Role of multivitamins and mineral supplements in preventing infections in elderly people: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trialsBMJ 2005; 330 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.38399.495648.8F (Published 14 April 2005) Cite this as: BMJ 2005;330:871
- Alia El-Kadiki, specialist registrar ()1,
- Alexander J Sutton, senior lecturer in medical statistics2
- 1 Chemical Pathology Department, Royal Hallamshire Hospital, Sheffield S10 2JF,
- 2 Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 6TP
- Correspondence to: A El-Kadiki
Objective To evaluate the effectiveness of multivitamins and mineral supplements in reducing infections in an elderly population.
Design Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.
Data sources Medline and other databases. Reference lists of identified articles were inspected for further relevant articles.
Selection of studies Trials were included if they evaluated the effect of multivitamins and mineral supplements on infections in an elderly population.
Review methods Studies were assessed for the methodological quality by using the Jadad instrument. If the data required for the analyses were not available from the published articles we requested them from the original study authors. Meta-analysis was undertaken on three outcomes: the mean difference in number of days spent with infection, the odds ratio of at least one infection in the study period, and the incidence rate ratio for the difference in infection rates. Data on adverse events were also extracted.
Results Eight trials met our inclusion criteria. Owing to inconsistency in the outcomes reported, only a proportion of the trials could be included in each meta-analysis. Multivitamins and mineral supplements were found to reduce the mean annual number of days spent with infection (three studies) by 17.5 (95% confidence interval 11 to 24, P < 0.001). The odds ratio for at least one infection in the study period (three studies) was 1.10 (0.81 to 1.50, P = 0.53). The infection rate ratio (four studies) was 0.89 (0.78 to 1.03, P = 0.11). Reporting of adverse events was poor.
Conclusion The evidence for routine use of multivitamin and mineral supplements to reduce infections in elderly people is weak and conflicting. Study results are heterogeneous, and this is partially confounded by outcome measure.
Elderly people constitute the fastest growing population segment of societies in the developed world.1 In the United Kingdom the number of people older than 85 will continue to double every 30 years (1961: 300 000; 1991: 800 000; 2021: 1 500 000).2 Ageing is associated with physiological and economical changes that compromise nutritional status.3 In addition, ageing has long been associated with an increased susceptibility to infections, which are very common in older people. Moreover, elderly people are two to 10 times more likely to die of a variety of infections than are young adults.4
Public interest in vitamin supplements is enormous: 20-30% of the population in developed countries currently use such supplements.5 Millions of people worldwide take multivitamin and mineral supplements, hoping to promote health, but few studies have documented their benefits, which has raised concern in the literature recently.5 6 It has been shown that in elderly people, supplementation with different nutrients improves immune status. Most of these studies looked at the effect of micronutrients on vaccine responses and other surrogate markers of immune response.7-16 The clinical importance of these findings is still a subject of debate; some believe that the micronutrients have a major role17 and others believe that they have only a minor role18 in reducing the frequency of infections in elderly people.
We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials evaluating the use of multivitamin and mineral supplements to prevent infections in an elderly population. We focus on studies that evaluate multivitamin and mineral supplements and exclude those that investigate single vitamins or minerals since multivitamin supplements are more widely used.
We searched computerised publication databases to identify relevant randomised controlled trials (AMED, Biological Abstracts, British Nursing Index, CINAHL, Citation Indexes (Science and Social Sciences), Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR), Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE), EBM Reviews, Embase, International Bibliographic Information on Dietary Supplements (IBIDS), Medline, NHS Centre for Reviews and Dissemination databases, and PreMedline). The searches covered the period from 1966 to the first week of January 2004. We supplemented this search by examining published reviews, guidelines, Health Evidence Bulletin Wales, and conference abstracts (for details of the specific search strategies used, see appendix 1 on bmj.com). We scrutinised the reference lists of identified relevant articles to identify any further studies missed by the previous searches.
In order to be included in the review, a study had to be a randomised placebo controlled trial, evaluating a combination of multivitamins and mineral supplements in an elderly population. Studies also had to report an infection related outcome.
Data extraction and quality assessment
After an initial scoping exercise on the included trial reports, we decided to focus our attention on the three most widely used and reported outcomes: the mean difference in number of days spent with infection, the odds ratio of at least one infection in the study period, and the incidence rate ratio for the difference in infection rates. Additionally, we extracted any data on adverse events. The authors extracted all outcome data relating to infections and where disagreements existed they reached consensus through discussion. If data required for the planned analyses were not available from the published reports, we wrote to the corresponding authors of the primary studies and requested the necessary information. We used the Jadad scoring system to assess the methodological quality of the individual randomised controlled trials.19
Quantative data synthesis
We used random effects models to perform meta-analyses if the heterogeneity between studies was estimated to be greater than zero; otherwise we used the model reduced to a fixed effect model. We used weighted Poisson regression to combine the continuous outcome (the mean difference in number of days of infection over 12 months) on the mean difference scale, the binary outcome (one or more infections during the study period) on the (log) odds ratio scale, and the incidence rate (the rate of infections during the study period).
Although we intended to use funnel plots to assess the possibility of publication bias, the relatively small number of studies reporting each outcome precluded such an assessment. Similarly, we had planned to use meta-regression to assess heterogeneity between studies, but this was not possible because of the limited data available. We undertook this review and reported it in accordance with the guidelines set out in the QUOROM statement.20 We used Stata, version 8.2 (StataCorp, College Station, TX: StataCorp LP, 2003) for all statistical analyses.
Figure 1 outlines the results of the trial selection process. We screened a total of 1490 abstracts from the combined searches. This identified 36 potentially relevant studies, but on obtaining and reading the articles, only eight met the inclusion criteria.21-28 All eight trials were placebo controlled. Table 1 provides details on design characteristics and quality assessment scores for the included studies. Variability between studies is considerable with respect to duration of follow-up, infections assessed, and number of subjects. Jadad scores were reasonable for all studies except one,27 but this probably, at least in part, reflects the brevity of the study report. Table 1 also notes that three of the trials28 25 22 used a 2 x2 factorial trial, and only the two most relevant arms are included in this meta-analysis. Table 2 gives the exact formulation of the multivitamin and mineral interventions given in each trial and indicates where differences between trials exist (these differences are considered further in the discussion).
As indicated in the methods, the outcome measures reported across the trials were not standardised. Table 3 provides a matrix indicating which trials reported which outcomes and could therefore be included in each meta-analysis.
Meta-analysis of first outcome
Three trials23 26 27 reported mean difference of number of days spent with infections on multivitamins and minerals compared with placebo over 12 months. Data are provided in figure 2, indicating that all three trials individually show a (significant) reduction in days of infection for the multivitamin and mineral group and the pooled estimate of a benefit of approximately 17.5 days (95% confidence interval 11 to 24) is highly significant (P < 0.001). Although the direction of results is consistent, studies are heterogeneous (the I2 statistic, which indicates the proportion of variability in the weighted mean differences attributable to heterogeneity, is estimated to be 97.3%, which is considered (very) large).29 We had a concern that the reported standard deviations for this outcome seemed to be very small and may in fact be standard errors. Hence we performed an extreme sensitivity analysis in which we re-analysed the data under the assumption that this error had been made (by inflating the reported values by multiplying them by the number of subjects minus 1) in all three trials; the pooled estimate remained similar and still significant (14 day benefit, 10 to 18, P < 0.001).
Meta-analysis of second outcome
Three trials22 24 25 reported at least one infection during the study period for vitamins and minerals compared with placebo. As figure 3 indicates, the odds ratios for two of the three studies included are greater than one, and the pooled odds ratio is 1.10 (0.81 to 1.50) (this is a fixed effect analysis as the between study heterogeneity was estimated as zero). Hence this meta-analysis provides little support for the benefit of multivitamin and minerals; however, the wide confidence interval makes the findings inconclusive (P = 0.53).
Meta-analysis of third outcome
Four trials21 25 27 28 reported the incidence rate ratio of infection for vitamins and minerals compared with placebo. The pooled incident risk ratio for the fixed effect model is 0.89 (0.78 to 1.03; fig 4). Hence there is an indication that multivitamins and minerals may reduce the number of infections, but this does not reach conventional significance levels (P = 0.11).
Reporting of adverse events
Reporting of adverse event outcomes for the trials was so incomplete that meta-analysis was not possible. We summarise the data that could be extracted. One trial reported some dropouts (four in the treatment group and one in the placebo group) because of nausea, which in our interpretation could be attributable to the intervention.24 Two further trials indirectly implied that no adverse events causing dropout occurred (by citing the presence of adverse events in other studies using higher doses).22 28 Two more trials stated clearly that there were no dropouts owing to the effects of the intervention.25 26 No mention of adverse events was given in the remaining three trials.21 23 27
The evidence for the effectiveness of the routine use of multivitamins in an elderly population to reduce infections is of poor to moderate quality, heterogeneous, and conflicting. We found little evidence of adverse events due to the intervention, but this may be due to poor reporting. It is worth noting that other studies using excessive micronutrient supplements (in larger doses than implemented in any of the trials reviewed here) have been shown to have toxic effects and may impair cellular function.30
The potential underlying mechanism by which multivitamins and minerals generally and specifically prevent infections is still uncertain; we do not know whether is it related to improvement in immunity, improvement of the underlying deficiency, or other reasons.
Although formal meta-regression to explore potential reasons for the observed heterogeneity was not possible because of the small numbers of studies reporting each outcome, we qualitatively consider potential factors that may influence outcome below. Table 2 gives details of the exact composition of multivitamin and mineral supplements, and these differences in composition may in part be responsible. Two studies used dosages of nutrients that were close to recommended dietary allowances in France and the United States.22 28 Three studies used nutrient dosages similar to the recommended dietary allowance in the United States, with the exception of vitamin E and β carotene.23 26 27 Two studies used a daily oral tablet that contained amounts of vitamins and minerals similar to those found in most commercial multivitamin and mineral supplements,21 24 and one study used dosages at the level of recommended dietary allowances for vitamins and 25-50% of recommended dietary allowances for minerals.25 Table 2 shows a comparison with recommended daily allowances in the United Kingdom.
A further potential explanation for heterogeneous results is variability in the baseline nutritional status of study participants. Differences were certainly considerable in the baseline rates of infection in the control groups of the four trials reporting infection rates (fig 4). Further, two trials23 24 even had marked imbalances in nutrient deficiencies at baseline. The subject populations recruited differed between studies (table 1, final column). For example, two trials recruited exclusively from nursing homes,22 28 and one trial24 included a much higher proportion of people with type 2 diabetes (39%) than any of the others. In that trial, subjects younger than 65 were also recruited, but we excluded those from our analysis. In the original trial report,24 a subgroup analysis by diabetes status was carried out, and nearly all the intervention effect was found to the attributed to the diabetic patients (relative risk for people with type 2 diabetes 0.18 (0.07 to 0.44), and for people without diabetes 0.98 (0.68 to 1.41)). A further observation is that the most beneficial effect sizes were observed in small studies, which may mean this literature is subject to publication bias. As noted in table 1, loss to follow-up in some trials was considerable, which could induce bias in those studies. Other factors that may influence outcome include the length of study follow-up and the seasonal changes it covered, which infections were being investigated and how they were measured, and the quality of the studies.
Limitations of the study
We identified only a modest number of relevant studies. This limited the assessments of publication bias and the formal exploration of the considerable heterogeneity between studies. A further limitation was that considerable variability existed in the outcome definitions used to report infections (table 3). However, it is noteworthy that in the two instances when two outcomes were reported by a single trial, they gave similar results, implying, perhaps, that definition of outcome is not the most important source of variation. Disappointingly, no more than four studies reported any one outcome. The potentially conflicting results of the three different outcome measures could potentially be attributed to the selection of the specific trials that report that outcome. In an attempt to obtain more compatible data, we contacted authors of six of the trials and requested further information and sent a reminder when no reply arrived after the first query. Unfortunately no additional data were supplied for any of the trials.
Comparison with previous studies
Although one previous paper has reviewed the role of micronutrients in preventing infections in elderly people,33 to the best of our knowledge no previous systematic review or meta-analysis of the use of micronutrients in preventing infections in elderly people has ever been undertaken.
Implications for research
Large heterogeneity between the results of the different studies was observed. One reason for the relatively small number of trials included in this review is that many previous studies examined only immunological markers (which may or may not translate to similar effects in clinical outcomes). Therefore, future studies should look at the clinical end points (infections, preferably using a common outcome definition). A further source of design variability between existing studies is the composition of the supplements used. Therefore, a multi-arm trial comparing different doses of micronutrients may be appropriate to establish decisively whether they are effective, and if so, whether some doses are superior to others. Additionally, the target populations for future trials should be thought about carefully as results show that the intervention effect is potentially not constant across populations (nutritional status, frailty, type 2 diabetes status, etc). Finally, it seems sensible to have a minimum follow up period of 12 months to provide full exposure to seasonal changes. Such a randomised controlled trial would provide valuable further evidence, allowing a subsequent update of this meta-analysis. Further, if future studies proved the intervention to be effective an economic evaluation of such a policy would need to be done, because of the cost implications of the widespread uptake of supplements.
What is already known on this topic
Ageing is associated with an increased susceptibility to infection
Currently, interest is great in the use of multivitamins and mineral supplements, with the hope of preventing infections
What this study adds
The evidence for routine use of multivitamin and mineral supplements to reduce infections in the elderly is weak and conflicting
Therefore the evidence does not support a policy recommending the routine use of such supplements in all elderly people
Further randomised controlled trials using consistent outcome measures are needed before routine use can be recommended
Implications for practice
Currently, not enough evidence exists to recommend the routine use of micronutrient supplements for an elderly population. However, the results of this review are sufficiently encouraging to warrant further and more expansive studies in this area of considerable public health importance.
Search strategies are on bmj.com
We thank Catherine Beverly, systematic reviews information officer, University of Sheffield, and Mary Edmunds Otter, clinical effectiveness information librarian, University of Leicester, for assistance and advice on literature searching and for updating the literature search; Nicola Cooper for helpful comments on an earlier draft of this paper; and Trevor Sheldon for very insightful review comments.
Contributors Conception and design of the study, data extraction, analysis, and interpretation, drafting, and revising of the article were all carried out be AEK and AJS. AEK and AJS are joint first authors of the paper. AEK is guarantor.
Conflict of interest None declared.
Ethical approval Not required.