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Considerable reserve capacity (20-40%) is required if the cancellation
rates for operations is to be kept below 5%. Gallivan and colleagues
(p 280) used a simple mathematical model to estimate the day to
day variations in intensive care beds required for a hypothetical
booked admissions system. The authors warn that as limited reserve
capacity and a high degree of variability are common in the NHS,
difficulties with operations schedules will continue.