Published 30 November 2009, doi:10.1136/bmj.b4535
Cite this as: BMJ 2009;339:b4535

Research

Are people with negative diabetes screening tests falsely reassured? Parallel group cohort study embedded in the ADDITION (Cambridge) randomised controlled trial

Charlotte A M Paddison, ESRC postdoctoral research fellow1, Helen C Eborall, lecturer in social science applied to health2, Stephen Sutton, professor of behavioural science1, David P French, professor of health psychology3, Joana Vasconcelos, reader in medical statistics1, A Toby Prevost, senior medical statistician4, Ann-Louise Kinmonth, professor of general practice1, Simon J Griffin, assistant unit director5

1 General Practice and Primary Care Research Unit, University of Cambridge, Institute of Public Health, Cambridge CB2 0SR, 2 Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, 3 Applied Research Centre in Health and Lifestyle Interventions, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, 4 Department of Public Health Sciences, King’s College London, London SE1 3QD, 5 MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge CB2 0QQ

Correspondence to: C Paddison camp3{at}medschl.cam.ac.uk

Objective To assess whether receiving a negative test result at primary care based stepwise diabetes screening results in false reassurance.

Design Parallel group cohort study embedded in a randomised controlled trial.

Setting 15 practices (10 screening, 5 control) in the ADDITION (Cambridge) trial.

Participants 5334 adults (aged 40-69) in the top quarter for risk of having undiagnosed type 2 diabetes (964 controls and 4370 screening attenders).

Main outcome measures Perceived personal and comparative risk of diabetes, intentions for behavioural change, and self rated health measured after an initial random blood glucose test and at 3-6 and 12-15 months later (equivalent time points for controls).

Results A linear mixed effects model with control for clustering by practice found no significant differences between controls and people who screened negative for diabetes in perceived personal risk, behavioural intentions, or self rated health after the first appointment or at 3-6 months or 12-15 months later. After the initial test, people who screened negative reported significantly (but slightly) lower perceived comparative risk (mean difference –0.16, 95% confidence interval –0.30 to –0.02; P=0.04) than the control group at the equivalent time point; no differences were evident at 3-6 and 12-15 months.

Conclusions A negative test result at diabetes screening does not seem to promote false reassurance, whether this is expressed as lower perceived risk, lower intentions for health related behavioural change, or higher self rated health. Implementing a widespread programme of primary care based stepwise screening for type 2 diabetes is unlikely to cause an adverse shift in the population distribution of plasma glucose and cardiovascular risk resulting from an increase in unhealthy behaviours arising from false reassurance among people who screen negative.

Trial registration Current controlled trials ISRCTN99175498 [controlled-trials.com] .


This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial License, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non commercial and is otherwise in compliance with the license. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/ and http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/legalcode.

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