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BMJ 2005;331:271 (30 July), doi:10.1136/bmj.38519.440266.8F (published 11 July 2005)
Cicely Marston, lecturer in social science and public health1, Howard Meltzer, senior scientist2, Azeem Majeed, professor of primary care1
1 Department of Primary Care and Social Medicine, Imperial College Faculty of Medicine, London W6 8RP, 2 Office for National Statistics, London SW1V 2QQ
Correspondence to: C Marston c.marston{at}imperial.ac.uk (from 1 October: cicely.marston{at}lshtm.ac.uk)
Design Analysis of data on contraceptive practice for women aged 16-49 years in the period 2000-2 from the Omnibus Survey, a multipurpose survey in which around 7600 adults living in private households are interviewed each year.
Setting Private households in Great Britain.
Main outcome measures Use of different types of contraception and rates of unprotected sex.
Results After emergency hormonal contraception was made available over the counter, levels of use of different types of contraception by women aged 16-49 remained similar. No significant change occurred in the proportion of women using emergency hormonal contraception (8.4% in 2000, 7.9% in 2001, 7.2% in 2002) or having unprotected sex. A change did, however, occur in where women obtained emergency hormonal contraception; a smaller proportion of women obtained emergency hormonal contraception from physicians and a greater proportion bought it over the counter. No significant change occurred in the proportion of women using more reliable methods of contraception, such as the oral contraceptive pill, or in the proportion of women using emergency hormonal contraception more than once during a year.
Conclusions Making emergency hormonal contraception available over the counter does not seem to have led to an increase in its use, to an increase in unprotected sex, or to a decrease in the use of more reliable methods of contraception.
This debate, although heated, has been based largely on speculation. Small studies have strongly suggested that easier availability does not lead to "abuse" of EHC.10-13 The wider population effects are not known, however, because no large studies have compared patterns of use of EHC before and after the ban on over the counter sales has been lifted. We do not therefore know whether relaxing controls on over the counter EHC leads to an increase in its use.
An overall increase in use could support either argument. It could indicate that more people were having unsafe sex, or more frequent unsafe sex, knowing they would be able to obtain EHC easily afterwards. Ease of access might also encourage women using other forms of contraception to switch to EHC. An increase in use could also indicate that EHC was being used more often after episodes of unprotected sex that would have occurred anyway. This could happen simply because EHC became easier to obtain for women who might have been unwilling to go to a physician. Such an increase might therefore lead to fewer unwanted pregnancies,
Since January 2001 EHC has been available without prescription across Britain to women aged 16 or over at a cost of £20-25 ($36-46;
30-38).9
14 There was considerable opposition to the change, including an unsuccessful post hoc challenge to the legality of over the counter provision.15 EHC remains available on prescription at no cost from various sources, including general practitioners, family planning clinics, and hospitals.
Three surveys of contraceptive use in a representative sample of the British population were carried out between 2000 and 2002: the year before introduction of over the counter provision of EHC and the two subsequent years. We used these survey data to examine use of EHC among British women aged 16 to 49 years to assess the impact of making EHC available over the counter.
In 2000, 2001, and 2002 the contraceptive module comprised interviews with 6747, 7211, and 7638 adults. The Omnibus Survey uses the postcode address file of "small users" as its sampling frame. All private household addresses in Great Britain are included in this frame. A new sample of 100 postal sectors is selected each month and is stratified by region, the proportion of households renting from local authorities, and the proportion in which the head of household is a professional, an employer, or a manager. Around 9900 postal sectors exist in the United Kingdom, corresponding to all but the last part of the postcode; in the postcode PO16 7DZ, for instance, the postal sector would be indicated by PO16 7. Sectors are selected with probability proportionate to size, and 30 addresses are selected randomly from within each sector. If an address contains more than one household, the interviewer uses a standard ONS procedure to select one household at random. In households with more than one adult member, one person aged 16 or over is selected through the use of random number tables. The interviewers try to interview that person: proxy interviews are not taken.
Weighting factors are applied to Omnibus data to correct for unequal probability of selection caused by interviewing only one eligible adult per household. The weighting does not attempt to correct for any non-response bias. Further information is available in the survey reports.16-18 The proportion of eligible women answering relevant questions for this study was 97% in 2000 (n = 1864 unweighted, n = 1978 weighted), 96% in 2001 (n = 1999 unweighted, n = 2078 weighted), and 96% in 2002 (n = 2121 unweighted, n = 2202 weighted).
The survey asked women questions about their contraceptive use and included specific questions about EHC. Demographic details were also collected; for this analysis we used age, education level, de facto marital status, and income. We divided income into three categories as near as possible to the 33rd and the 67th centiles and assigned women to "high," "middle," and "low" income groups in similar numbers. We examined two binary outcome variables: use or non-use of EHC in the previous year and, for the subsample of EHC users, whether or not EHC was bought over the counter. Univariate analyses used
2 tests, and multivariate analysis used logistic regression models. We first did the multivariate analyses for each year separately. We then combined the data from each survey year and added survey year as a dummy variable to test for differences between years. Because we found no significant difference between the years, and results from the combined dataset were similar to those obtained from each survey separately, we present the results for the combined datasets here.
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One striking development was the change in where women obtained EHC (table 2). The proportion of women reporting that they obtained it from pharmacies increased to a third, and the proportion who said they obtained it from other sources fell. Yet overall use of EHC remained the same, and no significant change occurred in the very small proportion of women reporting two or more uses of EHC in a year (table 3).
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Tables 4 and 5 show the characteristics of the women who said they had used EHC and the subgroup of women who said they had bought it over the counter. Table 4 shows that in the univariate analysis age, marital status, and education were significantly associated with use of EHC. Younger, single women were most likely to report having used it, with highest use among 20-24 year olds in 2000 and 2002 and among 16-19 year olds in 2001. In 2001, but not in the other years, fewer women with a degree or other higher education qualification reported using EHC, compared with other women. Little change in use occurred over time, although among 16-19 year olds a small, non-significant rise in use in 2000-1 was followed by a significant drop between 2001 (
2 = 1.54, P = 0.24) and 2002 (
2 = 7.11, P = 0.01).
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The multivariate analysis (table 5) shows that the factors explaining EHC use did not change significantly over time. The only significant predictors of EHC use were marital status and age. Single women were nearly three times as likely to report EHC use as married women. Younger women were more likely to report EHC use: women aged 20-24 were nearly three times as likely to report use of EHC compared with women aged over 30, and teenage women were just over twice as likely to report use of EHC as women over 30. However, in terms of absolute numbers, more than half of users of EHC were over 25 (53% over the three year period). Neither income nor education was significantly related to likelihood of using EHC.
Most of the subgroup who said they bought EHC over the counter were over 25 years old. The univariate analysis (table 4) showed that those who bought EHC were also significantly more likely to come from the higher income groups and, in 2001, from higher age groups. Between 2001 and 2002 no significant change occurred in any subgroup in proportions of women buying EHC over the counter (not shown).
Table 5 shows the adjusted odds ratios for buying EHC over the counter once this option became available (2001-2). Obtaining EHC without prescription was not associated with age or marital status. After adjustment for the other variables, however, income remained highly significant: higher income women were more than five times as likely to report obtaining EHC without prescription as lower income women. Once income was taken into account, the other variables had no significant effect on whether or not EHC was bought over the counter.
Opponents of lifting the ban on over the counter sales say that easier access will lead to "abuse" of EHC and will encourage unsafe sex, particularly among teenagers. Our study provides no evidence to support this argument, although the sample of teenage women is relatively small. The proportion of women using EHC remained stable after the ban was lifted, and no changes occurred in the characteristics of women using it.
However, this study also offers little support to those who argue that easier access to EHC may help to prevent unwanted pregnancies.19 Women did not report more use of the method once it was made available over the counter: they seem simply to have changed where they obtained it. This finding is supported by a small British study of two hospital emergency departments, which showed that requests for EHC fell after it was made available over the counter.20 Over the counter availability is therefore unlikely to have affected unwanted pregnancies.
The sharp rise in the proportion of women buying EHC over the counter indicates that many women prefer this way of obtaining it. Easier access may also have meant that women obtained it faster, and hence were able to take it within the recommended 72 hours after unprotected sex.21 The survey did not measure this, however, and this is an area for further research.
This study is the first national survey of EHC use from any country that examines the impact of lifting the ban on over the counter sales. It has some weaknesses, however. Firstly, because there were relatively few respondents from non-white ethnic groups, we could not break down EHC use by ethnicity. Secondly, relatively few women used EHC, or bought it over the counter, which limits the power of the study to detect small changes. Thirdly, no women under 16 years old were included, although at present they are not permitted to buy EHC from pharmacies. Fourthly, factors not examined in this study could have been responsible for keeping use of EHC steady when it became available over the counter. For instance, people might have become more likely to use EHC after any given sexual encounter but the total number of sexual encounters might have fallenthat is, sexual activity in the population decreasedalthough on current evidence this seems unlikely.22 23
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Our study has important policy implications. The main lessons from Great Britain in making EHC available over the counter are that, firstly, many women seem to prefer obtaining EHC this way rather than from a physician: uptake has been high, with corresponding savings in time and resources for the health service. Secondly, cost seems to be an important barrier to buying EHC over the counterlowering the cost might increase uptake from this source, particularly in lower income groups. Thirdly, lifting the ban in the UK did not lead to any increase in the proportion of women using EHC, nor did it raise the proportion of women using EHC more than once during a year. Finally, no fall occurred in the use of more reliable methods of contraception.
Although the lack of any increase in use of EHC suggests that the predicted rise in unsafe sex has been overstated, so too have been the predicted effects on unwanted pregnancy. However, given the apparent absence of negative consequences, and the fact that many women clearly prefer to buy EHC over the counter, our study supports the case for lifting the ban on over the counter sales of EHC in the United States and other countries.
Contributors: CM was responsible for analysing the data, doing the literature review, and writing the paper. She is the guarantor. HM was responsible for overseeing the management of the survey under the auspices of the UK Office for National Statistics, helped in the extraction of the data, and provided advice on the analysis. AM developed the idea for the study, helped with the review of the literature, advised on the analysis, and helped in the drafting of the paper.
Funding: The Omnibus Survey is funded by the UK Office for National Statistics.
Conflict of interest: None declared
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