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BMJ 2005;330:1148-1149 (14 May), doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7500.1148-b
EDITORWe agree with Curtin and Schulz that drug induced motor disinhibition before mood improvement is a possible explanation for an excess of suicidal behaviour in the early weeks of antidepressant treatment.1 2
Regarding their second point, we caution against over-interpreting differences in the pooled odds ratios for self harm and suicidal thoughts or the odds ratios for different selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) in relation to the same end points. Odds ratios are estimated from a small number of events, and confidence intervals overlap.
Lastly, we agree that there is little evidence for a difference in risk between different classes of antidepressant.3-5
Healy is concerned about two of the numbers in our meta-analysis. We confirm that the expert working group's report included one suicide among patients treated with placebo in placebo controlled trials of citalopram for depression (table 7.16, page 84).5 Likewise data on paroxetine suicides were reported (section 7.2.1, page 74).5 As we said in our paper, three of the four suicides in the placebo controlled trials of paroxetine (all in the placebo arm) occurred in the period after treatment. We therefore carried out sensitivity analysis to assess the effect on the pooled odds ratio of excluding these deaths (plus the suicide after treatment with escitalopram). This showed an increase in the odds ratio for suicide to 1.24. Healy's odds ratios are not calculated by using meta-analytic approaches for pooling data for
1149 each SSRI and so are not directly comparable with our figures.
We communicated Healy's concern with the paroxetine suicide data to the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA). In further consultation with the licence holder, the agency confirms that the four suicides in adult placebo controlled randomised trials of paroxetine were as described above (MHRA, personal communication, 2005).
David Gunnell, professor of epidemiology
Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2PR D.J.Gunnell{at}bristol.ac.uk
Julia Saperia, research assistant, Deborah Ashby, professor of medical statistics
Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary, University of London, London EC1M 6BQ
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