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BMJ 2005;330 (5 February), doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7486.0-b
As rates of hospital admission for people aged 65 years and over decline without any intervention, assessments of effectiveness of admission avoidance schemes cannot be judged by tracking admission rates without comparison with data from a control group. Roland and colleagues (p 289) analysed routine admission data from NHS hospitals in England. They found that people aged 65 and over who had at least two emergency admissions in 1997-8 made up about 38% of hospital admissions at baseline, but their percentage declined by more than 18% in the subsequent year and came down to just over 3% five years later.
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Credit: MICHAEL DONNE/SPL
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