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Brigitte Santos-Eggimann Institute
of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Lausanne, CH-1005
Lausanne, Switzerland Correspondence to: B Santos-Eggimann
Brigitte.Santos-
Eggimann{at}inst.hospvd.ch
In many countries the number of consultations in hospital
emergency departments increased over the past decade. Possible
explanations are the ageing of the population, increased levels of
social deprivation, higher expectations from urban populations, or
artefacts in admissions data.1-3 Implications for
healthcare planners are far reaching; an understanding of how much of
this trend is attributable to an increase in less severe cases is
crucial.4 Studies of administrative data may aid such understanding.
I analysed administrative data collected from 1993 to 1999 for
consultations in the emergency department of the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, the public general hospital serving 286 000
inhabitants in the Lausanne area. Over this period, the number of
consultations increased by 7421 from 30 822 to 38 243. This was a
mean annual increase of 1.5% between 1993 and 1996 and 5.9% between
1996 and 1999 while the resident population remained stable (it
increased by only 0.5%).
The three measures of the severity of emergencies that I used were the
proportion of patients that (a) was transported by ambulance
or helicopter; (b) stayed in the emergency department for at
least six hours (not attributable to understaffing in this setting);
and (c) died or were transferred to another acute care department. From 1998 the triage nurse assigned a National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics admission category.5 The
proportion to which at least one measure of severity applied increased
steadily with age (17% of children younger than 10 years old and 86%
of people aged 80 years and older). Although the number of
consultations grew, the proportion to which at least one of the three
measures of severity applied remained stable; it ranged from 44.3% to
46.1% (table).
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Methods and results
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Methods and results
Comment
References
Further analysis suggested two explanations for the stability of the proportion of consultations to which a measure of severity applied. The number of consultations with people 80 years and older more than doubled between 1993 and 1999 (1603 v 3510), and proportionately more measures of severity applied.
On the other hand, there was an increase of 3471 (55%)
consultations with patients of "other nationalities," to which
fewer measures of severity applied. Foreign nationals with a long
tradition of migration to Switzerland showed an increase similar to
Swiss nationals. The "other nationalities" subgroup is
nationalities other than Swiss, French, German, Italian, or Spanish.
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Comment |
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The increased use of the emergency department was not associated with a change in the proportion of severe cases being seen. More than 70% ((3471+1907)/7421) of the increase in emergency department use over the seven year period is accounted for by an ageing population and immigration.
The ageing of the population increased the number of consultations due
to immediate medical needs. Also, the changing structure of younger age
groups due to immigration led to increased demand that could be treated
in settings other than the emergency department. The different social
and cultural backgrounds of recent immigrants may explain the
difficulty in diverting less severe cases away from emergency
departments. Hospital emergency departments have to be able to respond
to this demand.
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Acknowledgments |
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Contributors: BS-E is the sole author of this paper.
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Footnotes |
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Funding: Health Services Research Unit of the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Lausanne.
Competing interests: None declared.
Background information about
emergency care in Switzerland appears on bmj.com
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References |
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| 1. |
Capewell S.
The continuing rise in emergency admissions.
BMJ
1996;
312:
991-992 |
| 2. | Hull SA, Rees Jones I, Moser K. Factors influencing the attendance rate at accident and emergency departments in east London: the contribution of practice organization, population characteristics, and distance. J Health Serv Res Policy 1997; 2: 6-13[Medline]. |
| 3. |
Morgan K, Prothero D, Frankel S.
The rise in emergency admissions: crisis or artefact? Temporal analysis of health services data.
BMJ
1999;
319:
158-159 |
| 4. | Meggs MJ, Czaplijski T, Benson T. Trends in emergency department utilization: 1988-1997. Acad Emerg Med 1999; 6: 1030-1035[Web of Science][Medline] |
| 5. | Tryba M, Brüggemann H, Echtenmeyer U. Klassifizierung von Erkrankungen und Verletzungen in Notarztrettungssystemen: National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics (NACA). Anasthesiol Intensivmed Notfallmed Schmerzther 1980; 6: 725-727. |
(Accepted 22 October 2001)
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