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Social security data reflecting household income (income support,
family credit, elderly people living alone, all ages standard mortality
ratio, and low birth weight) predict use of inpatient services. The
information can be used to develop a statistical model in which four of
these variables can be updated between censuses to predict use of
hospital services. Carr-Hill and colleagues (p 390), who used the
resulting population risk adjustment formula in electoral wards in
Northern Ireland, conclude that resources should be moved from urban to
rural areas.