Published 10 December 2008, doi:10.1136/bmj.a2864
Cite this as: BMJ 2008;337:a2864

Filler

Christmas 2008: Professional Considerations

Bumf: increasing exponentially

John R Kirwan, Rosmarie Kirwan

1 Bristol

john.kirwan{at}bristol.ac.uk

Since 1998, we have collected all the bumf (unsolicited mail and leaflets) pushed through our letterbox each week, after discarding any envelope or plastic covering. At the end of each month we weigh the bumf, and then put it in recycling. From time to time we add the weights to our bumf spreadsheet. Here we report 11 years’ follow-up.

The distribution of the weight of bumf received follows a consistent monthly pattern (fig 1Go). Twice as much bumf is received per month in September, October, and November than in each of the summer months. The weight of bumf received has been increasing (fig 2Go). In 1998 we received about 10 kg of bumf. By 2004, this had doubled and seemed to have reached a peak. However, 2008 is heading towards a record weight of more than 29 kg The best fit curve is an exponential (Wt = 8055.e0.01014year, R = 0.933, P<0.001).


Figure 1
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Fig 1 Monthly weight of bumf received as a proportion of annual total. Values are means (95% CI)

 


Figure 2
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Fig 2 Weight of bumf received by year

 
So, on past performance, don’t expect bumf to disappear any time soon and expect more of it in the autumn.

Cite this as: BMJ 2008;337:a2864


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