Why clinicians are natural bayesians: Bayesian confusion

BMJ 2005; 330 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.330.7504.1390-a (Published 09 June 2005) Cite this as: BMJ 2005;330:1390
  1. David J R Hutchon, locum obstetrician and gynaecologist (DJRHutchon@Postmaster.co.uk)
  1. Greymouth, New Zealand

    EDITOR—Gill et al say that the pretest odds multiplied by the likelihood ratio of a test provides the post test odds.1 However, Bayes's work referred to probability rather than odds.

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    Every part of clinical history and examination can be seen as a diagnostic test


    Bayes developed …

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