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BMJ 2004;328:545 (6 March), doi:10.1136/bmj.37977.653750.EE (published 2 February 2004)
Christopher V Plowe, associate professor1, James G Kublin, clinical instructor1, Fraction K Dzinjalamala, research associate2, Deborah S Kamwendo, research associate2, Rabia A G Mukadam, research associate2, Phillips Chimpeni, clinical officer2, Malcolm E Molyneux, professor3, Terrie E Taylor, professor4
1 Malaria Section, Center for Vaccine Development, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 685 West Baltimore Street, HSF1-480, Baltimore, MD 21044, USA, 2 Blantyre Malaria Project, College of Medicine, University of Malawi, Blantyre, Malawi, 3 Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi, 4 College of Osteopathic Medicine, Michigan State University, Lansing, MI, USA
Correspondence to: C V Plowe cplowe{at}medicine.umaryland.edu
Design Prospective open label drug efficacy study.
Setting Health centre in large peri-urban township adjacent to Blantyre, Malawi.
Participants People presenting to a health centre with uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria.
Main outcome measures Therapeutic efficacy and parasitological resistance to standard sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine treatment at 14 days and 28 days of follow up.
Results Therapeutic efficacy remained stable, with adequate clinical response rates of 80% or higher throughout the five years of the study. Analysis of follow up to 28 days showed modest but significant trends towards diminishing clinical and parasitological efficacy over time within the study period.
Conclusion Contrary to expectations, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine has retained good efficacy after 10 years as the first line antimalarial drug in Malawi. African countries with very low chloroquine efficacy, high sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine efficacy, and no other immediately available alternatives may benefit from interim use of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine while awaiting implementation of combination antimalarial treatments.
We began monitoring the efficacy of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine at one site in Malawi in 1998. We treated patients (mostly children) with uncomplicated falciparum malaria and measured their parasitological and therapeutic responses to the drug.
Patients were eligible for the study if they were aged 3 months or over and presented to the health centre with signs or symptoms consistent with malaria, had positive smears for P falciparum mono-infection, and had none of the following exclusion criteria: history of allergy or adverse reaction to sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine or sulfa drugs; known pregnancy; haematocrit < 15%; parasitaemia > 10%; prostration; respiratory distress; bleeding; recent seizures, coma, or obtundation; inability to drink; or persistent vomiting. Documented fever was not a requirement for eligibility. We obtained informed consent from participants or their guardians.
Definitions of resistance and treatment failure
We stained thin and thick blood smears with Field's stain and counted asexual parasites against 200 leucocytes. For the final calculation of the number of parasites per microlitre we assumed an average leucocyte count of 10 000 leucocytes/µl. A microscopist blinded to the first results read the slides a second time, and a third microscopist adjudicated discrepancies of > 10%. When parasitaemia was too high to count on thick smear, we counted the percentage of parasitised erythrocytes on the thin smear.
We used current World Health Organization definitions of therapeutic efficacy and, because the newer definitions do not take into account persistent infection in the absence of fever, older WHO definitions of parasitological resistance.3 4 Both definitions were modified slightly as described elsewhere.5
We defined therapeutic efficacy as follows. Early treatment failure: danger signs (not able to drink or breast feed, vomiting everything, recent history of convulsions, lethargic or unconscious state, unable to sit or stand up) or severe malaria on days 1, 2, or 3, with parasitaemia; axillary temperature
37.5°C on day 3 in the presence of parasitaemia; or parasitaemia on day 3
25% of day 0 level. Late treatment failure: development of danger signs or severe malaria in the presence of parasitaemia during days 4-14, or axillary temperature
37.5°C in the presence of parasitaemia during days 4-14, and no criteria for early treatment failure. Adequate clinical response: absence of parasitaemia on day 14 irrespective of temperature, or axillary temperature < 37.5°C irrespective of the presence of parasitaemia, without previously having met any of the criteria for early or late treatment failure.
We defined parasitological resistance as follows. RIII: no reduction in parasitaemia, or reduction to
25% of day 0 level, by day 3. RII: reduction in parasitaemia to < 25% of day 0 level without clearance leading to retreatment or followed by persistent parasitaemia. RI: initial clearance of parasites indicated by negative thick smear after day 0, with subsequent positive thick smear by day 14. Sensitive: clearance of parasites by day 14 with no recurrence of parasitaemia.
Whenever possible, we did additional follow up through day 28 to permit longer term measurements of efficacy and haematological recovery.
Treatment
We gave standard treatment doses of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (1/4 tablet per 5 kg weight for age
12 years, three tablets for age > 12 years; one tablet = pyrimethamine 25 mg + sulfadoxine 500 mg) under direct observation, and we observed participants for at least 60 minutes to monitor for adverse reactions and to make sure the medicine was not vomited. If vomiting occurred within 30 minutes, we repeated the full dose; if it occurred within 60 minutes we repeated half of the dose. We treated treatment failures with halofantrine at standard doses of 8 mg/kg every eight hours for a total of three doses.
Statistical analysis
We assessed trends over time in rates of adequate clinical response versus early or late treatment failure and rates of sensitive or RI parasitological response versus RII or RIII resistance by using logistic regression with two sided significance set at P = 0.05, with odds ratios calculated to represent the average odds of treatment success in successive years (SAS 8.02 software). We used SPSS 10.1 to do univariate analyses and multiple logistic regression to test for associations with post-treatment anaemia.
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As shown in the figure and table 2, the 14 day efficacy remained stable over the five year study period, with adequate clinical response rates remaining above 80% (top left of figure: P = 0.44, odds ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.82 to 1.09). Among participants followed for 28 days, the rate of adequate clinical response decreased from 73% in 1998 to 60% in 2002 (bottom left: P = 0.02, odds ratio 0.86, 0.75 to 0.98). Rates of sensitive or RI parasitological responses at both 14 and 28 days also decreased significantly over the five year study period (top right: P = 0.015, odds ratio 0.84, 0.73 to 0.97; bottom right: P = 0.004, odds ratio 0.81, 0.71 to 0.94). Neither parasitological resistance nor therapeutic failure was associated with age in this population with a median age of 2.4 years.
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Haematological recovery rates between days 0 and 14 did not differ between cases of adequate clinical response and those with treatment failure or between sensitive cases and those with RI-RIII resistance (data not shown). In univariate analyses, anaemia (haemoglobin < 10 g/dl) at day 14 was associated with both treatment failure (odds ratio 2.05, 1.15 to 3.65, P = 0.009) and RI-RIII resistance (odds ratio 1.46, 1.01 to 2.10, P = 0.034). However, when we included treatment failure and parasitological resistance separately in a logistic regression model with parasite density at day 0 and age as covariates, only the association between age and anaemia at day 14 remained significant (P < 0.001). Anaemia was more common at day 28 among children with adequate clinical response and asymptomatic parasitaemia than in children with adequate clinical response and no parasites (42.4% v 26.7%; relative risk 1.59, 1.23 to 2.05, P < 0.001). This association remained significant after we controlled for age and initial parasitaemia in a regression model (P = 0.009).
We found excellent agreement between measures of therapeutic efficacy and parasitological resistance. With adequate clinical response corresponding to sensitivity or RI resistance, late treatment failure corresponding to RI or RII resistance, and early treatment failure corresponding to RIII resistance, we found only 10/959 (1%) cases of discordance among cases for which both efficacy and resistance could be determined. One sensitive case and two RI cases met non-parasitological criteria for early treatment failure, and seven cases met criteria for RII resistance but had adequate clinical responses (one case) or were late treatment failures (six cases) because fever did not always accompany persistent parasitaemia.
Losses to follow up were relatively high at nearly 18%, and treatment failure rates may have been higher in this group. However, nearly all of the losses to follow up were attributable to migration from the study area. Participants with unknown parasitological or therapeutic outcomes at day 14 or day 28 did not differ from those with known outcomes with respect to age, parasite density, or haemoglobin concentration at the time of treatment (data not shown).
Why has loss of efficacy been slower than expected?
We hypothesise that a combination of epidemiological and molecular factors may explain the surprisingly durable efficacy of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine in this setting. Mutations in parasite dihydrofolate reductase (DHFR) confer resistance to pyrimethamine, and mutations to dihydropteroate synthase (DHPS) confer resistance to sulfadoxine.6
7 Resistance to sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine in Africa is associated with three mutations in DHFR and two in DHPS that became highly prevalent in Malawi in 1998, just as these studies began.8
9 Despite the near ubiquity of these mutations, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance may have peaked and stabilised in Malawi.
The DHFR mutation from isoleucine to leucine at codon 164 is common in parts of Southeast Asia and South America where sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance is high,10 but it has not been confirmed to be present in Africa. The DHPS ala-581-gly mutation is also common in areas with high rates of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance but is very rare in Africa.
The ile-164-leu mutation in DHFR is deleterious to enzyme function, so, in the absence of drug pressure, parasites containing this mutation are at a disadvantage and would be selected against.11 12 In Africa, where transmission is usually intense, the proportion of parasites under drug pressure is much lower than in areas of low transmission such as South America and Southeast Asia, where sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine failed quickly. This is because where transmission is high, semi-immunity is common and most infections are asymptomatic and untreated. Where transmission and immunity are low, most infections are symptomatic and come under drug pressure. The amount of drug pressure relative to the total parasite population may be insufficient to permit DHFR ile-164-leu to arise or persist in Africa. Although no data are available on DHPS ala-581-gly affecting parasite fitness, it too might be selected against in the absence of drug pressure. If this hypothesis is correct, the safe and inexpensive antifolate class of antimalarial drugs may have a longer useful life in high endemicity areas of Africa than they have elsewhere.
Ten years: approaching the limit?
Increases in both treatment failures and parasitological resistance occurred in this setting over five years when follow up was extended to 28 days. These trends suggest that sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine efficacy may before long fall to unacceptable levels in Malawi, and the impact of increasing parasitological failure rates on anaemia is also of concern.
The stable clinical efficacy of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine in Malawi does not warrant complacency about seeking alternative treatments for its replacement. Several antimalarial combination drug regimens are being evaluated, but obstacles to implementing these regimens13 14 include cost, toxicity, and compliance problems. We have recently found that after cessation of use of chloroquine in Malawi, the prevalence of P falciparum isolates bearing mutations that cause chloroquine resistance has decreased to undetectable levels in this country while remaining over 90% in nearby countries.9 Studies to evaluate the efficacy of chloroquine alone and in combination with other drugs in this setting are planned.
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Sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine while awaiting combination therapies
Several African countries continue to use chloroquine despite very high rates of resistance, fearing that sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine would fail quickly. On the basis of Malawi's experience, countries with similar levels of malaria endemicity where this drug is currently efficacious could consider replacing chloroquine with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine as an interim measure. Sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine as first line treatment could be implemented immediately and would provide effective treatment while better alternatives (for example, combination chemotherapy) are being developed and evaluated. Parts of Africa where rates of transmission and immunity are lower, such as the KwaZulu-Natal region of South Africa, where sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine was first instituted in 1998 and where resistance arose quickly,15
16 may be more similar to Southeast Asia and South America with regard to patterns of development of antifolate resistance. Regional studies of drug efficacy, and not predictions based on experiences in very different epidemiological settings, should form the basis of rational antimalarial drug policy.
Contributors: CVP designed the study and supervised its conduct, cleaned and analysed the data, and drafted the manuscript. JGK supervised the study onsite for part of the study period and assisted with data analysis and manuscript preparation. FKD oversaw the study in Malawi and assisted with data cleaning and analysis and manuscript preparation. DSK and RAGM helped to supervise the study in Malawi and assisted with data analysis and manuscript preparation. PC assisted with study design and led the clinical team throughout the course of the study. MEM assisted with supervision and oversight of the study, supervised medical care of study participants, and contributed to preparation of the manuscript. TET assisted with designing the study, supervised and oversaw the study, supervised medical care of study participants, and participated in data analysis and manuscript preparation. CVP is the guarantor.
Funding: This study was supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, USA (grants no. R29 AI-40539 and R01-AI-44824).
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: The study protocol was reviewed and approved by institutional review boards at the College of Medicine, University of Malawi, and the University of Maryland, Baltimore.
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