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BMJ 2005;331:73 (9 July), doi:10.1136/bmj.331.7508.73
Bert-Jan H van den Born, research fellow1, Caroline A A Hulsman, research fellow2, Joost B L Hoekstra, professor1, Reinier O Schlingemann, associate professor2, Gert A van Montfrans, associate professor1
1 Department of Internal Medicine, Academic Medical Centre, PO 22660, 1100 DD Amsterdam, Netherlands, 2 Department of Ophthalmology, Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam
Correspondence to: B-J H van den Born b.j.vandenborn{at}amc.uva.nl
Design Systematic review.
Participants Adults aged 19 or more with hypertensive retinopathy.
Data sources Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from 1990.
Review methods Studies were included that assessed hypertensive retinopathy with blinding for blood pressure and cardiovascular risk factors. Studies on observer agreement had to be assessed by two or more observers and expressed as a
statistic. Studies on the association between hypertensive retinopathy and hypertensive organ damage were carried out in patients with hypertension. The association between hypertensive retinopathy and cardiovascular risk was carried out in unselected normotensive and hypertensive people without diabetes mellitus.
Results The assessment of microvascular changes in the retina is limited by large variation between observers. The positive and negative predictive values for the association between hypertensive retinopathy and blood pressure were low (47% to 72% and 32% to 67%, respectively). Associations between retinal microvascular changes and cardiovascular risk were inconsistent, except for retinopathy and stroke. The increased risk of stroke, however, was also present in normotensive people with retinopathy. These studies did not adjust for other indicators of hypertensive organ damage.
Conclusion Evidence is lacking that routine funduscopy is of additional value in the management of hypertensive patients.
We carried out a systematic search to determine the usefulness of routine funduscopy in hypertensive patients. Firstly, we reviewed the literature on the reliability of detecting the various retinal changes associated with hypertension. Then we reviewed articles published since 1990 on the prevalence of retinal changes and their association with blood pressure, other indicators of hypertensive organ damage, and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We excluded studies in patients with hypertensive urgencies and emergencies as this is a separate group in whom funduscopy provides essential information for diagnosis and treatment.
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We use the term hypertensive retinopathy to describe all retinal changes included in the Keith, Wagener, and Barker classification (box). We use the term retinal microvascular changes to refer to narrowing of the retinal arterioles and arteriovenous nicking (see figs A and B on bmj.com). The term retinopathy was originally used to denote soft exudates and flame-shaped haemorrhages only (see fig C on bmj.com), but in the studies reviewed here retinopathy also encompasses microaneurysms, blot haemorrhages, and hard exudates.
We included studies on the reliability of detecting changes to the retina if retinal photographs were independently assessed by two or more observers and if variability of detecting retinal changes associated with hypertension could be expressed as a
statistic.
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Statistical analysis
We used
statistics to express the proportion of agreement for the various retinal changes associated with hypertension, correcting for agreement expected by chance.5 We included both weighted and unweighted
statistics, where weighted
provides a scaled probability score so that the sum of the weight equals the number of observations.
For the association between blood pressure and retinal changes we considered the various retinal changes as a diagnostic test for hypertension. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. Pooled odds ratios were calculated for the association between hypertensive retinopathy and hypertensive organ damage. We used a random effects model to generate summary measures and confidence intervals. Heterogeneity was examined using the I2 statistic, which indicates the proportion of variability in the weighted mean differences attributable to heterogeneity.6 To assess the association between hypertensive retinopathy and cardiovascular risk, we took the relative risk after multivariate analysis.
Variability in detecting retinal changes
Six studies had data on interobserver agreement for hypertensive retinopathy using retinal photographs. We found no such data for direct funduscopy. One study was excluded because we could not calculate
statistics.7 The most extensive study on observer agreement for hypertensive retinopathy was the atherosclerosis risk in communities study in which three readers graded a random sample of 206 retinal photographs.8
Table 1 lists the
statistics of this and other studies. In these studies, interobserver agreement was fair or moderate for focal arteriolar narrowing (
0.3 to 0.4) and arteriovenous nicking (
0.4 to 0.6). Agreement was excellent for haemorrhages and exudates. A computerised grading method was used to assess the arteriovenous ratio.9 With this method, agreement was good (
0.7 to 0.8).
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Retinal changes and blood pressure
Four large population based studies examined the association between hypertensive retinopathy and blood pressure.1
12
14-16 Hypertension was defined as the use of antihypertensive drugs, or history of hypertension or blood pressure
140/90 mm Hg in the cardiovascular health study and atherosclerosis risk in communities study or
160/95 mm Hg in the Beaver Dam eye study and Blue Mountains eye study.
In one study, age and sex standardised prevalence of hypertensive retinopathy was 12% in white Europeans and 18% in people of Afro-Caribbean origin.10 Table 2 lists the prevalence of retinal abnormalities for the other studies.
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The sensitivity for hypertensive retinopathy ranged from 3% to 21%, indicating a low prevalence of retinal abnormalities in hypertensive patients. In contrast, specificity ranged from 88% to 98%, and therefore retinopathy was rarely observed in normotensive patients. The positive predictive value, or the chance of hypertension given the presence of hypertensive retinopathy, ranged from 47% to 70% for haemorrhages and exudates, 53% to 66% for arteriovenous nicking, and 49% to 72% for focal arteriolar narrowing (table 3). The negative predictive value, or the chance of normotension in the absence of hypertensive retinopathy, ranged from 43% to 67% for haemorrhages and exudates, 44% to 66% for arteriovenous nicking, and 32% to 59% for focal arteriolar narrowing. Diagnostic accuracy could not be assessed for the arteriovenous ratio as normal and abnormal values were not defined.
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Retinal changes and other indicators of organ damage
Four studies examined the association between hypertensive retinopathy and echocardiographically determined left ventricular hypertrophy.17-20 One study failed to give the number of patients with events;however, the age and sex adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for left ventricular hypertrophy was 1.92 (1.03 to 3.60) when retinopathy was present.21
Figure 2 gives details of the other studies. The pooled odds for left ventricular hypertrophy in the presence of hypertensive retinopathy was 2.22 (1.36 to 3.62), with little heterogeneity (I2 = 29.1%). Two studies examined the association between hypertensive retinopathy and microalbuminuria (odds ratios 1.51, 0.84 to 2.68 and 4.98, 1.97 to 12.60).18
22 We were unable to pool the data because of significant heterogeneity (I2 = 78.3%). Three population based studies reported on the association between hypertensive retinopathy and intima-media thickness.11
23
24 In the cardiovascular health study and atherosclerosis risk in communities study only the presence of haemorrhages and exudates was associated with increased intima-media thickness. In the Rotterdam eye study a lower arteriovenous ratio was associated with an increased intima-media thickness; other retinal abnormalities were not reported. We were unable to compare the studies because different techniques were used to assess the associations.
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Retinal changes and cardiovascular risk
Hypertensive retinopathy as an independent predictor of cardiovascular risk was examined in six different populations, totalling 16 000 participants. We excluded two studies because blood pressure and patient history were known to the investigators before funduscopy.25
26
Table 4 lists the association between hypertensive retinopathy and cardiovascular risk after adjustment in multivariate analysis. Risks of coronary heart disease, stroke, or death from cardiovascular disease differed with regard to retinal microvascular changes. Data on the association between retinopathy and stroke were more consistent: relative risk of stroke 3.4 (1.0 to 11.3) for men in the Shibata study and 2.6 (1.6 to 4.2) for men and women in the atherosclerosis risk in communities study. In the cardiovascular health study the odds ratio for stroke was 2.0 (1.1 to 3.6).
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In the atherosclerosis risk in communities study and the Beaver Dam eye study, associations between retinal abnormalities and stroke were stratified by hypertension status. The relative risk of stroke in the atherosclerosis risk in communities study was 2.6 (1.2 to 5.6) with retinopathy and hypertension compared with 2.0 (0.5 to 8.4) in normotensive people. In the Beaver Dam eye study, the odds ratio for death from cardiovascular disease in people aged 43-74 with retinopathy and hypertension or diabetes, or both was 2.3 (1.2 to 4.2) compared with 1.5 (0.4 to 5.3) for those without hypertension and diabetes. The odds ratio for those aged 75-84 was 2.0 (1.0 to 4.0) if retinopathy and hypertension or diabetes, or both were present and 1.8 (0.4 to 8.4) if only retinopathy was present.
The evaluation of hypertensive retinopathy is subject to large variability between observers, especially microvascular changes. Only haemorrhages and exudates can be reliably assessed in retinal photographs. We found no data on observer agreement using direct funduscopy. Recently, a computerised grading method has been developed to increase reproducibility of retinal microvascular changes, but this method is not widely available.
The low sensitivity of retinal abnormalities associated with hypertension indicates that hypertensive retinopathy is not common in hypertensive people. Less than half the retinal changes associated with hypertension cannot be explained by high blood pressure (low positive predictive value). In both the Beaver Dam eye study and the Blue Mountains eye study little difference was found in the presence of haemorrhages and exudates between normotensive and hypertensive people aged over 65.1 30 Various other conditions have been associated with hypertensive retinopathy, such as ethnicity,10 21 smoking,23 31 32 intima-media thickness,11 23 31 carotid plaque score,31 33 carotid artery stiffness,33 serum cholesterol concentration,23 27 32 diabetes,27 32 and body mass index.27 32 The high specificity indicates that hypertensive retinopathy is rare in patients with normal blood pressure. Half the people without hypertensive retinopathy, however, still have hypertension (low negative predictive value). So funduscopy cannot reliably determine whether a patient is normotensive or hypertensive.
The presence of hypertensive retinopathy doubles the risk of left ventricular hypertrophy. Data on the association between hypertensive retinopathy and microalbuminuria are inconsistent. Patients with haemorrhages and exudates have a higher intima-media thickness; for other retinal abnormalities this association is conflicting or absent.
Evidence that hypertensive retinopathy is an independent predictor of cardiovascular risk is based on two large studies in which hypertensive patients with retinal haemorrhages or exudates had a twofold higher risk of stroke. Neither study, however, examined or adjusted for other indicators of hypertensive organ damage (left ventricular hypertrophy, microalbuminuria, and intima-media thickness). Furthermore, the association between retinopathy and stroke was also observed in normotensive people, suggesting that besides blood pressure, other factors are responsible for these retinal changes.
A recent paper reported on the associations between hypertensive retinopathy, blood pressure, and mortality from cardiovascular disease.34 The authors found a strong association between hypertensive retinopathy and hypertension. Although this association was significant in most studies, the low predictive values we calculated indicate that funduscopy cannot reliably determine whether a patient has hypertension. Only for stroke isthe association with retinopathy significant and consistent. This association is also observed in people without hypertension and is not corrected for other indicators of hypertensive organ damage. Hence the additional value of funduscopy in the management of patients with hypertension still needs to be determined.
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The included studies have several limitations. Firstly, in all the studies hypertensive retinopathy was established on a photograph of one eye. As hypertension is a systemic disease, retinal changes would be expected in both eyes. Some retinal abnormalities may thus have been a sign of unilateral eye disease instead of hypertension. Secondly, most of the studies used a broad definition for hypertensive retinopathy, including microaneurysms, hard exudates, and blot haemorrhages. These are not included in the original classification and may have a different association with hypertension. Thirdly, hypertension may have been misclassified, as blood pressure was measured only once or twice. Fourthly, people with diabetes were included in the atherosclerosis risk in communities study and Beaver Dam eye study. Diabetic retinopathy is a known risk factor for cardiovascular disease and may have confounded the association between hypertensive retinopathy and cardiovascular risk. Multivariate analysis may not have totally accounted for this effect. Finally, only middle aged and older people were included in the studies, although the association between hypertensive retinopathy, blood pressure, and risk of cardiovascular disease gets stronger in those under 60.27 Future research should consider a younger population (< 60 years) and other indicators of hypertensive organ damage.
We thank the division of internal medicine and the library staff of the Academic Medical Centre for their support in the preparation of this review.
Contributors: BJHvdB and JBLH conceived the review. BJHvdB and CAAH retrieved and analysed the data and wrote the review. ROS interpreted the data, helped draft the review, and gave critical comments. JBLH and GAvM helped draft and review the review. GAvM will act as guarantor.
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Not required.
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