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Martin Offringa a Emma Children's
Hospital, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, 1105 AZ Amsterdam, Netherlands, b Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas,
Houston Health Science Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA Correspondence to: V A Moyer Virginia.A.Moyer{at}uth.tmc.edu
A previously healthy 19 month old boy was rushed to the emergency
department after being found unconscious at home by his mother. As she
went to wake him from his afternoon nap she heard a short cry. She
found him lying on his back, rigid and unresponsive, with blue lips and
apparently not breathing. His breathing and circulation were adequate
on arrival in the emergency room. His pulse rate was 110 per minute,
blood pressure 100/60 mm Hg, and temperature 39.9°C. The boy was
lethargic and confused but seemed to recognise his mother. Apart from a
slightly red pharynx there was no obvious focus of infection and no
rash. Neck rigidity was difficult to evaluate because he actively
resisted examination and refused to sit.
A febrile seizure is defined as a seizure occurring in a
neurologically healthy child aged 6 months to 5 years. Simple febrile seizures are brief (under 15 minutes' duration), are generalised, and
occur in association with fever and only once during any 24 hours.1 Seizures occurring with fever are the most common
neurological disorder in paediatrics, affecting 2-4% of all children
in Britain and the United States.2 Children whose seizures
are attributable to a central nervous system infection and those
who have had a previous afebrile seizure or central nervous
system abnormality are not considered to have simple febrile seizures.
A number of questions arise in this case. You wonder how likely it
is that this boy has meningitis and whether lumbar puncture is
necessary. If this is a simple febrile seizure, what is the likelihood
of future febrile seizures, epilepsy, or brain damage? You also wonder
whether you should begin treatment with anticonvulsants. You wish to
use an evidence based approach, so you frame your questions to maximise
the yield from searching.
Questions and search strategies
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THE CASE
Top
THE CASE
Background
Finding the evidence
Results
Applying the evidence
References
Summary points
Seizures occurring in association with fever affect approximately
4% of all children
In children with a seizure associated with fever the probability of
bacterial meningitis is low but not zero (ranging between 0-4%)
A normal physical examination and history make bacterial meningitis
highly improbable
After a first febrile seizure the probability of seizure
recurrence in subsequent fever episodes is related to age, and is
highest between 1 and 3 years
After a first febrile seizure prophylactic treatment with antiepileptic
drugs does not decrease the likelihood of future febrile seizures
![]()
Background
Top
THE CASE
Background
Finding the evidence
Results
Applying the evidence
References
![]()
Finding the evidence
Top
THE CASE
Background
Finding the evidence
Results
Applying the evidence
References
Question 1: In young children with a seizure associated with fever
(patient/population, event) what is the probability of bacterial
meningitis (outcome)? [baseline risk]
aetiology
sensitivity: "fever and seizures and meningitis"
therapy
sensitivity
"seizures and fever and recurrence"
Question 4: In children with a first febrile seizure
(patient/population, event), what is the likelihood of future febrile or afebrile seizures (outcome)? [prognosis]
Search: PubMed: Clinical queries
prognosis
sensitivity
"seizures and fever and epilepsy".
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Results |
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Prevalence of meningitis
In trying to determine the likelihood of meningitis, you are
looking for cross sectional studies or follow up studies of children
with seizures and fever that identify children who developed
meningitis. Your "clinical queries" search nets 30 articles, most
of which are informal reviews and letters. One article, a decision
analysis, seems relevant.3 You then click on the
"related articles"
the hyperlink next to this reference
and find
two more articles which seem to be relevant surveys.
4 5
Seizures in "well" children
Your next question is whether a seizure can be the sole
manifestation of meningitis in a child who seems otherwise well. You
are looking for studies that investigate the relations of various signs
and symptoms with meningitis in children with seizures and fever,
preferably in the form of likelihood ratios. One study provides
sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios for the various
clinical indicators of meningitis.5 This study tried to
identify criteria, based on age, specific clinical indicators, or the
results of initial blood tests, that could serve as indications for
performing lumbar puncture. Meningitis was diagnosed in 23 (7%) of 309 children aged 3 months to 6 years with a first seizure associated with
fever who were seen consecutively in the emergency rooms of two major
children's hospitals in the western part of the Netherlands. These 23 children were then compared with a reference group of 69 children with
seizures associated with fever but without meningitis, selected at
random from the remaining 286 children.
Discriminant factors
Several clinical signs and symptoms were examined for their
ability to discriminate between children with and without meningitis.
The clinical risk factors shown in table 1 were evaluated. The
presence of one or more of the major signs
petechiae, nuchal rigidity,
coma
identified 16 out of the 23 children with meningitis (70%). In
the absence of meningitis, these major signs of the disease were not
found; the likelihood ratio when any of these signs is present (LR +)
is therefore infinite (95% confidence interval 6.0 to
) and the
probability of meningitis approaches 100% (31 to 100%). In the
absence of meningeal irritation, petechiae, or complex features of the
seizure there were no cases of meningitis in the study. A child's age,
sex, degree of fever, and results of routinely performed blood tests
did not have any diagnostic value. The likelihood ratios of the
negative and positive tests can separate children into two groups, a
group in which the risk of meningitis is very high and lumbar puncture
should be done regardless of other history or physical findings, and a
group in which the risk of meningitis is low and the need for lumbar puncture will depend on other clinical findings.
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Generalisability
The Dutch study was a retrospective review of the medical
records of children presenting with a first episode of seizure and
fever.5 The study population was limited to children aged
3 months to 6 years. The pretest probability of meningitis would be
likely to be different in another population of children. In addition,
nuchal rigidity may not be as strong a predictor of meningitis in young
as in older children; in this patient population the mean age was 18 months. However, these results indicate that it is very unusual for a
child with meningitis to present with only a seizure. Also, a fair
number of children without meningitis will present with the risk
factors mentioned above
that is, the specificity of these
"clinical tests" is far from 100%.
Value of prophylactic treatment
To determine whether prophylactic treatment with an antiepileptic
drug or an antipyretic as compared with no treatment decreases the
likelihood of future febrile seizures, you are looking for studies in
which patients with febrile seizures were randomised to different
treatment regimens and followed over time to see how many developed
subsequent febrile seizures. Of the 55 articles that result from your
search, five papers specifically address your question; they are either
meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials
8 9
or are
reports of randomised controlled trials.10-12
Treatment in febrile periods only
To avoid the adverse effects of giving antiepileptic drugs
for prolonged periods, rapidly acting anticonvulsants given only during
fever periods have been used in an attempt to reduce the risk of
recurrent febrile seizures. Phenobarbitone given at times of fever has
been proved ineffective, probably because of the delay in achieving
appropriate serum and tissue concentrations. Thus far, only
prophylactic diazepam, given orally or rectally, has been studied in
placebo controlled trials.
Rosman et al conducted a randomised, double
blind, placebo controlled trial among 406 children with a mean age of 24 months who had had at least one febrile seizure, comparing diazepam
(0.33 mg per kg body weight), given orally every eight hours during
febrile illnesses, with placebo.11 During a mean follow up
of two years, the relative risk of subsequent febrile seizures per
person year was 0.56 (0.38 to 0.81). Many parents did not give the
treatment as directed, and an analysis restricted to children who had
seizures while definitely receiving the study drug showed an 82%
reduction in the risk of febrile seizures with diazepam. Between 25%
and 30% of the children in the study by Rosman were irritable,
lethargic, or ataxic after taking diazepam, which might interfere with
parents' and clinicians' ability to distinguish benign childhood
febrile illness from more serious disease; one in every 3.5-4 children
taking diazepam develops these symptoms (number needed to harm=3.5-4).
The decision to recommend this treatment will depend on balancing these
potential harms against the potential benefits to each specific child,
and on the family's values.
Ibuprofen
To assess whether antipyretic drugs given
intermittently prevent recurrence of febrile seizures, a randomised
placebo controlled trial was conducted in the
Netherlands.12 Children aged 1 to 4 years who had at least
one risk factor for recurrence of a febrile seizure (see below) were
randomly assigned to receive either ibuprofen syrup, 5 mg per kg body
weight per dose, or placebo every six hours during fever, defined as a
temperature >38.4°C. Median follow up time was 12 months. The
relative risks for recurrence in the two groups did not differ significantly.
Prognosis after first seizure
To address the parents' concerns about the prognosis, you
are looking for a large cohort of patients with first simple febrile
seizures who have been followed over time to see how many develop
recurrent febrile or non-febrile seizures. Your search strategy yields
157 articles, only two of which meet your study design
criteria.
14 15
that
is, a seizure which is partial, is multiple, or lasts for more than 15 minutes
have long been thought to predict recurrence, the follow up
studies included in this review showed that only multiple initial
seizures are associated with an increased risk (1.6-fold) for a first
recurrence.14 Prolonged or focal initial seizures were not
associated with this increased risk, as long as they had not led to
permanent neurological abnormalities.
Risk factors for the occurrence of unprovoked seizures were
assessed in a cohort of 428 children followed prospectively for at
least two years from their first febrile seizure.15
Unprovoked seizures occurred in 26 (6%). Neurodevelopmental
abnormalities, complex febrile seizures, and a family history of
epilepsy were associated with an increased risk of unprovoked seizures.
Recurrent febrile seizures and brief duration of fever before the
initial febrile seizure were also risk factors. A family history of
febrile seizures, temperature and age at the time of the initial
febrile seizure, sex, and race were not associated with unprovoked
seizures. This high quality evaluation of predictors gives an insight
into the risk of epilepsy and may be used to counsel patients. However, no studies have examined the possibility of preventing epilepsy by
pharmacological interventions after a first or a second febrile seizure.
15 16
The evidence you have gathered is
summarised in table 2.
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Applying the evidence |
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From the history and the physical examination you consider
this child to be at a low risk of meningitis and you decide to observe
him without a lumbar puncture. After resolution of the acute episode,
you reassure the parents and counsel them at a follow up visit on the
risk of future seizures. For this child, the probability of frequent or
potentially threatening recurrences is low. You decide that the
evidence does not support using a daily anticonvulsant like
phenobarbitone or sodium valproate, and that intermittent diazepam or
an antipyretic agent during fever are not effective in preventing
recurrence of seizures. You know you will need to spend time with the
parents to help them overcome the fears and anxiety that seizures
provoke and to educate them about the clinical course of febrile
seizures and their consequences. You know that they may still request
treatment with anticonvulsants. This will depend on the values they
place on different outcomes such as risk of a subsequent seizure and the adverse effects of use of anticonvulsants. You counsel these parents that the risk of recurrence declines rapidly after six months
from the previous seizure and instruct them to position the child for
optimal airway patency in case of a new seizure, which is especially
important in the event of vomiting. A prescription for rectal diazepam
should also be given, and the parents should be instructed how to
administer it in the rare event of a prolonged recurrence lasting >15
minutes.
17 18
This approach, it has been suggested, also
reduces parental fear.
19 20
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Acknowledgments |
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MO wrote the original chapter for Evidence Based Pediatrics and Child Health; VAM edited the chapter for publication in the BMJ and wjm (Western Journal of Medicine).
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Footnotes |
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Series editor: Virginia A Moyer
Competing interests: None declared.
This article is adapted from
a chapter in "Evidence Based Pediatrics and Child Health," which
can be purchased through the BMJ Bookshop
(www.bmjbookshop.com); further information and updates for
the book are available on www.evidbasedpediatrics.com
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References |
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| 1. | Nelson KB, Ellenberg JH, eds. Febrile seizures. New York: Raven Press, 1981. |
| 2. | Verity CM, Butler NR, Golding J. Febrile convulsions in a national cohort followed up from birth. 1. Prevalence and recurrence in the first five years of life. BMJ 1985; 290: 1307-1310. |
| 3. | Joffe A, McCormick M, DeAngelis C. Which children with febrile seizures need lumbar puncture? A decision analysis approach. Am J Dis Child 1983; 137: 1153-1156[Abstract]. |
| 4. | Wears RL, Luten RC, Lyons RG. Which laboratory tests should be performed on children with apparent febrile convulsions? An analysis and review of the literature. Pediatr Emerg Care 1986; 2: 191-196[Medline]. |
| 5. | Offringa M, Beishuizen A, Derksen-Lubsen G, Lubsen J. Seizures and fever: Can we rule out meningitis on clinical ground alone? Clin Pediatr 1992; 9: 514-522. |
| 6. | Offringa M, Hazebroek-Kampschreur AAJM, Derksen-Lubsen G. Prevalence of febrile seizures in Dutch schoolchildren. Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol 1991; 5: 181-188[Medline]. |
| 7. | Verburgh ME, Bruijnzeels MA, van der Wouden JC, van Suijlekom-Smit LW, van der Velden J, Hoes AW, et al. Incidence of febrile seizures in the Netherlands. Neuroepidemiology 1992; 11: 169-172[Medline]. |
| 8. | Newton RW. Randomised controlled trials of phenobarbitone and valproate in febrile convulsions. Arch Dis Child 1988; 63: 1189-1191[Abstract]. |
| 9. | Rantala H, Tarkka R, Uhari M. A meta-analytic review of the preventive treatment of recurrences of febrile seizures. J Pediatr 1997; 131: 922-925[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 10. |
Farwell JR, Lee YJ, Hirtz DG, Sulzbacher SI, Ellenberg JH, Nelson KB.
Phenobarbital for febrile seizures effects on intelligence and on seizure recurrence.
N Engl J Med
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| 11. |
Rosman NP, Colton T, Labazzo J, Gilbert PL, Gardella NB, Kaye EM, et al.
A controlled trial of diazepam administered during febrile illnesses to prevent recurrence of febrile seizures.
N Engl J Med
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329:
79-85 |
| 12. | Van Stuijvenberg M, Derksen-Lubsen G, Steyerberg EW, Habbema JD, Moll HA. Randomized, controlled trial of ibuprofen syrup administered during febrile illnesses to prevent febrile seizure recurrences. Pediatrics 1998; 102(5): pE51. |
| 13. |
Altman DG.
Confidence intervals for the number needed to treat.
BMJ
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| 14. | Offringa M, Bossuyt PM, Lubsen J, Ellenberg JH, Nelson KB, Knudsen FU, et al. Risk factors for seizure recurrence in children with febrile seizures: a pooled analysis of individual patient data from five studies. J Pediatr 1994; 124: 574-584[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 15. |
Berg AT, Shinnar S.
Unprovoked seizures in children with febrile seizures: short-term outcome.
Neurology
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47:
562-568 |
| 16. | Freeman JM. The best medicine for febrile seizures. N Engl J Med 1992; 327: 1161-1163[Medline]. |
| 17. | Knudsen FU. Rectal administration of diazepam in solution in the acute treatment of convulsions in infants and children. Arch Dis Child 1979; 54: 855-857[Abstract]. |
| 18. |
Dreifuss FE, Rosnan NP, Cloyd JC, Pellock JM, Kuzniecky RI, Lo WD, et al.
A comparison of rectal diazepam gel and placebo for acute repetitive seizures.
N Engl J Med
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1869-1875 |
| 19. | Rossi LN, Rossi G, Bossi A, Cortinovis I, Brunelli G. Behaviour and confidence of parents instructed in home management of febrile seizures by rectal diazepam. Helv Paediatr Acta 1989; 43: 273-281[Medline]. |
| 20. | Camfield CS, Camfield PR. Febrile seizures: a Rx for parent fears and anxieties. Contemp Pediatr 1993; 10: 26-44. |
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