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Peter Murchie a Department of General Practice and
Primary Care, University of Aberdeen, Foresterhill Health Centre,
Aberdeen AB25 2AY, b Westburn Centre,
Aberdeen AB25 2XG Correspondence to: P Murchie
p.murchie{at}abdn.ac.uk
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Abstract |
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Objectives:
To evaluate the effects of nurse led
clinics in primary care on secondary prevention, total mortality, and coronary event rates after four years.
Design:
Follow up of a randomised controlled trial by
postal questionnaires and review of case notes and national datasets.
Setting:
Stratified, random sample of 19 general
practices in north east Scotland.
Participants:
1343 patients (673 intervention and 670 control) under 80 years with a working diagnosis of coronary heart
disease but without terminal illness or dementia and not housebound.
Intervention:
Nurse led secondary prevention clinics
promoted medical and lifestyle components of secondary prevention and
offered regular follow up for one year.
Main outcome measures:
Components of secondary
prevention (aspirin, blood pressure management, lipid management,
healthy diet, exercise, non-smoking), total mortality, and coronary
events (non-fatal myocardial infarctions and coronary deaths).
Results:
Mean follow up was at 4.7 years.
Significant improvements were shown in the intervention group in all
components of secondary prevention except smoking at one year, and
these were sustained after four years except for exercise. The control group, most of whom attended clinics after the initial year, caught up
before final follow up, and differences between groups were no longer
significant. At 4.7 years, 100 patients in the intervention group and
128 in the control group had died: cumulative death rates were 14.5%
and 18.9%, respectively (P=0.038). 100 coronary events occurred in
the intervention group and 125 in the control group: cumulative event
rates were 14.2% and 18.2%, respectively (P=0.052). Adjusting for
age, sex, general practice, and baseline secondary prevention,
proportional hazard ratios were 0.75 for all deaths (95% confidence
intervals 0.58 to 0.98; P=0.036) and 0.76 for coronary events (0.58 to 1.00; P=0.049)
Conclusions:
Nurse led secondary prevention improved
medical and lifestyle components of secondary prevention and this
seemed to lead to significantly fewer total deaths and probably fewer coronary events. Secondary prevention clinics should be started sooner
rather than later.
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What is already known on this topic
Secondary prevention programmes for coronary heart disease have improved short term outcomes such as processes of care and quality of life What this study adds
Improved medical and lifestyle components of secondary prevention produced by nurse led clinics seem to lead to fewer total deaths and coronary events |
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Introduction |
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People with pre-existing coronary heart disease are at
particularly high risk of coronary events and death, but effective secondary prevention can reduce this risk. Effective secondary prevention comprises several elements. These include pharmaceutical interventions (for example, antiplatelet agents, statins,
blockers, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors) and interventions to change
behaviour and modify lifestyle (smoking cessation, regular exercise,
and healthy diets).1 Most people with coronary disease are
cared for in primary care, and general practitioners have been
encouraged to target them for secondary prevention.2 This has proved difficult, however, and surveys of baseline provision consistently show that secondary prevention is
suboptimal.
3 4
Several attempts at multifactorial interventions to improve secondary prevention have now been evaluated. A recent systematic review of randomised trials concluded that programmes for disease management improved processes of care, reduced admissions to hospital, and enhanced quality of life.5 No impact on survival or coronary event rates was detected, however, probably because the median follow up of studies in the review was too short (one year). Evidence is now needed from longer term follow up studies on whether improvements in processes of care translate into reduced coronary event rates and mortality.
We conducted one of the randomised trials included in the recent
systematic review, and our findings at one year were typical of the
pooled results. We found that nurse led secondary prevention clinics in
primary care improved medical and lifestyle components of secondary
prevention (except smoking) and health related quality of
life.
6 7
In this follow up study, we aimed to evaluate whether these improvements were sustained after four years and to
assess effects on total mortality and coronary event rates.
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Methods |
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Participants
Details of recruitment, randomisation, and the intervention have
been reported previously.
6 7
Briefly, we recruited 1343 randomly selected patients with a working diagnosis of coronary heart
disease, but without terminal illness or dementia and not housebound,
from 19 randomly selected general practices in north east Scotland.
Participants were randomised by NCC (by individual after stratification
for age, sex, and practice) to intervention or control groups by using
tables of random numbers.
Participants in the intervention group were invited to attend secondary prevention clinics at their general practice, during which their symptoms and treatment were reviewed, use of aspirin promoted, blood pressure and lipid management reviewed, lifestyle factors assessed, and, if appropriate, behavioural change negotiated. Follow up was according to clinical circumstances (every two to six months was advised in the protocol). Participants in the control group received usual care. After one year, we collected data on uptake of secondary prevention and participants' health. We fed back the findings to participating general practices, the staff of which decided their own policies on running clinics.
After four years we traced the original participants through their general practices or, for those who had moved within Scotland, through health board records. For those who had left Scotland, follow up ceased when their general practice case notes were transferred out of the country.
Outcome measures
The main outcomes were use of secondary prevention, total
mortality, and coronary event rates. We collected data on uptake of
components of secondary prevention before intervention, at one year,
and after the fourth year. Final data collection was on a rolling basis
over a 10 month period. We collected data on management of blood
pressure and lipids by audit of general practice case notes, and we
collected data on aspirin use, diet, smoking, and exercise by postal
questionnaire. We assessed diet with the dietary instrument for
nutrition education score, and we assessed smoking and exercise with
the health practices index.
8 9
Criteria used to define
appropriate secondary prevention were aspirin taken (or contraindicated
by allergy or peptic ulceration), blood pressure managed according to
guidelines of the British Hypertension Society, lipids managed
according to local guidelines for lipid management in general practices
in Grampian region, moderate physical activity (index of physical
activity >4), low fat diet (dietary instrument for nutrition education
score <30), and not currently smoking.8-11
National guidelines on the management of blood pressure and lipids changed during the course of the study, but for consistency we used recommendations current at the start of the study throughout. Blood pressure was accepted as being managed according to British Hypertension Society recommendations if the last blood pressure measurement (recorded within three years) was less than 160/90 mm Hg or was receiving attention (treated, checked within three months, or patient attending a specialist clinic).10 Lipids were managed according to local guidelines for lipid management in general practices in Grampian region if the last measurement for cholesterol concentration (recorded within three years) was 5.2 mmol/l or less or was receiving attention (treated, checked within three months, or patient attending a specialist clinic).
We obtained data on dates and causes of deaths from the Information and Statistics Division for the NHS in Scotland. Coronary events were defined as coronary deaths or non-fatal myocardial infarctions. We collected data on non-fatal myocardial infarctions during review of general practice case notes (diagnosis of definite myocardial infarction in hospital discharge letters) and from hospital morbidity records held by the Information and Statistics Division for the NHS in Scotland. We ceased follow up of deaths and coronary events the date data were collected from the general practice case notes.
Sample size
The original trial was designed to detect differences in secondary
prevention.7 A sample size of 1300 participants at
baseline was projected to give at least 808 respondents, which would
have 80% power to detect an absolute difference in uptake of any
component of secondary prevention of 10%. The study's power to detect
differences in mortality and coronary event rates was lower. Based on
expected death and coronary event rates of 15% in the control group,
our study had 75% power to detect a relative risk reduction of 33% at
the 5% significance level.
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Statistical analysis
We used standard statistical methods and SPSS for windows release
9.0.0. We hypothesised that patients attending secondary prevention
clinics would have higher uptake of the six defined components of
secondary prevention, fewer coronary events, and reduced total
mortality. We analysed binary data on secondary prevention with
logistic regression to adjust for age (in years), sex, general
practice, and uptake of secondary prevention at baseline (binary
variable indicating appropriate or not). For total mortality and
coronary event data, we constructed Kaplan-Meier survival curves and
analysed these with the log rank test. We used Cox regression for
further analysis to adjust for age, general practice, sex, and uptake
of secondary prevention at baseline. The main analysis was by intention
to treat. We conducted a supplementary analysis of components of
secondary prevention by length of exposure to clinics (time interval
between each patient's first and most recent attendance at secondary
prevention clinics).
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Results |
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Mean follow up was 4.7 years. Of the 1343 original participants, 228 died and 16 had left Scotland (fig 1). We reviewed the case notes of the remaining 1099 except for one participant, whose new general practitioner refused follow up. Analysis of blood pressure and lipid management was complete for the remaining 1098 participants. Overall we excluded 42 participants from the postal questionnaire because of dementia or terminal illness. The questionnaire was completed by 961 of the remaining 1056 participants (91.0%). Intervention and control groups were well matched for age, sex, and practice characteristics at baseline and follow up (table 1).
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During the first year of the study, 551 of 673 (81.9%) participants in the intervention group attended a secondary prevention clinic at least once. By final follow up, 16 of the 19 general practices were running secondary prevention clinics. Table 1 shows the length of exposure of participants in both groups to secondary prevention clinics.
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Secondary prevention
Significant improvements were shown in the intervention group in
all components of secondary prevention except smoking at one year
(table 2). At four years these improvements were sustained except for
exercise. Differences with the control group were significant for all
components except smoking at one year, but by four years the
performance of the control group had improved and differences were no
longer significant. In the supplementary analysis, longer exposure to
clinics was associated with improved secondary prevention for aspirin
use, blood pressure and lipid management, and exercise; diet and
smoking status did not vary with length of exposure (table
3).
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Total mortality
At follow up, 100 of 673 (14.9%) participants died in the
intervention group compared with 128 of 670 (19.1%) in the control
group. We performed a survival analysis to account for 16 individuals
who left Scotland by censoring at time of loss to follow up (fig 2).
After a mean follow up of 4.7 years, cumulative death rates were 14.5%
for the intervention group and 18.9% for the control group
(P=0.038), and the relative risk for total mortality was 0.78 (95%
confidence interval 0.61 to 0.99). After adjustment for age, general
practice, sex, and baseline secondary prevention, the proportional
hazard ratio was 0.75 (0.58 to 0.98; P=0.036).
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Coronary death or non-fatal myocardial infarction
At follow up the number of coronary deaths or non-fatal myocardial
infarctions in the intervention group was 100 of 673 (14.9%) compared
with 125 of 670 (18.7%) in the control group. With survival analysis
(fig 3), cumulative event rates were 14.2% for the intervention group
and 18.2% for the control group (P=0.052), and the relative risk for
coronary events was 0.80 (0.63 to 1.01). After adjustment for age,
general practice, sex, and baseline secondary prevention, the
proportional hazard ratio was 0.76 (0.58 to 1.00;
P=0.049).
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Discussion |
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Nurse led secondary prevention clinics can improve secondary prevention within one year. In our study this translated into reduced mortality and reduced coronary event rates in the medium term. However, several factors need to be taken into consideration when interpreting our study.
The randomised trial on which our study is based was well conducted but had two main limitations: a relatively short follow up of one year and outcomes based on processes of care and risk factors.12-14 Our follow up study has remedied these limitations by extending follow up to more than four years and by evaluating effects on coronary events and mortality. The study was conducted with random samples of general practices and patients, few participants were lost to follow up, and response rates were good so findings should be generalisable at least locally. 6 7 The main limitation of the study concerns crossover of participants from control to intervention and vice versa. Most patients in the control group attended at least one secondary prevention clinic after the original trial year. Our main analysis by intention to treat takes the most conservative approach and would be expected to reduce differences between groups. Indeed, at four years, uptake of secondary prevention in the control group had largely caught up with the intervention group. We conducted a secondary analysis of duration of exposure to clinics in which longer exposure to clinics was associated with better secondary prevention for the three medical components of secondary prevention and improved exercise. This finding is, however, observational. The differences could have been biased by the healthy attender effect, although we found no association between length of exposure to clinics and healthy diet or smoking habits. Caution is needed in interpreting our findings on mortality and coronary events because of the study's low power to detect differences in these outcomes and the borderline P values. However, this long term follow up was preplanned at the outset of the trial, and we collected and analysed data at a single preselected time point, which reduces the likelihood that our findings are due solely to chance.
The benefits we reported at one year were consistent with those found
in several other trials of secondary prevention programmes
a systematic review of 12 randomised trials in a variety of settings concluded that they improved processes of care and risk
factors.5 One trial included in the review, set in UK
general practice, reported no benefits.15 It was, however,
limited to patients after hospital admission for a cardiac event (in
whom levels of secondary prevention were already good), so excluded
most patients with coronary disease in general practice (in whom uptake
of secondary prevention is lower).4 In a more recent
randomised trial in Warwickshire, nurse led secondary prevention
clinics were found to improve care by more than recall to general
practitioners and audit with feedback.16 The main
limitation with these and most previous studies, however, has been a
too short follow up to detect effects on mortality or coronary event
rates. In one randomised trial of health promotion to patients with
angina in Belfast, total mortality at five years was similar to our
study (13.7% and 18.8% in intervention and control groups,
respectively) but numbers were smaller, so this difference was not
significant.
17 18
The benefits we found to total mortality and coronary events are
consistent with projections we made prospectively based on the effects
on secondary prevention after one year, in which we forecast risk
reductions in the intervention group compared with the control group of
17% for coronary events and 15% for total mortality.19
They occurred despite improved secondary prevention in the control
group after the original intervention year
although the survival
curves seem to diverge over the four years, this visual impression
should be treated with caution because of the study's low power. With
this caveat, our findings are consistent with the expectation that
benefits from secondary prevention continue to accrue over the medium
term and show the value of attending clinics sooner rather than later.
It seems likely that the improvements in secondary prevention seen in
the control group between one and four years were due, at least in
part, to exposure to secondary prevention clinics. Results of the
supplementary analysis, by length of exposure to clinics, support this
view, since for most components of secondary prevention longer exposure
to clinics was associated with better secondary prevention. However,
there was no association between exposure to clinics and healthier
diets despite the clinics seeming to improve diet during the first
year. This needs explanation and may be related to changes in the
clinic protocol made by most of the practices. In particular, most
practices had reduced the frequency of clinic attendance to once a
year, which is probably insufficient to promote and maintain change in lifestyle.
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Acknowledgments |
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We thank staff at all the general practices who participated in the study, especially the health visitors, practice nurses, and district nurses who ran the clinics. Participating general practices were Aboyne Medical Practice, Ardach Practice, Dr Crowley, Danestone Medical Practice, Elmbank Group, Dr Grieve and Partners, Kemnay Medical Practice, Kincorth Medical Practice, King Street Medical Practice, The Laich Medical Practice, Dr Mobbs and Partners, Drs Mackie and Kay, Old Machar Medical Practice, Rubislaw Medical Group, Seafield Medical Practice, Skene Medical Practice, Spa-Well Medical Group, Turriff Medical Practice, and Victoria Street Medical Group.
Contributors: NCC, LDR, and JT had the original idea for the follow up study, which was designed by PM, NCC, LDR, and JT, with statistical advice from JAS. PM collected the data by questionnaire and during practice visits and conducted most of the analysis with contributions from JAS and NCC. PM drafted the paper, which was edited by NCC, LDR, JAS, and JT. PM and NCC will act as guarantors for the paper.
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Footnotes |
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Funding: Chief Scientist Office at the Scottish Executive.
Competing interests: None declared.
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(Accepted 4 November 2002)
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