Intended for healthcare professionals

Predicting cardiovascular risk in England and Wales: prospective derivation and validation of QRISK2

Julia Hippisley-Cox, Carol Coupland, Yana Vinogradova, John Robson, Rubin Minhas, Aziz Sheikh, Peter Brindle
Table 7

 Number and percentage of patients in validation cohort with estimated cardiovascular risk of ≥20% by five year age band with QRISK2 compared with modified Framingham equation

Age (years)Total populationQRISK2 model (%)Modified Framingham equation
Women
35-3978 88716 (0.02)4 (0.01)
40-4462 15356 (0.09)88 (0.14)
45-4955 879193 (0.35)636 (1.14)
50-5449 392517 (1.05)2048 (4.15)
55-5940 1831228 (3.06)3892 (9.69)
60-6433 8312971 (8.78)5952 (17.59)
65-6929 0456657 (22.92)7870 (27.10)
70-7426 39313 988 (53.00)9581 (36.30)
Men
35-3985 42497 (0.11)289 (0.34)
40-4467 911345 (0.51)1570 (2.31)
45-4958 085910 (1.57)4703 (8.10)
50-5449 1712336 (4.75)9635 (19.59)
55-5938 9554986 (12.90)14 330 (36.79)
60-6430 8499649 (31.28)17 008 (55.13)
65-6924 92415 905 (63.81)18 117 (72.69)
70-7419 15018 170 (94.88)16 433 (85.61)
Totals
Women375 76325 626 (6.82)30 071 (8.00)
Men374 46952 398 (13.99)82 085 (21.92)
Both750 23278 024 (10.40)112 156 (14.95)