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Daniel Pewsner, senior research fellow in general practice; and general practitioner1, Peter Jüni, reader in clinical epidemiology2, Matthias Egger, professor3, Markus Battaglia, senior research fellow in general practice; and general practitioner1, Johan Sundström, associate professor4, Lucas M Bachmann, reader in clinical epidemiology and deputy director5
1 Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Finkenhubelweg 11, CH-3012 Berne, Switzerland; and Medix General Practice Network, Bern, Switzerland, 2 Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, 3 Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern; and Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, 4 Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden, 5 Horten Centre, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Correspondence to: M Egger egger{at}ispm.unibe.ch
Design Systematic review of studies of test accuracy of six electrocardiographic indexes: the Sokolow-Lyon index, Cornell voltage index, Cornell product index, Gubner index, and Romhilt-Estes scores with thresholds for a positive test of
4 points or
5 points.
Data sources Electronic databases ((Pre-)Medline, Embase), reference lists of relevant studies and previous reviews, and experts.
Study selection Two reviewers scrutinised abstracts and examined potentially eligible studies. Studies comparing the electrocardiographic index with echocardiography in hypertensive patients and reporting sufficient data were included.
Data extraction Data on study populations, echocardiographic criteria, and methodological quality of studies were extracted.
Data synthesis Negative likelihood ratios, which indicate to what extent the posterior odds of left ventricular hypertrophy is reduced by a negative test, were calculated.
Results 21 studies and data on 5608 patients were analysed. The median prevalence of left ventricular hypertrophy was 33% (interquartile range 23-41%) in primary care settings (10 studies) and 65% (37-81%) in secondary care settings (11 studies). The median negative likelihood ratio was similar across electrocardiographic indexes, ranging from 0.85 (range 0.34-1.03) for the Romhilt-Estes score (with threshold
4 points) to 0.91 (0.70-1.01) for the Gubner index. Using the Romhilt-Estes score in primary care, a negative electrocardiogram result would reduce the typical pre-test probability from 33% to 31%. In secondary care the typical pre-test probability of 65% would be reduced to 63%.
Conclusion Electrocardiographic criteria should not be used to rule out left ventricular hypertrophy in patients with hypertension.
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