BMJ, doi: 10.1136/bmj.39363.706956.55, (Published 30 October 2007)

Research

Maternal and neonatal individual risks and benefits associated with caesarean delivery: multicentre prospective study

José Villar, senior fellow1, Guillermo Carroli, director2, Nelly Zavaleta, senior researcher3, Allan Donner, professor4, Daniel Wojdyla, statistician2, Anibal Faundes, professor5, Alejandro Velazco, director6, Vicente Bataglia, senior adviser7, Ana Langer, president8, Alberto Narváez, senior researcher9, Eliette Valladares, director10, Archana Shah, scientist11, Liana Campodónico, statistician2, Mariana Romero, senior investigator12, Sofia Reynoso, investigator13, Karla Simônia de Pádua, research coordinator5, Daniel Giordano, computer analyst2, Marius Kublickas, obstetrician-gynaecologist14, Arnaldo Acosta, professor15, World Health Organization 2005 Global Survey on Maternal and Perinatal Health Research Group

1 Nuffield Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, 2 Centro Rosarino de Estudios Perinatales (CREP), Rosario, Argentina, 3 Instituto de Investigación Nutricional, Lima, Peru, 4 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada, 5 Centro de Pesquisas em Saúde Reprodutiva de Campinas (Cemicamp), Campinas, SP, Brazil, 6 Hospital Docente Ginecobstétrico "América Arias," La Habana, Cuba, 7 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Hospital Nacional de Itauguá, Itauguá, Paraguay, 8 EngenderHealth, New York, NY, USA, 9 Fundación Salud, Ambiente y Desarrollo, Quito, Ecuador, 10 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Nicaragua, León, Nicaragua, 11 Department of Making Pregnancy Safer, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 12 CONICET/Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad (CEDES), Buenos Aires, Argentina, 13 Population Council Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean, Mexico City, Mexico, 14 Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden, 15 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Universidad Nacional de Asunción, Asunción, Paraguay

Correspondence to: J Villar jose.villar{at}obs-gyn.ox.ac.uk

Objective To assess the risks and benefits associated with caesarean delivery compared with vaginal delivery.

Design Prospective cohort study within the 2005 WHO global survey on maternal and perinatal health.

Setting 410 health facilities in 24 areas in eight randomly selected Latin American countries; 123 were randomly selected and 120 participated and provided data

Participants 106 546 deliveries reported during the three month study period, with data available for 97 095 (91% coverage).

Main outcome measures Maternal, fetal, and neonatal morbidity and mortality associated with intrapartum or elective caesarean delivery, adjusted for clinical, demographic, pregnancy, and institutional characteristics.

Results Women undergoing caesarean delivery had an increased risk of severe maternal morbidity compared with women undergoing vaginal delivery (odds ratio 2.0 (95% confidence interval 1.6 to 2.5) for intrapartum caesarean and 2.3 (1.7 to 3.1) for elective caesarean). The risk of antibiotic treatment after delivery for women having either type of caesarean was five times that of women having vaginal deliveries. With cephalic presentation, there was a trend towards a reduced odds ratio for fetal death with elective caesarean, after adjustment for possible confounding variables and gestational age (0.7, 0.4 to 1.0). With breech presentation, caesarean delivery had a large protective effect for fetal death. With cephalic presentation, however, independent of possible confounding variables and gestational age, intrapartum and elective caesarean increased the risk for a stay of seven or more days in neonatal intensive care (2.1 (1.8 to 2.6) and 1.9 (1.6 to 2.3), respectively) and the risk of neonatal mortality up to hospital discharge (1.7 (1.3 to 2.2) and 1.9 (1.5 to 2.6), respectively), which remained higher even after exclusion of all caesarean deliveries for fetal distress. Such increased risk was not seen for breech presentation. Lack of labour was a risk factor for a stay of seven or more days in neonatal intensive care and neonatal mortality up to hospital discharge for babies delivered by elective caesarean delivery, but rupturing of membranes may be protective.

Conclusions Caesarean delivery independently reduces overall risk in breech presentations and risk of intrapartum fetal death in cephalic presentations but increases the risk of severe maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality in cephalic presentations.


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