

Is there any data on gender specific difference in acceptance and efficacy of different modes of risk communication?

Competing interests: None declared

andrew f Field, gp

none, 32 Clifton, York

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22 June 2012

Each of us in many ways may wittingly or unwittingly, intentionally or unintentionally, for better or worse, not only convey information but also influence those we speak to. Knowing this, conscientious individuals strive against the sources of distortion in order to enfranchise decision-makers. Therefore, that the authors think informed decision-making less important where evidence of benefit is good than where the benefits and harms are more equally balanced, as a service user I find disturbing, even where I might if they showed it to me accept that the evidence is indeed good. Even more frighteningly, they think it in these circumstances acceptable to “go beyond simply sharing information” to “endeavour to change beliefs or promote behavioural change”.

A health consultation is between relative strangers, however longstanding their association. Even my mother can’t say with absolute certainty “I knew you’d make that decision”, a fortiori the doctor can’t, and my mother would know better than to act on such a prediction, however confident she was, for the simple reason that the decision is mine, not hers. Of course she makes me tea without asking, but she doesn’t make my health decisions. A fortiori, it is not acceptable for a doctor to do so. Nothing is always good for everyone, and there are always costs; it is not for the professional to second guess my choices.

“Good evidence of the benefits of an intervention” cannot in my view license the “aim to go beyond simply sharing information and endeavour to change beliefs or promote behavioural change.” The authors themselves say that informing to facilitate decision-making “may be at odds with apparent ‘public health’ messages that may, for example, promote uptake of screening tests to achieve programme effectiveness at population levels. However, the clinician should accept that the final decision depends as much on the patient’s own values as it does on the risk information presented.” No conscientious practitioner could deny that an individual who risks harm for the sake of some benefit should be adequately informed even if doing so threatens service providers’ ambitions. Talk of “changing beliefs” is ambiguous: conscientious communication involves dispelling misconceptions, but to positively aim to change my judgments I find overbearing - communication aims to enable the other person, not to bring about an outcome the professional wants, however benign s/he may think it. If an intervention demonstrably achieves something many people want at a cost many people will stand it is likely that informing someone disinterestedly will bring about the expected decision; but this is consistent with its not doing so in some cases, and it is most important for practitioners not to disenfranchise these by presumptuous anticipation let alone by actively steering them towards their own favoured choice.

The default position must be disclosure of information that could affect decisions. How could Mrs Jones not need to know about the weakness of the research and the lack of evidence of mortality benefit? Would the authors accept less when considering health interventions for themselves?

Competing interests: Harmed by being misinformed about benefits and risks of mammography screening.

Miriam Pryke, PhD student

King's College London, Strand, London, WC2R 2LS

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22 June 2012

Dear John Docherty

Thank You for pointing out this error in our paper. This section should read “When we informed Mrs Jones that early detection with mammography could reduce her risk of dying from breast cancer by 15%, should we also have discussed the strength and validity of the research that the review was based on?”. This exact phrase was used earlier in the paper in the section reporting on the presentation of risk reduction information.

Kind Regards

Haroon Ahmed

Competing interests: None declared

Haroon Ahmed, GP Trainee

The Foundry Town Clinic, Aberdare

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22 June 2012

This is a useful review. However, it is a pity that the word "risk" seems to have different meanings in different sentences. This can clearly be seen in the definitions of risk and risk communication in the second paragraph: "Risk is the probability that a hazard will give rise to harm" and "Risk communication should therefore cover the probability of the risk occurring". How can a risk occur if it is a probability?

Finally, I suggest that the authors do inform Ms Jones by how much mammography reduces her risk of dying from breast cancer and not that “mammography would reduce her risk of breast cancer by 15%”; mammography evidently increases her risk for being diagnosed with breast cancer.

Competing interests: None declared

Marcel Zwahlen, Epidemiologist

Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Finkenhubelweg 11 3012 Bern, Switzerland

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Ahmed, Naik, Willoughby and Edwards ask "When we informed Ms Jones that “mammography would reduce her risk of breast cancer by 15%,” should we also have discussed the strength and validity of the research that the review was based on?".

Screening mammography does not reduce the risk of breast cancer, on the contrary it increases the likelihood of a diagnosis of breast cancer. [1]

It is no wonder that women are confused about mammography when a BMJ paper on communication contains such an error.

dr.johndoherty@gmail.com

Reference

1.Jørgensen KJ, Gøtzsche PC. Overdiagnosis in publicly organised mammography screening programmes: systematic review of incidence trends. BMJ. 2009 Jul 9;339:b2587. doi: 10.1136/bmj.b2587.

Competing interests: None declared

John Doherty, Retired

UN, Vienna 1040

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Communication is like an asymptote. Asymptotes are geometric figures in which a curved line approaches, but never quite reaches, a straight line. Likewise, communication approaches, but never quite reaches, the straight truth, due to repressed facts, feelings, and memories. So we can never quite connect with ourselves or others, no matter how hard we try. Tantalized, we struggle with all the nuances of our asymptotic identity, asymptotic communication, and asymptotic relationships, all of which is symptomatic of being human and longing for contact.

Competing interests: None declared

Hugh Mann, Physician

Retired, Eagle Rock, MO, USA

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