Adjusted models for effect of democracy in 170 countries, 1998

Health indicator

Adjusted model†

Model including democracy

Infant mortality/1000 live births

B0=34.474; B1(gross national product)=-0.00114*; B2(Gini)=0.904*; B3(total government expenditure)=-0.819**; r2=0.362

B0=3.206; B1(gross national product)=-0.000603; B2(Gini)=0.936*; B3(total government expenditure)=-0.375; B4(demo1)=28.205*; B5(demo2)=36.791*; r2=0.470; change in r2=0.108; DW=1.945, F=17.170, P<0.001

Life expectancy (years)

B0=68.479; B1(gross national product)=0.0003917*; B2(Gini) =-0.228*; B3(total government expenditure)=0.157; r2=0.377

B0=78.419; B1(gross national product)=0.0002278*; B2(Gini)=-0.240; B3(total government expenditure)=-0.01085; B4(demo1)=-8.831*; B5(demo2)=-11.538*; r2=0.512; change in r2=0.134; DW=1.628, F=20.119, P<0.001

Maternal mortality/100 000 live births

B0=218.474; B1(gross national product)=-0.00464*; B2(Gini)=4.287; B3(total government expenditure)=-7.152*; r2=0.305

B0=89.238; B1(gross national product)=-0.00236; B2(Gini)=4.213; B3(total government expenditure)=-5.015*; B4(demo1)=145.677*; B5(demo2)=124.928*; r2=0.365; change in r2=0.06; DW=1.906, F=9.769, P<0.001

demo1=passage from free country to partially free country; demo2=passage from free country to not free country. DW=Durbin Watson test as measure of independence and lack of self correlation (better independence 1.5 and 2).

*P<0.05.

†Adjusted for total government expenditure, gross national product, and Gini coefficient.




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