Childhood pneumonia in developing countriesBMJ 2006; 333 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.38975.602836.BE (Published 21 September 2006) Cite this as: BMJ 2006;333:612
- Zulfiqar A Bhutta (), Husein Lalji Dewraj professor and chairman
Despite major advances in our understanding of the burden and epidemiology of childhood acute respiratory infections, almost two million children still die from pneumonia each year, accounting for 20% of deaths in children aged under 5 years globally.12 Accurate figures are difficult to obtain, but the estimated incidence of pneumonia is 151 million new cases a year, and, of these, some 11-20 million (7-13%) are severe enough to require hospitalisation.2 These composite figures do not reflect the tremendous inequity both between and within countries, with the bulk of pneumonia deaths affecting the poor with limited access to services.3
The crucial first step in tackling childhood pneumonia is being able to diagnose it accurately, a challenge highlighted in this week's BMJ by Hazir and colleagues.4 They analysed 1848 chest radiographs of children in Pakistan hospital outpatient settings who had had non-severe pneumonia diagnosed clinically according to World Health Organization guidelines. Only 14% of the children had radiological evidence of pneumonia. Other community studies in Pakistan have found chest radiographs to have very low specificity for pneumonia in young children.5
It is now almost 15 years since the launch of a global acute respiratory infection programme by WHO, which focused on simplified syndromic diagnosis of childhood pneumonia by health workers and management of selected cases with oral co-trimoxazole.6 Subsequent progress has focused on scaling up the management strategies by training health workers and inclusion of the strategies within the integrated management of childhood illnesses programmes.w1 There have been several modifications of these diagnostic algorithms since and, with the emergence of antimicrobial resistance among common respiratory pathogens,7 an understandable spate of alternative treatment regimens.89 Given that many poor families in developing countries are unable to access services in health facilities, it is not surprising that the bulk of childhood pneumonia deaths occur in community settings where there are relatively few skilled health workers. There is emerging evidence that management of pneumonia in community settings by community health workers may reduce mortality significantly,10 and several pilot studies have confirmed the feasibility of such approaches.w2-w4 Not surprisingly, there is considerable pressure to scale up these interventions in community settings,11 but their success will depend on the availability and application of robust diagnostic algorithms by health workers with only basic training or even lay people.
Radiology and determination of hypoxia by pulse oximetry have been considered the optimal methods for diagnosing pneumonia,w5 but they are clearly suitable only for use in institutional settings. This immediately raises concerns as to the robustness of pneumonia diagnosis using clinical criteria. Although the low specificity of clinical algorithms may be unavoidable given the need to detect and diagnose pneumonia rapidly in young children, this can have unexpected consequences once such diagnostic methods are applied on a large scale, especially by community health workers. Others have also highlighted the importance of standardisation and supervision of health workers in their use of diagnostic criteria for pneumonia surveillance and management.w4 w6
There are legitimate concerns that, once treatment regimens are rolled out for pneumonia management by community health workers, existing diagnostic criteria would lead to considerable overtreatment of children with respiratory infections. Given the paucity of effective and inexpensive antimicrobial agents for treating pneumonia, large scale use of existing agents for non-bacterial pneumonia significantly increases the risk of development of antimicrobial resistance. Clinical failure rates as high as 22% have been reported among children treated with double dose co-trimoxazole for non-severe pneumonia,12 indicating that the problem already exists. Recent data on the failure of standard antimicrobial treatment with parenteral penicillin or amoxicillin for severe pneumonia among HIV infected children in Africa are even more alarming, with failure rates of 24% by day 14.13
What then is the way forward? Clearly further refinement of clinical algorithms for easy diagnosis of childhood pneumonia by community health workers is necessary. This work is hampered by the lack of a gold standard for the diagnosis of pneumonia in population settings. Transthoracic lung aspiration and microbiology have been recommended for research work,w7 but there is an urgent need to develop robust molecular methods for diagnosing pneumonia in the field. Given the planned large scale demonstration projects of Hib and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in various parts of the world, development and validation of such diagnostic methods and clinical algorithms must become a priority. The large scale introduction of management strategies for pneumonia by community health workers must also be accompanied by robust monitoring and evaluation of the validity and impact of such strategies.