Delaying discharge from intensive care saves lives

Mortality after discharge from intensive care may be reduced by 39% if some patients (identified by a triage model) were to stay in intensive care for another 48 hours. This means that 16% more intensive care beds are needed. Daly et al (p 1274) developed a triage model which identified patients at risk from inappropriate discharge by using multivariant analysis of five variables: age, end stage disease, physiology, length of stay, and cardiothoracic surgery. 34% of high risk patients had a mortality of 25% compared with 4% for those not at risk. This model may help doctors in their difficult clinical decisions about which patients to discharge in order to make room for urgent admissions.


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Relevant Article

Reduction in mortality after inappropriate early discharge from intensive care unit: logistic regression triage model
Kathleen Daly, R Beale, and R W S Chang
BMJ 2001 322: 1274. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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