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BMJ 2004;328:925-926 (17 April), doi:10.1136/bmj.38045.858889.EB (published 19 March 2004)
Anirban Maitra, clinical fellow in paediatric respiratory medicine1, Andrea Sherriff, statistician2, Mansel Griffiths, consultant ear, nose, and throat surgeon3, John Henderson, senior lecturer in child health1, Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children Study Team
1 Bristol Royal Hospital for Children, Department of Respiratory Medicine, Bristol BS2 8BJ, 2 Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, University of Bristol, Department of Community-based Medicine, Bristol BS8 1TQ, 3 St Michael's Hospital, Ear, Nose, and Throat Department, Bristol BS2 8EG
Correspondence to: A Maitra dramaitra{at}yahoo.co.uk
2 mm) to a panel of three common allergens. We selected several variables as potential confounders of the relation between exposure and outcome, which were, however, not considered to be in the causal pathway. These were, from mother's questionnaire data: maternal education, maternal smoking during pregnancy, maternal history of asthma or eczema, maternal financial difficulties, damp housing, overcrowding, child's ethnicity, number of siblings, contact with cats in the home, duration of breast feeding, and passive exposure to tobacco smoke; and, from medical records: birth weight, sex, gestational age, and maternal age at delivery. We used Pearson's
2 (or Fisher's exact test if the predicted number of subjects in any category was less than five) for our data analysis of univariable associations between vaccination status and possible confounders and principal outcomes. We used multivariable logistic regression models to evaluate associations between immunisation status and asthma and allergy outcomes while controlling for potential confounders. Vaccination history was available for 13 810 children, of whom 13 109 (94.9%) were fully vaccinated, 446 did not have pertussis vaccination (340 non-vaccinated; 106 partially vaccinated), and 255 had some other combination. The table shows numbers of subjects with outcome data for each of the principal outcomes. The cumulative prevalence of asthma diagnosed by doctors was 20.3% (n = 1597) at 91 months. The prevalence of reported asthma at 69-81 months was 12.4% (n = 1024), reported wheeze with whistling at 69-81 months 9.8% (n = 798) and atopy at 7 years 20.5% (n = 1324). The table shows the adjusted and unadjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals from logistic regressions for each of the principal outcomes. Although unadjusted analyses showed significant associations (asthma at 69-81 months, P = 0.05; doctor diagnosed asthma, 91 months, P = 0.005), it should be noted that, because of small numbers in some groups, the confidence intervals were wide and the results did not support the hypothesis. When we adjusted for potential confounding factors we detected no significant associations (P = 0.1-0.8).
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This article was posted on bmj.com on 19 March 2004: http://bmj.com/cgi/doi/10.1136/bmj.38045.858889.EB
Acknowledgments: We thank the mothers and children who took part and the midwives for their cooperation and help in recruitment. The whole ALSPAC study team comprises interviewers, computer technicians, laboratory technicians, clerical workers, research scientists, volunteers, and managers who continue to make the study possible. The ALSPAC study is part of the European Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children initiated by the World Health Organization.
Contributors: MG had the original idea. AM, AS, JH did the analysis. All authors contributed to the interpretation of the data. AM wrote the paper. JH will act as guarantor.
Funding: Core funding for the long term follow up of the cohort came from the Medical Research Council, the Wellcome Trust, the UK Department of Health, the Department of the Environment, DfEE, the National Institutes of Health, and a variety of medical research charities. No specific funding was obtained for this analysis.
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children Ethics and Law Committee.
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