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Briefing

BMJ 1997; 314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.314.7074.3a (Published 11 January 1997) Cite this as: BMJ 1997;314:S3a-7074

Commentators in the United States are predicting that there will be 165 000 too many doctors by the year 2000 (Academic Medicine 1996;71:1147-53), a figure said to represent a 20% oversupply to the number required to provide adequate medical care. Restricting medical immigration, closing up to one quarter of all US medical schools, and increasing the number of graduates who enter primary care are suggested. Doctors are estimated to drive 75% of all costs in the health care system, which now spends $1 trillion each year: a three fold increase in real terms since 1965.

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