We based confirmatory testing of the primary outcome measure and all main analyses (with SPSS 11.5) on the intention to treat population and used all available data. We used SOLAS 3.0 (Statistical Solutions, Cork, Ireland) to do sensitivity analyses for the primary outcome measure, replacing missing data with baseline values or multiple imputation. We tested a priori ordered two sided null hypotheses by using Student's t test (significance level 0.05). In the first step we investigated whether acupuncture reduced the number of days with headache more than no treatment, and in the second step (only if the first null hypothesis was rejected) we investigated whether acupuncture was more efficacious than minimal acupuncture. We give exploratory analyses (analysis of covariance adjusting for baseline differences and χ2 tests) for predefined secondary outcome measures. We did an additional per protocol analysis including only patients without major protocol violations until week 12.
We made the original sample size calculation for one sided testing. Under this premise we planned the study to have 80% power to detect a group difference of two days with headache assuming a standard deviation of five days (thus an effect size of 0.4) and a 20% dropout rate.4 However, we later decided to use two sided testing to comply better with common standards. Before starting the analysis, and on the basis of the recommendation of the ethical review board, we decided to exclude the data from one centre that had included 26 patients, owing to repeated severe protocol deviations and the suspicion of data manipulation in some patients. We decided to do a sensitivity analysis including this centre's data.
Box 2: Minimal acupuncture points used in the trial
“Deltoideus”—in the middle of the line insertion of M deltoideus (LI 14) and acromion
“Upper arm”—2 cun laterally of LU 3
“Forearm”—1 cun ulnar of the proximal third of the line between heart (HE) 3 and HE 7
“Scapula”—1 cun laterally of the lower scapular edge
“Spina iliaca”—2 cun above spina iliaca anterior superior in vertical line to the arch of left ribs
“Back I”—5 cun laterally of the spine of lumbar vertebrum IV
“Back II”—5 cun laterally of the spine of lumbar vertebrum V
“Upper leg I”—6 cun above the upper edge of the patella (between the spleen and stomach meridians)
“Upper leg II”—4 cun above the upper edge of the patella
“Upper leg III”—2 cun dorsally of GB 31 (avoiding bladder meridian)
A cun is defined according to the rules of traditional acupuncture as the width of the interphalangeal joint of the patient's thumb
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