BMJ 2003;327:1088-1089 (8 November), doi:10.1136/bmj.327.7423.1088
Primary care
Clinical course of acute infection of the upper respiratory tract in children: cohort study
Christopher C Butler, professor of primary care medicine1,
Paul Kinnersley, reader1,
Kerenza Hood, senior lecturer in statistics1,
Mike Robling, research fellow1,
Hayley Prout, research nurse1,
Stephen Rollnick, professor1,
Helen Houston, professor of general practice1
1 Department of General Practice, University of Wales College of Medicine, Llanedeyrn Health Centre, Cardiff CF23 9PN
Correspondence to: C C Butler butlercc{at}cf.ac.uk
Introduction
Promoting self care for children with acute viral illness is
an opportunity for relieving pressure on primary care. Carers
may return for a second consultation and expect antibiotic treatment
if they are not given a clear idea of what to expect or if their
child fails to recover as predicted.
1 We therefore set out to
describe the clinical course of suspected acute viral infection
of the upper respiratory tract in children who consult their
general practitioner. We wanted to help clinicians to better
predict the course of the condition.
Participants, methods, and results
We did a secondary analysis of a cohort from a randomised controlled
trial.
2 All carers gave written consent, and older children
signed a consent form when recruiting clinicians felt this was
appropriate. Fifty five general practitioners in south Wales
opportunistically recruited children aged between 6 months and
12 years during routine consultations into a trial of treatment
for suspected acute viral infection of the upper respiratory
tract. This was an acute illness affecting the upper respiratory
tract probably caused, in the clinician's opinion, by a virus.
Clinicians excluded children to whom they prescribed antibiotics
at the initial consultation. Clinicians compared intranasal
treatment with sodium cromoglicate with intranasal saline in
a triple blinded manner. Because children treated with intranasal
sodium cromoglicate effectively had the same clinical and statistical
outcomes as children treated with intranasal saline, we examined
data about the clinical course of the condition for the children
as a single cohort.
Of the 290 recruited children, 137 (47%) were boys, the mean age was 5.2 (SD 3.39), and mean duration of illness at the time of consultation was 3.3 (2.18) days. Caregivers completed a daily diary of symptoms for up to 14 days which incorporated the 18 item Canadian acute respiratory illness and flu scale.3 This scale scores from 0 to 54, and higher scores indicate sicker children. Four of the items on the scale relate directly to the upper respiratory tractfor example, nasal congestion and sore throatthe remainder assess general symptoms of acute infectionfor example, irritability and poor appetite. We considered children who scored
5 to have recovered. On the fourth day of the study, 101 (56%) of the children had not recovered. On the seventh day, 49 (26%) had not recovered, and, by the 14th day, 10 (6%) had not recovered (figure). Children who had not recovered by the 14th day had remained unwell; their illness did not follow a clinical course with two phases.

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Children's illness over two weeks after consulting their general practitioner with suspected acute viral infection of the upper respiratory tract. Whiskers show largest and smallest non-outlying values; circles show children that are more than 1.5 interquartile ranges from the 25th or 75th centiles (outliers); asterisks show children more than 3 interquartile ranges from the 25th and 75th centiles (extremes); broken line shows score of 5 (recovered)
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Comment
More than half of children with suspected acute viral infection
of the upper respiratory tract are still unwell four days after
their initial consultation, a quarter are still unwell after
a week (about 10 days after the onset of the illness), and one
in 20 is still unwell after two weeks. Despite this, doctors
may tell carers that children will get better in a few days.
1
Giving this information to carers may enable them to care for their child more effectively and reduce the need for additional consultations. Being told that a child may have a longer illness could increase requests for treatment, specifically antibiotics, and therefore clinicians must be confident in communicating potential benefits and risks of treatment. Alternatively, carers who know what to expect may not consult when their child's illness lasts for more than a few days.
Full acknowledgments are on bmj.com
We thank the trial steering committee, the data monitoring and ethics committee, the caregivers and children who took part, and the clinicians who recruited the children. See bmj.com
Contributors: CCB conceived the study. CCB, PK, KH, and MR developed the protocol. CCB, HP, MR, PK, KH, and HH collected data, managed the study, and wrote and interpreted the report. KH led the analysis. SR helped write and interpret the report. CCB is guarantor.
Funding: Medical Research Council (G9900236). CCB had a fellowship from NHS Wales Research and Development for Health and Social Care.
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Bro Taf, Gwent, and Iechyd Morgannwg local research ethics committees.
References
- Stott NCH. Management and outcome of winter upper respiratory tract infections in children aged 0-9 years. BMJ 1979; i: 29-31.
- Butler CC, Robling MR, Prout H, Hood K, Kinnersley P. Management of suspected acute viral upper respiratory tract infection in children with intranasal sodium cromoglicate: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2002; 359: 2153-8.[Medline]
- Jacobs B, Young NL, Dick PY, Ipp MM, Dutkowski R, Davies HD, et al. Canadian acute respiratory illness and flu scale (CARIFS): development of a valid measure for childhood respiratory infections. J Clin Epidemiol 2000; 53: 793-9.[CrossRef][ISI][Medline]
(Accepted August 5, 2003)

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