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BMJ 2004;328 (19 June), doi:10.1136/bmj.328.7454.0-a
Pancreatitis has become more common in the past 35 years, but survival has not improved since the 1970s. Goldacre and Roberts (p 1466) found that admissions for acute pancreatitis in southern England increased between 1963 and 1998, from 4.9 to 9.8 per 100 000 people, particularly among the younger age groups. Mortality was 14.2% in 1963-74, 7.6% in 1975-86, and 6.7% in 1987-98. Death rates in the first month after an attack are about 30 times higher than death rates in the general population.
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