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BMJ 2005;331:382-383 (13 August), doi:10.1136/bmj.38443.595046.E0 (published 13 May 2005)
Bengt Källén, professor1, Orvar Finnström, professor2, Karl Gösta Nygren, associate professor3, Petra Otterblad Olausson, head of register4
1 Centre for Reproduction Epidemiology, Tornblad Institute, University of Lund, Biskopsgatan 7, S-223 62 Lund, Sweden, 2 Department of Paediatrics, University Hospital, S-581 85 Linköping, Sweden, 3 IVF Clinic, Sophiahemmet, S-114 86 Stockholm, Sweden, 4 Centre for Epidemiology, National Board of Health and Welfare, Stockholm, Sweden
Correspondence to: Bengt Källén embryol{at}embryol.lu.se
We compared the infants born after in vitro fertilisation and identified in the registry with all infants born in Sweden and recorded in that registry (2 039 943 during 1982-2001). We performed statistical analyses using the Mantel-Haenszel technique, with adjustment for various putative confounders. We expressed risks as odds ratios and calculated 95% confidence intervals with a test-based method (according to Miettinen).
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We studied a total of 13 261 births after in vitro fertilisation, which resulted in 16 280 infants registered. The figure shows the changes in percentage of twin deliveries according to year of birth, with the first seven years added because of low numbers. The twinning rate increased to a maximum of 29% in 1991 and then decreased steadily to 18.5% in 2001. The annual number of triplet deliveries after in vitro fertilisation varied between 11 and 32 during 1992-6, and between three and seven after 1997. All seven sets of quadruplets were born before 1994.
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The impact of the reduction of multiple births on the rate of preterm births is marked. In 1991, the crude odds ratio for preterm birth was 9.41 (95% confidence interval 7.58 to 11.67) and the odds ratio adjusted for maternal age (in 5 year groups, < 20, 20-24, etc), parity (1-
4), smoking (none, < 10,
10 cigarettes/day), and years of involuntary childlessness was 4.63 (3.62 to 5.92). The corresponding odds ratios in 2001 were 2.15 (1.76 to 2.62) and 1.33 (1.12 to 1.57). The risk for preterm birth after in vitro fertilisation was thus reduced by 77% (crude odds ratio) and 72% (adjusted odds ratio).
The change in clinical policy in the early 1990s that initiated these changes was reducing from three to two the number of embryos transferred to the uterus during in vitro fertilisation. At present, the number of embryos transferred is being reduced further, from two to one, and a further reduction in multiple births is to be expected whereas the pregnancy rate seems to be little affected.4 5
Contributors: BK planned the study, analysed the data, and wrote the first manuscript draft. OF and KGN planned the study, helped in interpreting the data, and helped finalise the manuscript. POO planned the study, collected data, helped in interpreting the data, and helped finalise the manuscript. BK is guarantor for the study.
Funding: Grant from K and A Wallenberg Foundation (BK).
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Not required.
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